October 27 / 18.15 Newcastle (AW)

18.15

Standard To Slow

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  • Prize money: £4972.3
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 4
  • 12 runners
SKY
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Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Clear

Form: 210241 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 10st 1lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Four wins this year, the last three over this trip on turf including at Musselburgh (good) a fortnight ago; another 2lb rise for that means she is 8lb higher than when winning at Southwell (1m) in March, but she is 2-5 on Tapeta so still makes the shortlist.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

1

(4)

20th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

17:20 York

Bellarchi

10st 0lb

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin

T: Grant Tuer

Acts on most ground; has won three handicaps at Musselburgh this season and gained her first Listed success when scoring at Chester (7f, good) in June, but she was below that level at Pontefract (1m) last month; has a better draw than she did when down the field in this contest last year but is now 11lb higher than when last seen in handicap company.

22/1

6th

1

(3)

7th Jul 2026

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 1

14:48 Pontefract

Bellarchi

9st 5lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Grant Tuer

Could hardly be coming into this in better form, winning four of her last five starts including another Listed event at Chester (7f, good) ten days ago; still favoured on these terms despite her 3lb penalty and although the stiffer mile is one small question mark, she is a major player nonetheless.

5/2

1st

3

(8)

27th Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 1y

Class 1

15:33 Chester

Bellarchi

9st 2lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Grant Tuer

This 5yo is in the form of her life at present, gaining a third Musselburgh handicap win of the season when easily seeing off seven rivals 37 days ago; had a wide stall as a an excuse for a slightly below-par effort over the extended 7f here prior to that and she went close here last season; on the shortlist.

9/2

Form: 31-30 D

Last run: 166 days

W: 9st 13lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Comfortable winner of a Kempton novice (7f, Polytrack) last December, but had a nightmare passage on handicap/turf debut at York (7f, good to firm) in May; returns from 166 days off having been gelded; worth a second look.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(9)

20th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 219y

Class 3

15:42 Redcar

Jolly Roger

9st 8lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Lightly raced 4yo who has been running well in UAE this year, going close in big-field handicap in February (1m, good) then third of ten last month (1m, dirt); major player if continuing the good work back in Britain.

3/1

2

(4)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Jolly Roger

9st 13lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Comfortable winner of a Kempton novice (7f, Polytrack) last December, but had a nightmare passage on handicap/turf debut at York (7f, good to firm) in May; returns from 166 days off having been gelded; worth a second look.

5/1

OUR TIP

Form: 416715 D

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Two wins this year, the latest at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) last month, while he ran better than it looked when fifth of 11 back there 19 days later (wide trip); runner-up in both starts over this distance on Tapeta elsewhere and should go well.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

(1)

20th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 192y

Class 2

15:00 York

Arctic Dawn

9st 10lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Made it four wins from his last ten starts when scoring at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) recently; on a lofty mark under a 6lb penalty and it remains to be seen if he's just as good over 1m, but there can be optimism in that regard and he's clearly progressive; has run well on soft/good to soft.

25/1

1st

1

(2)

8th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

15:40 Newmarket (July)

Arctic Dawn

10st 0lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Has developed into a useful 7f handicapper; excusable effort at Royal Ascot is flanked by good performances, namely a ready success at Doncaster and sixth-place finish in the International at Ascot; still on career-high mark but can't be dismissed.

5/1

6th

5

(7)

25th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

14:55 Ascot

Arctic Dawn

9st 10lb

J: Colin Keane

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

5yo who produced a career-best performance with authoritative win at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last month; following a 9lb rise he was well beaten over C&D (good to firm) at the Royal meeting 12 days later, finishing fourth of six in the unfavoured far-side group, but he's not written off.

40/1

12/1

Form: 010008 C

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 11lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Won a 1m novice here easily as a 2yo when trained by the Gosdens; back off the same mark as when successful at York (7f, good) in July and wasn't beaten far, albeit only eighth of 14, at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) 19 days ago; not ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(1)

12th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 75y

Class 4

15:45 Beverley

Obelix

10st 3lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Julie Camacho

Infrequent winner who is usually held up (can start slowly) and he needs everything to drop right; capable off this mark but if missing the kick from stall 1 he could be behind the black ball.

8/1

13th

12

(15)

1st Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

15:47 Thirsk

Obelix

9st 1lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Julie Camacho

Won in fields of a similar size to today's at York (7f, good) last July and Wetherby (7f, good to firm) in June; outside of those wins his form figures since last June read 000089055 and he's a type who needs everything to drop right, but it's possible that will happen off an expected good pace today.

