November 07 / 18.30 Chelmsford (AW)

18.30

Standard

EBF ‘Confined’ Novice Stakes (For horses Which Have Run No More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 1m 2f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 7 runners
RTV
View Course
EBF ‘Confined’ Novice Stakes (For horses Which Have Run No More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

20/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.50
  • Place: £2.30

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
By Saxon Warrior; first foal of Kempton 7f 2yo novice winner, with British and French Group 2 and 3 scorers at up to 1m1f evident a generation earlier; yard not as much among 2yo novice/maiden scorers this year as usual.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(8)

21st Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 4f 14y

Class 3

17:40 Southwell (AW)

Palazzo Blu

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Marco Botti

All was looking good when making it 2-3 in a C&D novice here in April; since then he's finished last in Listed/handicap company on either side of a good run to be fifth at Newmarket in July (strong 1m2f handicap); all hope is not yet lost as it's still early days, but he now has something to prove.

16/1

10th

6

(7)

11th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

15:35 Doncaster

Palazzo Blu

8st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Marco Botti

Raced on good/good to firm on turf; tailed off in a 1m3f Goodwood Listed race in May but this dual novice winner got his career back on track when fifth of eight in a strong 1m2f 3yo handicap at the Newmarket July meeting; back from another two months off with Oisin Murphy doing the steering; yard also runs Molveno.

20/1

5th

2

(2)

11th Jul 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:50 Newmarket (July)

Palazzo Blu

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Marco Botti

Made it 2-3 when staying on strongly to assert late on as 5-4 favourite in a novice at Southwell (1m4f, AW) in April; useful RPR with that convincing success but he was tailed off when switched to a Listed event at Goodwood (1m3f, good) in May; still unexposed but has a bit to prove after that heavy defeat and this is a highly competitive race for handicap debut.

20/1

6/1

  • Place: £2.40

Form: 547

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Front-running on soft ground found him out at Newmarket latest but that ought not to be anywhere near all he has to offer at 1m2f judged on pedigree; Kempton 1m fourth before that sets a clear standard of those with experience here, and he remains of interest; blinkers added.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(6)

17th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Mersea Island

9st 10lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Charlie Johnston

Progressive last year, with the second of his two AW wins coming over C&D in December; this is his first run of the year but he has to be of interest.

7/2

3rd

2

(5)

13th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 104y

Class 5

16:30 Yarmouth

Mersea Island

9st 9lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Charlie Johnston

Went very close in a Chelmsford novice (1m2f, AW) last November but after being gelded, he's had two heavy defeats in handicaps (1m2f/1m4f) this season; still unexposed but he needs a major revival with visor now tried.

12/1

6th

2

(7)

1st Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 13y

Class 5

17:25 Catterick

Mersea Island

9st 10lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Charlie Johnston

Best two efforts from five starts have been on AW and he's been off since finishing last of six in a class 3 at Doncaster (1m2f, good; beaten 24l) in March; drops in grade and steps up in trip with a bit to prove.

9/1

OUR TIP

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
By Dubawi; first foal of French Group 3 winner at 1m, half-sister notched Listed (British) and Group 2 (French) wins at 1m2f; serious contender with the yard's 2yo strike-rate this autumn still most healthy.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(9)

5th Sep 2026

Soft

1m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:05 Haydock

Aegean Prince

9st 12lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Made it 2-3 when easily making all in Ascot novice (1m4f, good to soft) last October, following an absence, and close Listed second at Deauville (12.5f, very soft) later that month; this is his first outing since but he's clearly capable when fresh and could be superior to his opening mark.

5/2

1st

1

(2)

3rd Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 3

15:30 Ascot

Aegean Prince

9st 10lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Charlie Appleby

Favourite for both runs last season on the AW and prevailed narrowly at Kempton in December (1m3f); top connections have been patient and had him gelded; open to improvement but William Buick rides the yard's other one.

4/1

1st

1

(7)

18th Dec 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 4

16:40 Kempton (AW)

Aegean Prince

9st 7lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Beaten favourite at Chelmsford on his debut six weeks ago (1m2f) but it was a promising start and he looked a stayer in the making; sets the standard and capable of better; one of two runners for stable.

10/11

12/1

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
By No Nay Never; dam won over 1m2f before later gains at Listed level over further, and she's produced one Polytrack scorer at today's trip; yard still firing in the winners in all disciplines lately; respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(7)

16th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 5y

Class 3

17:15 Pontefract

Ammes

9st 13lb

J: Jason Hart

T: James Owen

Runner-up off 1lb higher at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) in April and he's run respectably on his three starts since; this is less competitive than those last three outings and he might not be far away.

