November 03 / 18.15 Newcastle (AW)

18.15

Standard

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

  • Prize money: £3140.4
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 6
  • 12 runners
SKY
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Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

10/1 (Won)

  • Win: £9.00
  • Place: £3.00

Form: 4-0777 CD

Last run: 114 days

W: 9st 1lb

6 yo Mare

OR: 50

Form & Verdict
Struggled for Paul Midgley in the spring/summer; there's nothing to suggest she's best caught fresh but the switch back to her old yard and a new headgear combination may help.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12

(3)

3rd Jun 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

19:00 Wetherby

Key Look

8st 12lb

J: Sam James

T: Geoffrey Harker

held up in rear, lost action and pulled up soon after start

10/1

2nd
4 (1)
Dr Rio

9/1

  • Place: £5.20

Form: 684120 D

Last run: 67 days

W: 9st 8lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Done most racing over further and wants a good test over this trip, as when winning at Beverley off 4lb lower in the summer; has been given a break since below-par run back in the hood (retained) ten weeks ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(1)

12th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 100y

Class 5

16:35 Beverley

Dr Rio

9st 3lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Veteran who is a multiple winner, from 7.5f to 1m4f, at Beverley; however, latest effort (here) doesn't suggest his old legs are crying out for this 3.5f drop back in trip.

16/1

4th

5

(3)

23rd Apr 2026

Good

1m 4f 23y

Class 5

15:52 Beverley

Dr Rio

9st 5lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Veteran who is 6-23 at Beverley, the most recent success last August in last 1m4f attempt; could go well returned to this scenario with Catterick reappearance (7f) under his belt.

12/1

5th

7

(7)

8th Apr 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

15:23 Catterick

Dr Rio

9st 5lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

All six of his wins in Britain, and all ten of his outings last season, have come at Beverley; won over 7.4f/1m4f last summer but this 10yo lacks a recent outing and hasn't really shone on his three previous visits here.

20/1

14/1

  • Place: £6.00

Form: 807100 C

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Most wins have come in the second half of the year but he's become wildly inconsistent with age; capable of popping up under inexperienced 7lb claimer Ethan Tindall (0-16) but others are more convincing.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

(1)

12th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

14:52 Newcastle (AW)

Absolute Dream

9st 8lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

in touch with leaders, bit short of room over 1f out, kept on

10/1

5th

3

(1)

12th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

14:52 Newcastle (AW)

Absolute Dream

9st 8lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

in touch with leaders, bit short of room over 1f out, kept on

10/1

8th

5

(8)

18th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Absolute Dream

9st 6lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Richard Fahey

C&D scorer didn't enjoy the best of runs when a solid fifth of ten in 6f Newcastle handicap 13 days ago; he merits serious consideration off a 1lb lower mark.

13/2

OUR TIP

8/1

Form: 023658 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Won this last season but in form then and able to race off an 8lb lower mark; traditionally does well at this time of the year, however, and this is easier than the handicaps he's contested of late, so expect better.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

9

(9)

20th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 1lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ruth Carr

11-time course winner who defied this mark over C&D in December; some creditable efforts since but he has been a bit up and down and was only sixth behind Anthropologist here last time; others preferred.

16/1

6th

5

(9)

27th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 7lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

11-time course winner, the latest over C&D in December, and he twice finished placed over C&D last month; certainly of interest on that form but this 12yo has gone off the boil on his last two starts.

14/1

11th

1

(7)

14th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Failed to fire at Newcastle last week but this veteran had run two fine races in defeat beforehand; fully effective at this track too so no great surprise were he to rebound quickly.

12/1

8/1

Form: 374579

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Regressive maiden who again ran poorly over C&D a fortnight ago; well treated on her spring efforts here if the first-time headgear brings her back to form but a leap of faith is needed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(4)

15th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 6

14:42 Newcastle (AW)

Violeta

9st 5lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Ben Haslam

Has modest 2-34 career strike-rate and needs to rebound from a poor run here in December but her C&D second two starts ago was a good effort and she has obvious claims if judged on that performance.

10/1

7th

10

23rd Aug 2025

Good

2m 1f 46y

Class 5

14:45 Cartmel

Violeta

10st 2lb

J: Jack Hogan

T: Ben Haslam

AW winner last September and in March (1m2f); a straggler over hurdles, hence the rock-bottom mark (and 4lb wrong today) but she's willing on the Flat and she might well fare much better now handicapping.

16/1

Form: 188803 BF

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 54

Form & Verdict
Can pull hard but was better on that front in the reapplied tongue-tie over C&D a month ago, when unlucky not to finish closer behind Blame The Farrier; one of the likelier winners.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

12

(1)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Angel Amadea

9st 3lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Rebecca Menzies

Won twice at Wolverhampton in 2023 (6f/7f); mainly disappointing this year but well handicapped as a result (8lb lower than for only handicap win).

14/1

10th

12

(1)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Angel Amadea

9st 3lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Rebecca Menzies

Won twice at Wolverhampton in 2023 (6f/7f); mainly disappointing this year but well handicapped as a result (8lb lower than for only handicap win).

14/1

5th

11

(12)

18th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Angel Amadea

8st 13lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Rebecca Menzies

On a lengthy losing sequence and she beat just one in 7f Newcastle handicap last month; others are much preferred.

20/1

10/1

Form: 220587 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 56

Form & Verdict
Expensive to follow early in the year, mainly over further, and hasn't run well in a couple of starts back from a summer break; the return to this track off a career-low mark should help though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

6

(9)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 195y

Class 6

16:45 Carlisle

Pallas Lord

9st 4lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Donald Whillans

Handy sort who is 1-1 here and ran well returned to turf when beaten a short head and a neck into third of eight at Hamilton (1m, good) a fortnight ago; ground faster than good probably not ideal, though.

