November 04 / 12.40 Lingfield (AW)

12.40

Standard

Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

  • Prize money: £4972.3
  • 0m 6f 1y
  • Class 4
  • 4 runners
SKY
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Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Light rain

Form: 170 D

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 9lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Ready winner of a 6f fillies' novice at Haydock on her debut in September; no progress in Group 3/Listed events on her next two starts but this should more suitable; still has time to fulfil her debut promise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(3)

18th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

17:20 Newbury

Lightning Polka

9st 0lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Ed Walker

Has a record of 0-5 since debut success (6f) but she ran encouragingly upped in trip and fitted with a hood at Newmarket (good to firm) most recently; may build on that effort kept to 7f in the retained headgear; now 5lb lower than her opening mark; respected.

4/1

3rd

6

(4)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

17:00 Newmarket (July)

Lightning Polka

9st 0lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Ed Walker

She's failed to fulfil the promise of last September's debut win at Haydock (6f, good) and was well beaten at 4-1 on reappearance on the Rowley Mile (6f, good to firm) two months ago; however, she stumbled leaving the stalls and pulled hard, and perhaps she'll settle better today in a first-time hood; not written off, and interesting to see if her backers return.

16/1

9th

11

(11)

1st May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

17:15 Newmarket

Lightning Polka

9st 2lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Ed Walker

Looked good when winning on debut at Haydock (6f, good) last September; didn't kick on subsequently and came third of four on handicap debut at Lingfield (6f, AW) in November last time, but maybe a break will have helped this half-sister to 6f Group 3 winner Light Refrain; yard in fine form.

7/1

Form: 8131 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
2-2 on AW, the wins coming in a Wolverhampton novice and a Newcastle nursery (both 6f); 6lb rise demands further progress but that would seem quite possible.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

(8)

9th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:00 Newmarket (July)

Ten Carat Harry

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Has given superb value since the autumn, winning five 6f handicaps on the AW between October and January; even better in turf sprints since, landing a 6f handicap on the Rowley course here (good to firm) and finishing strongly to take second on his side to a handicap blot in the big 5f race at Royal Ascot; rock solid to go well back at 6f.

9/1

3rd

4

(28)

19th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 2

18:10 Ascot

Ten Carat Harry

9st 6lb

J: William Carver

T: Jamie Osborne

Made hay on AW over the winter and then found another burst of improvement to win at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) last month; admirable as he is, this looks an extremely stiff task now dropping to 5f for the first time; sold for £200,000 at the Goffs London Sale on Monday.

33/1

4th

6

(8)

5th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 3y

Class 1

17:15 Epsom

Ten Carat Harry

9st 2lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Productive gelding, mostly over 6f and on AW; prevailed by a neck in Newmarket handicap (good to firm) back on turf last time, taking record to 7-12; has bits of 7f form, including at Listed level; in the mix.

6/1

OUR TIP

Form: 51237 D

Last run: 38 days

W: 9st 6lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Disappointed at Newmarket last time (7f, good to firm) but her previous efforts stack up well and she should be fine on AW; blinkers added.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(4)

2nd Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

16:18 Pontefract

Rogue Temptation

9st 8lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Edward Bethell

Registered a novice success last July and good effort on handicap debut in September but not in the same form since; hopes of a resurgence are mostly pinned on the drop in grade off a reduced mark.

14/1

12th

5

(11)

8th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

16:00 Ascot

Rogue Temptation

9st 7lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Edward Bethell

Haydock novice (6f, good) winner who made pleasing handicap debut when third of 12 at Doncaster (6.5f, good to soft) in September; finished last on final two starts of last year but reappearance fifth of 13 at Ripon (6f, good to soft; first-time blinkers) wasn't a bad effort three weeks ago; now needs to build on that.

16/1

Form: 942044

Last run: 24 days

W: 8st 12lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Consistent rather than progressive in his six runs; drops back in trip for his AW debut; likely one or two of these will prove stronger.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

(1)

17th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

19:33 Newmarket (July)

Ecclefechan

8st 8lb

J: Alice Bond

T: John Ryan

0-13 and he hasn't suggested he's about to cash in on a reduced mark, including when sixth of ten at Carlisle (7f) last Thursday; he's never gone closer than when a neck second at Musselburgh last August on his sole start at 5f, however, which could be a straw to clutch to.

14/1

6th

6

(1)

9th Jul 2026

Good

0m 6f 195y

Class 5

16:55 Carlisle

Ecclefechan

9st 8lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: John Ryan

12-race maiden; last of eight at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) 13 days ago when cheekpieces (now absent) were tried; others are more persuasive.

14/1

8th

8

(4)

26th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 3y

Class 5

12:30 Yarmouth

Ecclefechan

9st 4lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: John Ryan

Inconsistent 11-race maiden who produced one of his lesser efforts at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last time; this return to 7f is no problem but he needs to bounce back with cheekpieces added.

10/1

Non-runners

Noble Vow, Green Dame

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Straight Forecast £7.64

Selections

TOPSPEED:

Ten Carat Harry

SPOTLIGHT:

Noble Vow

POSTDATA:

Green Dame

The Times:

Ecclefechan

Daily Mail:

Rogue Temptation

LAMBOURN:

Ten Carat Harry

Telegraph:

Ten Carat Harry

The Sun:

Ten Carat Harry

The Star:

Ten Carat Harry

RP RATINGS:

Noble Vow

D Express:

Noble Vow

Daily Record:

Noble Vow

NEWMARKET:

Green Dame

The Guardian:

Green Dame

Daily Mirror:

Green Dame