August 29 / 15.18 Carlisle

15.18

Good To Soft

Northern Security Handicap

  • Prize money: £5495.7
  • 0m 5f 182y
  • Class 4
  • 8 runners
RTV
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Northern Security Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

9/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.90
  • Place: £1.40

Form: -12415 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
7f AW winner last season (trained by Ollie Sangster); won first time out for current yard at Thirsk in July (6f, good to soft) and decent effort off 6lb higher at Haydock last time (6f, good); a possible.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(8)

29th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

16:40 Ayr

Roberto Caro

9st 10lb

J: Mikey Sheehy

T: Adrian Paul Keatley

He's dropped to a favourable mark and there is every chance that he will exploit it at some point, but he was a soundly beaten fourth of eight behind Belsito at Hamilton (6f, soft) eight days ago and has work to do here.

12/1

4th

4

(4)

21st Sep 2026

Soft

0m 6f 6y

Class 4

16:30 Hamilton

Roberto Caro

9st 10lb

J: Mikey Sheehy

T: Adrian Paul Keatley

Encouraging return to turf when never-nearer close fourth at Ripon (6f, good to soft; has won on soft) in April and he wasn't far away in a big field back there in August; on a favourable mark now; not far away.

8/1

7th

8

(18)

15th Aug 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

14:55 Ripon

Roberto Caro

9st 8lb

J: Mikey Sheehy

T: Adrian Paul Keatley

Well handicapped on this year's best, including a close fourth over C&D in April; has had the odd excuse since and he ran perfectly well over an inadequate 5f at York three weeks ago (not well drawn); a big run could be on the cards.

12/1

20/1

  • Place: £6.40

Form: 11405 D

Last run: 62 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Won Newcastle maiden (7f) and Pontefract novice (6f, soft) on first two starts; hasn't run as well last couple of outings, but quite interesting back from a break.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

(7)

3rd Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

21:00 Kempton (AW)

Thursdays Child

9st 5lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: Patrick Chamings

Record of 0-5 this term for new yard but has been working her way into form, including over C&D; not dismissed off current mark.

4/1

1

(4)

1st Aug 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Thursdays Child

9st 9lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Patrick Chamings

Caught the eye dropped to a 0-70 for the first time at Kempton (6f) four weeks ago, beaten only just over 2l despite being repeatedly denied a clear run; the return to 7f should help if anything and Patrick Chamings is among the winners so there are reasons to be hopeful.

11/2

3

(5)

3rd Jul 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

20:43 Kempton (AW)

Thursdays Child

9st 9lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: Patrick Chamings

She has slipped down the weights and there was more encouragement to be gleaned from her Goodwood fifth last month (7f, soft); drops in class today and Jim Crowley is booked; interesting.

8/1

OUR TIP

2/1

  • Place: £1.30

Form: -12034 BF

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Beat a very useful sort by over 4l when winning a 7f Catterick novice on reappearance (heavy); fair form in two 6f handicaps at Chester on last two starts; chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

3

(10)

16th Oct 2026

Heavy

0m 5f 0y

Class 3

16:37 Haydock

Eye Of Dubai

9st 8lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John & Sean Quinn

Returned to form with a bang when a well-backed winner in first-time blinkers (retained since) in the Ayr Bronze Cup (6f, soft) last month; unplaced at Ripon (6f, good) eight days later but back on song when second at Ayr (6f, heavy) last week; well worth another crack at 5f; high on the list.

5/1

8th

7

(9)

26th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:28 Ripon

Eye Of Dubai

9st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John & Sean Quinn

Winner of the last two runnings of this; back to form with a bang in first-time blinkers (retained) when landing the Bronze Cup at Ayr (6f) one week ago; back up 5lb but he holds major claims off the same mark as when scoring here 12 months ago.

7/2

13th

16

(19)

28th Aug 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:00 Thirsk

Eye Of Dubai

9st 6lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John & Sean Quinn

Scored at Ripon (6f) in September but yet to hit top form in four runs this season, beating only one back there (6f) 13 days ago; mark is plummeting but he still needs to take a step forward.

25/1

11/1

Form: 11-089

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Well suited by soft ground, winning a Nottingham maiden (5f, soft) and a York nursery (5f, soft) on last two starts last season; modest efforts in 5f/6f handicaps this term (all on good); this ground will suit; could bounce back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

11

(14)

16th Oct 2026

Heavy

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:07 Haydock

Irish Nectar

9st 5lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Capitalised on a career-low mark when back on slow ground at Leicester (6f, good to soft) on Tuesday; his three previous wins had come on soft ground; he's back down to 5f today but had just over 3l to spare in that big field at Leicester last time and a 5lb penalty may well not be enough to stop him.

5/2

1st

12

(5)

13th Oct 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:39 Leicester

Irish Nectar

9st 8lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

5f-6f winner, all on soft ground; it's two years since his last win but the handicapper is giving him a chance and he's not written off now the ground is a little slower.