14/1

Form: 450412 CD

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Three wins this year, the latest a comfortable success over C&D last month; again ran well when second of 21 in an apprentice event at York (7f, good) 17 days ago and one for the shortlist despite another 2lb rise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(3)

2nd Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 127y

Class 4

16:22 Chester

Candonomore

9st 6lb

J: George Wood

T: Jennie Candlish

Won races for two previous yards and was a close third on debut for current one (1m1f, good to firm); hasn't kicked on from there, including here two runs back when beating one home over 6f; drops into a claimer but these terms aren't easy.

8/1

7th

1

(8)

13th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

19:50 Windsor

Candonomore

10st 3lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jennie Candlish

Successful for two previous yards and ran creditably at Ayr on debut for current stable; below par in two starts since but likely found 6f too sharp latest; returns to a more suitable distance.

10/1

8th

8

(5)

27th Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 17y

Class 3

15:03 Chester

Candonomore

9st 3lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Jennie Candlish

A ready winner at Bath (1m, firm) in April (final start for Stuart Williams); good start for Jennie Candlish when third over 1m1f at Ayr (good to firm) but not in the same form when beaten favourite at Carlisle (1m) ten days later; quite a strong traveller over those trips but whether he has the speed for sprinting remains to be seen.

10/1

Form: 914338 CD

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Shock 200-1 winner of the Fillies And Mares Championship over C&D in April and is back off the same mark, but she needs to put a moderate effort here (1m) ten days ago behind her, even if the trip probably stretched her.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

14

(9)

21st Aug 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:35 York

Heavenly Heather

9st 12lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Tracy Waggott

Her tremendous progress was highlighted by a close sixth in the King Charles III at Royal Ascot (good to firm, probably acts on soft) but her hopes were ended by some interference in C&D Listed race won by Redorange next time; her finding a bit more even now can't be ruled out but this bar is high.

50/1

12th

10

(4)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:12 York

Heavenly Heather

8st 10lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Tracy Waggott

Began her career in handicaps with a BHA mark of 60 and has improved in leaps and bounds since; seemed to excel herself when never-nearer sixth of 26 in Group 1 at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm; 40-1) last month; had run creditably over C&D the time before; big chance if repeating Ascot form.

6/1

Form: 476123 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Both wins this year have come when making all over 7f on Tapeta, including one here; still 4lb higher than when last successful, but he may enjoy the run of the race here too and will be a major player if he does.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(3)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Ayr

Benacre

9st 6lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Charlie Johnston

No turf win since 2022 but he has won three AW handicaps in the last 14 months; should be well treated but recent efforts haven't been his best; this is a drop in class so not dismissed, even though the return of cheekpieces wouldn't be an obvious plus based on previous usage.

9/1

4th

5

(4)

4th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 173y

Class 4

19:09 Carlisle

Benacre

9st 5lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Charlie Johnston

Not won on turf since his 2yo days but it was a fairly close third at Musselburgh (7f, good) in April; now 4lb lower after four lesser runs; handicapping case can be made but percentage call is to oppose.

9/1

5th

5

(5)

19th Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

18:35 Newmarket (July)

Benacre

9st 5lb

J: Jack Callan

T: Charlie Johnston

Not won on turf since his 2yo days and has gone off the boil, finishing a remote last behind Physique at Beverley a few weeks ago; hard to recommend off the back of that.

12/1

Form: 410 CD

Last run: 81 days

W: 9st 4lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Comfortably landed an uncompetitive novice over C&D in June, but finished lame on her handicap debut in a Racing League event at Chepstow (7f, good to soft) in August; has been off 81 days, but remains unexposed after just three outings.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(7)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Estrella Divina

9st 4lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Jack Channon

Comfortably landed an uncompetitive novice over C&D in June, but finished lame on her handicap debut in a Racing League event at Chepstow (7f, good to soft) in August; has been off 81 days, but remains unexposed after just three outings.

16/1

8

(7)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Estrella Divina

9st 4lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Jack Channon

Comfortably landed an uncompetitive novice over C&D in June, but finished lame on her handicap debut in a Racing League event at Chepstow (7f, good to soft) in August; has been off 81 days, but remains unexposed after just three outings.

16/1

13th

7

(6)

7th Aug 2025

Good

0m 7f 16y

Class 4

19:00 Chepstow

Estrella Divina

9st 9lb

J: David Probert

T: Jack Channon

Didn't make her debut until June but set to make up for lost time judged on the way she strode 3l clear in novice at Newcastle (7f, AW) six weeks ago; lacks experience for a race of this nature but has obvious unexposed potential now making a quick switch to handicaps.

