October 22 / 19.10 Kempton (AW)

19.10

Standard To Slow

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  • 1m 0f 0y
  • Class 3
  • 11 runners
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Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

OUR TIP

Form: 933076 CD

Last run: 40 days

W: 10st 0lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Dual winner for the Gosdens (C&D then over 7f in Qatar); uncompetitive of late and this is a deep race in which to try and bounce back; cheekpieces return.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(2)

22nd Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Jayyash

10st 0lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Hamad Al Jehani

Dual winner for the Gosdens (C&D then over 7f in Qatar); uncompetitive of late and this is a deep race in which to try and bounce back; cheekpieces return.

25/1

1

(2)

12th Sep 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

16:15 Sandown

Jayyash

9st 11lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Hamad Al Jehani

Two wins for the Gosdens, namely a 1m AW novice and a 7f handicap in Qatar; two runs since returning to Europe have been underwhelming though, albeit both have been tough assignments, and Native American may be the stable's main hope.

10/1

Form: -70015 C

Last run: 46 days

W: 10st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
33-1 success in refitted cheekpieces and when partnered by Luke Morris for the first time at Chelmsford in August; that was his seventh win over 9.5f+ and he might be tapped for toe back over 1m this evening.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(4)

12th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

17:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Storm Catcher

9st 6lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Simon Pearce

Multiple C&D winner, the latest last August when rated 5lb higher; obvious chance if anywhere near that level but he has been struggling more recently; the return to 1m2f will help but not a solid option.

14/1

6th

1

(3)

6th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 3

16:52 Wolverhampton (AW)

Storm Catcher

10st 0lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Simon Pearce

Has done nearly all his winning at about 1m2f, most recently last August; inconsistent since but drops back in grade off a workable mark; stayed on for creditable effort in sole attempt over 1m4f.

16/1

11th

6

(9)

16th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 2

14:50 Newcastle (AW)

Storm Catcher

9st 1lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Simon Pearce

Eight-time AW winner and first and second in two of his four races here; didn't run at all badly last time at Lingfield (1m2f) but looks vulnerable at the minute in a race of this nature.

40/1

Form: 500030 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 10lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 91

Form & Verdict
Likes an unconventional track, winning at Epsom and Goodwood in 2023; ran no race at latter venue ten days ago and he's opposable tackling AW for the first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

(6)

30th May 2026

Good

1m 1f 0y

Class 4

18:42 Lingfield

Epictetus

9st 5lb

J: William Carver

T: Jamie Osborne

Things didn't pan out his way on first crack at 1m4f here last time (AW) and that was another in-form effort; has found his level again but wants a good test over this trip, he hasn't won in a long time and has become inconsistent on turf.

7/1

3rd

2

(5)

12th May 2026

Standard

1m 4f 0y

Class 4

20:20 Lingfield (AW)

Epictetus

9st 10lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Beaten half a length or less in his last three goes on the AW (7f-9.5f), but losing run up to 22 and has never attempted this far before; others safer.

5/1

2nd

1

(5)

27th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 4

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Epictetus

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Has gone close recently and was only beaten half a length at Lingfield (1m, AW) 13 days ago but is without a win since landing a Group 3 for the Gosdens three years ago; looks sure to be thereabouts once again.

7/2

Form: 237582 CD

Last run: 46 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
All three wins, and top five RPRs, achieved here; found just the favourite too strong following a gelding operation last time; major claims despite 4lb rise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(7)

22nd Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Local Hero

9st 9lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Richard Hannon

All three wins, and top five RPRs, achieved here; found just the favourite too strong following a gelding operation last time; major claims despite 4lb rise.

4/1

8

(1)

6th Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

14:05 Kempton (AW)

Local Hero

8st 12lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Richard Hannon

Gelded since last run; best at Kempton and has a record of 11142 here, most recently going very close off 5lb higher in March; attractively treated and enters calculations returned to his ideal location.