15/2

9th

6

(15)

1st Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 11y

Class 3

17:20 Goodwood

Ammes

9st 9lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: James Owen

Kept on for second at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) in April and he's run well in fourth on both starts since (1m2f/1m4f, good to soft/good to firm); he's never raced over a trip this short and it isn't an obvious plus, but on the flip-side a well-run race in this big field should play to his strengths.

14/1

4th

8

(3)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 4f 0y

Class 2

15:15 Newmarket (July)

Ammes

8st 13lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: James Owen

Fit from AW and hurdling when good second to Fierce Fortitude at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) in April, keeping on strongly; respectable fourth of 16 to a runaway winner at Epsom (1m2f, good to soft) four weeks ago and should be okay back at 1m4f, but this race looks a bit too hot; 5lb claimer is recruited.

14/1

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
By Camelot out of unraced dam who has already produced two German winners at this trip and beyond, notably Melbourne Cup hero Protectionist (also a 2yo winner at 1m); yard's 2yos rather less prolific on synthetics than turf, but a good bit to like otherwise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

15

(18)

31st Jul 2026

Good To Firm

2m 4f 137y

Class 2

13:50 Goodwood

Kentucky River

8st 4lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Olly Murphy

Latest Flat start was his first win, by 7l in a four-runner race at Pontefract (2m1f, good to firm) last August for Ollie Sangster; seven races over hurdles for new connections, winning two (2m5f/2m3f) of the last three; probably has a good mark, so needs a second look, but this is a step up in class.

16/1

1st

2

3rd Jun 2026

Good To Firm

2m 3f 0y

Class 4

19:30 Warwick

Kentucky River

11st 3lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: Olly Murphy

Fair Flat racer who won easily over hurdles at Huntingdon (2m4f, good) in April, his second handicap; well beaten in valuable Fakenham contest since but back in calmer waters and on a more conventional track here; remains of interest, albeit the forecast rain may not be in his favour.

6/1

20/1

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
50,000euros yearling; Kameko half-brother to three Kempton Polytrack 2yo winners, albeit none of them beyond 1m and only one came really close to scoring on racecourse debut; other newcomers persuade more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

4

(5)

29th Sep 2026

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

15:08 Ayr

Kokanee

9st 9lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Ed Dunlop

Won at Lingfield (1m2f, soft) in June; not at the same level on his three starts since but he's back on deeper ground today and only 1lb higher than for that last win; possible player.

13/2

4th

5

(2)

15th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

1m 2f 23y

Class 4

16:17 Yarmouth

Kokanee

9st 7lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Ed Dunlop

Dual 1m2f winner, latterly this June; backward steps on last two starts, particularly latest on first AW run since 2024; that's a concern but he has a good record when the ground is softer than good, which keeps him in picture.

9/1

9th

4

(2)

22nd Aug 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

17:10 Lingfield (AW)

Kokanee

9st 8lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Ed Dunlop

Two-time winner, the latest on the turf track here (1m2f, soft) in June; needs to show he is as effective on AW.

6/1

12/1

Form: 03

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Left a dismal Polytrack debut well behind when a rallying third of five at Bath last month (1m2f, heavy), if perhaps shaping as if already in need of the 1m4f; still of interest.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(2)

27th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 6f 115y

Class 5

13:50 Doncaster

Hi Ya Mal

9st 9lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Andrew Balding

Reliable and progressive since sent into handicaps, including for a Hamilton win (1m4f, good) on penultimate start and close third at Sandown (1m6f, good) on latest; the latter was behind a Prescott-trained improver and the problem is that he faces another of those today.

3/1

3rd

5

(3)

13th Jun 2025

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:00 Sandown

Hi Ya Mal

9st 4lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Consistent since sent into handicaps and had a bit up his sleeve at Hamilton 16 days ago (1m4f, good); 4lb rise is fair and interesting now sent further as his dam was a smart stayer.

11/4

1st

4

(4)

28th May 2025

Good

1m 4f 15y

Class 5

17:03 Hamilton

Hi Ya Mal

9st 4lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

Two fair runs in 1m4f AW handicaps; likely needs more for the return to turf and longer trips might be his destiny as dam was a 1m6f Listed winner who finished third in the 2m4f Ascot Stakes, and whose winning offspring include a 2m winner; still not ruled out for yard that won this in 2024.

11/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £20.40
Straight Forecast £24.26
Trifecta £49.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Aegean Prince

Telegraph:

Kentucky River

POSTDATA:

Mersea Island

D Express:

Kentucky River

Daily Mirror:

Kentucky River

NEWMARKET:

Aegean Prince

The Times:

Aegean Prince

The Guardian:

Aegean Prince

Daily Mail:

Aegean Prince

The Sun:

Aegean Prince

The Star:

Aegean Prince

Daily Record:

Aegean Prince