13/2

Form: 681664 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Responded well to the fitting of a hood when off the mark at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; best effort since when fourth of ten at Chelmsford (7f, Polytrack) 11 days ago; still 4lb higher than for his win so needs a bit more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

(2)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Fire Flame

9st 3lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Roger Varian

Responded well to the fitting of a hood when off the mark at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; best effort since when fourth of ten at Chelmsford (7f, Polytrack) 11 days ago; still 4lb higher than for his win so needs a bit more.

17/2

9

(2)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Fire Flame

9st 3lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Roger Varian

Responded well to the fitting of a hood when off the mark at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; best effort since when fourth of ten at Chelmsford (7f, Polytrack) 11 days ago; still 4lb higher than for his win so needs a bit more.

17/2

4th

8

(9)

16th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Fire Flame

9st 1lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Roger Varian

Off the mark at sixth attempt when scoring with hood added at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; finished a 5l sixth in both runs since but he had some traffic issues on both occasions and still looks feasibly treated on his peak form; could be a big factor if he gets the breaks this time.

7/1

14/1

Form: 351858

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Made a successful handicap debut at Haydock (6f, good) in July and although out of the frame in three starts since, wasn't beaten far in his last two outings (3l behind Candonomore at York last time); still needs a bit more on AW debut, though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(9)

10th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

14:45 Ayr

Pal Joey

10st 0lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Ben Haslam

Started this year with a 5f win at Newcastle (Tapeta) but he's been disappointing since and was beaten 7l at Newcastle (1m) last month; has plenty to prove and he needs a major revival back in trip; tongue-tie reapplied.

16/1

8th

13

(4)

25th Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 4

16:00 Newcastle (AW)

Pal Joey

8st 11lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Ben Haslam

Kickstarted 2026 with 5f win here but his form has nosedived since; it's easy to look elsewhere.

50/1

9th

8

(1)

16th Jun 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

16:42 Thirsk

Pal Joey

9st 4lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Ben Haslam

Kickstarted 2026 with 5f success at Newcastle in January but he's failed to reproduce it, again slowly away when fifth of seven at Hamilton (5f) six days ago; others are preferred.

12/1

10/1

Form: 470005 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 2lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Won at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) just over two years ago, but rarely seen on the AW since; 3lb below last winning mark, but needs to do better than of late and slow starts have become a habit.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(10)

2nd Sep 2026

Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 6

19:20 Hamilton

Yaaser

9st 9lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

Eight-time turf winner; rather inconsistent this season; has a chance on his third here in August (1m, good) but this softer ground against him.

13/2

4th

8

(1)

10th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

14:45 Ayr

Yaaser

9st 9lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

Four-time course winner (7f/1m) who acts on good to firm and good to soft; did well to finish a close third after missing the break at Hamilton (8.3f) nine days ago but he's not easy to predict and was always behind over C&D on Saturday night; risks attached.

8/1

8th

12

(12)

8th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

20:00 Ayr

Yaaser

9st 4lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

Talented and well treated; multiple wins include two over C&D; nearly all his wins under Paul Mulrennan, who prefers Sanafi Zabeel, but he's also gone well for Lauren Young and ran creditably for her at Hamilton last week; the likely strong pace will suit and he's capable of a big run.

12/1

Form: 256159 CD

Last run: 212 days

W: 8st 12lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Five wins here, the latest over this trip in February; off seven months and although he has won fresh in the past, this is a better race than he normally contests these days.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(1)

4th Nov 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

13:25 Redcar

Streak Lightning

9st 6lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

100-1 when unseating at the start in a Class 4 AW handicap last week on return from a lengthy break; this is more his level but has a bit to prove on the wellbeing front.

16/1

10

(1)

4th Nov 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

13:25 Redcar

Streak Lightning

9st 6lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

100-1 when unseating at the start in a Class 4 AW handicap last week on return from a lengthy break; this is more his level but has a bit to prove on the wellbeing front.

16/1

10

(1)

4th Nov 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

13:25 Redcar

Streak Lightning

9st 6lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

100-1 when unseating at the start in a Class 4 AW handicap last week on return from a lengthy break; this is more his level but has a bit to prove on the wellbeing front.

16/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £58.90
Straight Forecast £47.26
Tricast £119.13
Trifecta £336.20

Selections

The Guardian:

Candonomore

RP RATINGS:

Yaaser

Telegraph:

Jolly Roger

SPOTLIGHT:

Benacre

The Times:

Pal Joey

The Star:

Arctic Dawn

Daily Mail:

Jolly Roger

D Express:

Candonomore

Daily Mirror:

Candonomore

Daily Record:

Candonomore

The Sun:

Benacre

TOPSPEED:

Yaaser

POSTDATA:

Yaaser