5/1

4th

5

(9)

17th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

14:08 Pontefract

Irish Nectar

9st 13lb

J: Charlie Tucker

T: Michael Herrington

His last win was almost two years ago but he's on a reduced mark and was beaten less than 2l when third at Kempton (6f, AW) two weeks ago; should get a good tow into this race and has possibilities if he gets the breaks.

15/2

Form: 142-1 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Beat Eye Of Dubai by a neck when winning a Redcar novice on debut last season (6f, soft); gelded in December; coped with the faster ground when narrow winner at 14-1 on seasonal/handicap debut at Nottingham (6f; fifth has won since); should improve on that; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

14

(14)

5th Oct 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

14:40 Pontefract

Valentine Catcher

8st 11lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

He has been threatening in recent starts but he moves back up in class today and has the widest stall to overcome.

14/1

5th

3

(9)

26th Sep 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

16:40 Ripon

Valentine Catcher

9st 11lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

6f places off this mark on his last three outings, but 2-25 overall (below form on sole start here) and there's been no win since 2024.

5/1

3rd

9

(8)

8th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

16:02 Leicester

Valentine Catcher

9st 4lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Tim Easterby

Without a win since 2024 but posted his best effort of the season when third of 13 in 6f handicap at Hamilton six days ago; must enter calculations off the same mark.

7/2

10/1

Form: 411688

Last run: 47 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Won 5f maiden at Pontefract last term (good to soft); two wins this season (over 7f/7.5f) but not quite so good recently (highly tried on occasions); this shorter trip could be beneficial (can pull hard).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(6)

29th Oct 2024

Soft

0m 5f 212y

Class 4

15:22 Catterick

Princess Alex

9st 6lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

in touch with leaders, raced in second after 2f

7/1

5th

7

(6)

29th Oct 2024

Soft

0m 5f 212y

Class 4

15:22 Catterick

Princess Alex

9st 6lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

in touch with leaders, raced in second after 2f, lost second and weakened from over 1f out

7/1

3rd

5

(8)

14th Oct 2024

Good

0m 7f 15y

Class 3

15:50 Musselburgh

Princess Alex

8st 12lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

Won two in a row in the spring (soft/good to soft) and returned to form when second at Beverley (7.4f, good) last month; however, she was soundly beaten at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) recently and has to bounce back.

10/1

Form: 230066

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Won two nurseries last season (5f/6f; AW/good); highly tried in some competitive handicaps this season, running well when placed on first two starts (5f, good/heavy) but hasn't fared quite as well since, including with blinkers and at 7f; on a good mark, but a bit to prove now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

2

29th May 2026

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

20:25 Wolverhampton (AW)

Hedge Fund

9st 8lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Michael Appleby

Won over 6f on this track as 2yo; winless since that season but he's shown enough to think he can be placed to advantage off a reduced mark; had a troubled start to the season at Beverley but it's too soon to write him off; hood refitted with cheekpieces added.

10/1

7th

6

(8)

4th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

16:15 Beverley

Hedge Fund

9st 1lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Appleby

Not a prolific winner; rather disappointing for this yard in a light campaign last season, best run when third at Haydock in September (5f, good; hood on for first time); no hood this time; on a good mark and could go well.

7/1

Form: 1-2100

Last run: 47 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
In good form earlier in the season, winning a Chester handicap on second start (5f, good; tactical race); disappointing with headgear last twice; may do better on this easier ground with headgear left off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(3)

5th Oct 2026

Good

0m 5f 3y

Class 6

17:33 Pontefract

Knicks

9st 4lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Won just two of his 36 starts and the second of them was way back in May 2024; he has run some solid races this season, including C&D, but he is prone to fluffing the start and that won't make life easy from stall 3.

10/1

13th

15

(20)

17th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

14:00 Ayr

Knicks

9st 4lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Michael & David Easterby

On a long losing sequence but is in form, having made the frame in four of his last six races, and remains attractively treated on historical data; return to winning ways is not out of the question.

10/1

3rd

5

(3)

8th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

15:27 Leicester

Knicks

9st 9lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Extended losing run to 26 when finishing in midfield at Chester in July (again slowly away); has the ability to win off this mark but he is not a solid option.

8/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £65.60
Straight Forecast £71.41
Tricast £202.32
Trifecta £325.50

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Valentine Catcher

D Express:

Roberto Caro

TOPSPEED:

Hedge Fund

The Star:

Roberto Caro

RP RATINGS:

Valentine Catcher

POSTDATA:

Valentine Catcher

The Times:

Valentine Catcher

Telegraph:

Valentine Catcher

The Guardian:

Valentine Catcher

Daily Mail:

Valentine Catcher

Daily Mirror:

Valentine Catcher

Daily Record:

Valentine Catcher