6/1

13/2

Form: 16211 D

Last run: 117 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Has done little wrong so far and shaped as if a more strongly run race at the trip would suit when scrambling home at Yarmouth last time; may have been kept back for this since; raised 4lb.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(2)

16th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:00 Newbury

Blue Rc

9st 8lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: James Tate

Has improved his rating almost every time, on last two outings taking second in strong 1m handicaps at Newcastle (AW) and Thirsk (good to firm); came from almost last when closing to half a length in 13-runner race last time and looks well capable of a prominent finish here despite 2lb rise.

6/1

2nd

3

(11)

2nd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 218y

Class 2

14:40 Thirsk

Blue Rc

9st 8lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: James Tate

7f course winner on good to firm last summer and has done little but progress since, winning over 1m at Southwell on New Year's Day; excellent second of 14 at Newcastle (1m again) since, with reopposing Flight Plan and Apiarist in behind; should continue the good work back on turf; top of the list.

9/2

2nd

5

(13)

3rd Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 2

15:00 Newcastle (AW)

Blue Rc

9st 2lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: James Tate

The winner of four of his eight starts and he had a bit to spare when rewarding odds-on favourite backers at Southwell on New Year's Day; unlikely this mark will prove beyond him in time; solid candidate.

4/1

Form: 506472 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Doubled his tally at Salisbury in May, winning handsomely; finished behind Local Hero over C&D two starts ago but ran close to a personal best under the same conditions latest (finished second); nudged up 2lb.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(7)

28th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:45 Sandown

Cogitate

9st 0lb

J: William Buick

T: Charles Hills

He needs to produce more than he's managed back on turf on his last two starts but prior to those he was a good second at Kempton (7f, AW) in March, and he won on grass at Salisbury (1m, good to firm) last May; capable of having a say if getting back to his best.

11/1

7th

6

(9)

2nd May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

17:55 Newmarket

Cogitate

9st 9lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Charles Hills

Consistent of late on the AW, runner-up at Kempton in October and March, but his turf efforts have been more up and down; never better than midfield in Spring Cup at Newbury two weeks ago and only 1lb lower today.

16/1

12th

23

(3)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

15:10 Newbury

Cogitate

8st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Charles Hills

Equally effective at 7f and 1m and arrives in good form from the AW; could be thereabouts again, although he finished behind several of these when only seventh in this race 12 months ago.

20/1

Form: -30498

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
1m looks worth revisiting; didn't get the rub of the green over 7f last time but bouncing back from the widest stall won't be easy.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(14)

22nd Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Bountiful

9st 5lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Boughey

1m looks worth revisiting; didn't get the rub of the green over 7f last time but bouncing back from the widest stall won't be easy.

16/1

8th

1

(8)

21st Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 3

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Bountiful

9st 12lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Boughey

5f/6f wins at two and was close up in a Group 2; hasn't looked well handicapped this season and seems to be treading water; the cheekpieces tried last time are left off.

20/1

1

(11)

29th Jul 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

16:55 Goodwood

Bountiful

9st 9lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Boughey

Mid-division in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot on sole crack at 1m (good to firm) and fair fourth at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) since; however, improvement is necessary today in first-time cheekpieces.

20/1

Form: 22-31 D

Last run: 55 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Only had to reproduce what he'd done twice before to readily get off the mark at Chelmsford last time (1m), following gelding operation and wind surgery; needs to pull out more now handicapping but that's entirely possible; yard took this in 2023.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(10)

22nd Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Estmrar

9st 3lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Only had to reproduce what he'd done twice before to readily get off the mark at Chelmsford last time (1m), following gelding operation and wind surgery; needs to pull out more now handicapping but that's entirely possible; yard took this in 2023.

15/2

4

(4)

28th Aug 2025

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:20 Chelmsford (AW)

Estmrar

9st 7lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Went very close here (7f) on debut in November and was placed on dirt in UAE (1m/9.5f) on next two outings; below form when 4-9 favourite on latter occasion but was given wind and gelding operations during subsequent seven-month break; will be hard to beat here if back on song.