7/1

3rd

3

(8)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 68y

Class 6

21:00 Hamilton

Pallas Lord

9st 8lb

J: David Nolan

T: Donald Whillans

Ended a long losing run at Newcastle (7f) in February but below par both runs since, sixth in 8.5f handicap at Wolverhampton last time; has a rare run on turf now.

7/1

2

(3)

29th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 6

16:25 Musselburgh

Pallas Lord

9st 8lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Donald Whillans

Gained Newcastle win number ten in February; respectable sixth at Wolverhampton (8.6f) latest; it's hard to get excited by last year's turf exploits but he was runner-up over 1m here in April 2024.

15/2

Form: 425543 D

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Ran below market expectations a couple of times here previously and does seem happiest round Southwelll; arrives in good form but has become hard to win with.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(4)

31st Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:45 Southwell (AW)

Kodebreaker

9st 0lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

Conditions no problem and he has run creditably on his last two visits here, the latest last week; shouldn't be too far away.

10/1

7

(4)

31st Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:45 Southwell (AW)

Kodebreaker

9st 0lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

Conditions no problem and he has run creditably on his last two visits here, the latest last week; shouldn't be too far away.

10/1

6th

9

(11)

24th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Kodebreaker

9st 2lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Showed he can be competitive from his reduced mark when a close fourth over C&D last month and bit better than the result (hampered towards finish) when sixth of 14 at Yarmouth since; on the shortlist.

11/2

Form: 993936 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 56

Form & Verdict
Three-time Kempton winner for Tom Clover and has tumbled down the handicap on turf this year; a bit higher in the weights back on AW but has been showing enough on soft/heavy turf to suggest he's worth considering.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

10

(5)

8th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Force

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: R Mike Smith

All three wins at Kempton (7f/1m) for Tom Clover and placed a couple of times on turf for this yard during the autumn; didn't enjoy the clearest of runs when ninth of 12 here (7f) five weeks ago, but wouldn't have won anyway and still to prove he can act on Tapeta.

20/1

9th

7

(5)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Force

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: R Mike Smith

Three-time Kempton winner for Tom Clover and has tumbled down the handicap on turf this year; a bit higher in the weights back on AW but has been showing enough on soft/heavy turf to suggest he's worth considering.

9/1

6th

8

(7)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Rogue Force

9st 1lb

J: P J McDonald

T: R Mike Smith

towards rear, switched to near side 3f out, no impression from over 1f out

9/2

Form: 636902

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 56

Form & Verdict
Much better from the front over C&D last time, when having Angel Amadea just behind; that gave something to build on but this looks more competitive and he's exposed as ordinary under both codes.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

6

(1)

19th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:14 Newcastle (AW)

Blame The Farrier

9st 6lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: David Thompson

Remains a maiden and he's not proved the easiest to catch right this term, only tenth over C&D 16 days ago; cheekpieces are reached for now.

16/1

10th

8

(10)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Blame The Farrier

9st 7lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: David Thompson

Much better from the front over C&D last time, when having Angel Amadea just behind; that gave something to build on but this looks more competitive and he's exposed as ordinary under both codes.

8/1

2nd

1

(8)

29th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Blame The Farrier

9st 10lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: David Thompson

Maiden (0-14 all codes, 0-7 Flat); has shown a modest level of form in each of his last three starts (6f-1m, turf), falling sharply in the weights as a result; tough to consider even though this is just his second AW appearance.

16/1

16/1

Form: 237610 C

Last run: 45 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict
Found a weak 1m maiden when off the mark here in September (first-time cheekpieces); hasn't taken to hurdles since and this shortest trip to date is a concern, switched to a visor; yard also responsible for Angel Amadea.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

9

(6)

8th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 0f 14y

Class 6

20:30 Chepstow

Child Of Lir

9st 0lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ben Lund

Picked up for just £2,000 from Rebecca Menzies and pretty much tailed off since; with a mark of 42 he's 4lb wrong.

33/1

7th

8

(6)

23rd Apr 2024

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Child Of Lir

9st 0lb

J: Olivia Tubb

T: Ben Lund

Picked up for just £2,000 from Rebecca Menzies last month and made a poor start for his new yard when behind two of these here a fortnight ago; is hard to recommend.

33/1

7th

8

(6)

23rd Apr 2024

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Child Of Lir

9st 0lb

J: Olivia Tubb

T: Ben Lund

Picked up for just £2,000 from Rebecca Menzies last month and made a poor start for his new yard when behind two of these here a fortnight ago; is hard to recommend.

33/1

33/1

Form: 5-9000

Last run: 65 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 49

Form & Verdict
String of awful efforts for Dermot Weld in the summer and the switch to the AW will need to make a huge difference.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

12

(3)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Flaming OHara

8st 13lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

String of awful efforts for Dermot Weld in the summer and the switch to the AW will need to make a huge difference.

33/1

17th

13

(14)

30th Aug 2023

Good

0m 7f 0y

16:50 Cork

Flaming OHara

9st 2lb

J: Chris Hayes

T: D K Weld

50s, down the field on handicap debut at Gowran (soft); blinkers now.

25/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £158.50
Straight Forecast £143.35
Tricast £3872.72
Trifecta £4819.00

Selections

Daily Mail:

Blame The Farrier

SPOTLIGHT:

Bobby Joe Leg

The Times:

Kodebreaker

D Express:

Angel Amadea

Telegraph:

Dr Rio

Daily Mirror:

Blame The Farrier

The Star:

Blame The Farrier

Daily Record:

Blame The Farrier

The Guardian:

Kodebreaker

POSTDATA:

Bobby Joe Leg

The Sun:

Bobby Joe Leg