10/11

2nd

7

(4)

9th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Estmrar

9st 4lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

prominent, ridden and pressed leaders on inner over 1f out

16/1

12 (12)
Borgi

20/1

Form: -59645 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 2lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Trainer in great form but this one finished behind two of these over C&D three weeks ago and stall 12 makes life difficult tonight.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

12

(7)

3rd Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 3

15:50 Lingfield (AW)

Borgi

9st 3lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: S Woods

Another prominent racer; now a seven-time winner on the AW after this year's wins over C&D and at Wolverhampton (8.6f); those were Class 4s but he's got a canny habit of never winning by far so remains on a fair mark.

7/1

1st

3

(2)

13th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 4

18:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Borgi

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: S Woods

Having slipped down the weights he returned to winning ways with a comfortable success at Lingfield (1m) four weeks ago; up 4lb but not handicapped out of things.

5/2

1st

5

(7)

12th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 4

16:15 Lingfield (AW)

Borgi

9st 7lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: S Woods

Has dropped to a dangerous mark, 8lb lower than when last successful, but losing run up to 11 and he was behind three of these at Wolverhampton (8.6f, Tapeta) 13 days ago.

10/1

Form: 31-513 C

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Nursery win came here (7f); leapt forward from reappearance when beating subsequent Sandringham winner by 3l at Haydock in May (1m); good third (weak 11-1 shot; finished just behind Cogitate) over C&D three weeks ago and could easily be straighter here as that was his first run for 144 days.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

1

(1)

30th May 2026

Good

1m 1f 0y

Class 4

18:42 Lingfield

Footwork

9st 10lb

J: Jack Callan

T: Charlie Johnston

Progressed during a light campaign last season and turned in a career-best effort over this trip for the first time at Ayr (good to firm) ten days ago; holds decent claims upped 3lb under 3lb claimer Jack Callan, who's enjoying a fine season and is 10-44 for the yard.

3/1

1st

1

(9)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 20y

Class 4

14:42 Ayr

Footwork

9st 9lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Charlie Johnston

Hit hard by the handicapper after winning at Haydock (1m, good to firm) last May; ran well fresh when third at Kempton (1m, Class 4) in October but held in better quality races since, including at Newmarket 18 days ago; moves beyond a mile for the first time.

11/1

10th

12

(10)

2nd May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

17:55 Newmarket

Footwork

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Charlie Johnston

Signed off 2025 with a low-key effort but he'd previously won convincingly at Haydock (good to firm) and run well when third at Kempton (AW), both over 1m; not ruled out if cherry ripe after 192 days off.

16/1

Form: -21410 D

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Won two of his first three handicaps and may have been undone by slower ground last time (drifted to 4-1; subsequently taken out of a race due to it being soft); perhaps best watched on AW debut, for all that his half-brother has won twice on Tapeta.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(3)

1st Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:50 Newbury

Herculeus

9st 6lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

C&D winner last August (good ground; cheekpieces first time); three heavy defeats have followed and he comes here with plenty to prove.

25/1

9th

8

(10)

1st May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

17:30 Ascot

Herculeus

9st 3lb

J: Ryan Kavanagh

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Tailed off in two races since winning off 7lb lower at Newbury last August (1m; in first-time cheekpieces which are now absent); might be high enough in the ratings even if all the better for being gelded; absent since October.

40/1

14

(1)

22nd Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Herculeus

9st 1lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Won two of his first three handicaps and may have been undone by slower ground last time (drifted to 4-1; subsequently taken out of a race due to it being soft); perhaps best watched on AW debut, for all that his half-brother has won twice on Tapeta.

20/1

Non-runners

Sky Safari, Sarab Star, Run With It

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £13.10
Straight Forecast £9.20
Tricast £222.06
Trifecta £233.30

Selections

LAMBOURN:

Sarab Star

RP RATINGS:

Local Hero

SPOTLIGHT:

Blue Rc

POSTDATA:

Cogitate

TOPSPEED:

Storm Catcher

The Times:

Sarab Star

Telegraph:

Sarab Star

Daily Mail:

Sarab Star

D Express:

Sarab Star

Daily Mirror:

Sarab Star

The Star:

Sarab Star

Daily Record:

Sarab Star

The Guardian:

Local Hero

The Sun:

Local Hero