October 29 / 15.23 Newmarket

15.23

Good To Soft

Racing Welfare Handicap

  • Prize money: £8100
  • 1m 0f 0y
  • Class 3
  • 13 runners
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Racing Welfare Handicap

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

4/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.00
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 412/21 D

Last run: 99 days

W: 9st 13lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 94

Form & Verdict
Ridden prominently; made all on heavy as 3yo but withdrawn from a soft-ground race as 4yo; absent 662 days before this season but his Hamilton second and York win (four ran; again 1m on good to firm) showed that he is better than ever; off three months; lightly raced for his age and needs respect.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(10)

29th Jul 2023

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

16:50 Ascot

Ghaly

10st 0lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Saeed bin Suroor

Lightly raced 7yo; notched a personal best when winning at Newmarket (1m, soft) last autumn and that form worked out well; could finish only in midfield when one of the fancied runners for the Royal Hunt Cup over C&D (good) five weeks ago, but he came third in his group and a return to today's expected softer ground should suit; high on the list.

13/2

13th

10

(8)

21st Jun 2023

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:00 Ascot

Ghaly

9st 4lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Saeed bin Suroor

Lightly raced and progressive; acts on any ground; has form figures of 12211 in 1m handicaps, most recently winning off 8lb lower at Newmarket last October in a race that has worked out very well; won from Blue For You the time before; may improve further this term, despite being a 7yo now; trainer won this race in 2010 and 2021; very interesting contender.

10/1

1st

3

(11)

29th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

15:23 Newmarket

Ghaly

9st 13lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Saeed bin Suroor

prominent, joined leaders and going easily over 2f out, pushed along and led over 1f out, ridden and edged right inside final furlong, kept on, always doing enough

4/1

7/1

  • Place: £2.10

Form: 13-26 BF

Last run: 267 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
Won at Sandown (7f, good to soft) last August on debut; no advances on that but just four races in total, last two at Meydan early this year, and better might still be possible on this first run since he was gelded; favourite every time so far and interesting to see if his backers return.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(4)

29th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:50 Newmarket (July)

King Of Conquest

9st 5lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

towards rear, switched left over 4f out, nudged along and headway over 3f out

11/8

1st

3

(4)

9th Jun 2024

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

17:05 Goodwood

King Of Conquest

9st 3lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

1m2f Listed race here (good to firm) last May was the last leg in a four-timer; no joy in his seven races since but he was pipped in Group 3 at Newbury (1m4f, good) on latest, form which gives him a big chance.

6/4

2nd

5

(9)

18th May 2024

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

13:50 Newbury

King Of Conquest

9st 2lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Won a 1m2f Goodwood Listed (good to firm) last May and also placed in 1m4f Newmarket Group 3 (heavy) on final 4-y-o start; below that level in his two outings this year, though he suffered interference when 7l fifth of sixth in the Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket (1m4f) latest.

8/1

6/1

  • Place: £2.70

Form: -11545 C

Last run: 92 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 91

Form & Verdict
7f winner here last October and kicked off this season's 3yo campaign with two front-running 1m wins at Goodwood; ran well since in defeat at three summer festivals, not seen since Glorious Goodwood but he can go well fresh; needs extra but there's plenty to like about him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(6)

29th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

15:23 Newmarket

Lawful Command

9st 7lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Brian Meehan

led narrowly, ridden over 2f out, headed and lost two places over 1f out, kept on but held when edged left inside final furlong

6/1

5th

21

(4)

29th Jul 2022

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

15:00 Goodwood

Lawful Command

8st 3lb

J: George Rooke

T: Brian Meehan

took keen hold, prominent, not clear run over 2f out, ridden and switched left over 1f out, kept on final 110yds

12/1

Form: 422035 D

Last run: 56 days

W: 9st 11lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Modest strike-rate in no way does him justice as he has often given followers a great run for their money in top 7f handicaps, including this season and on latest start; seen less often over 1m but did win over it last September; no ground worries.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

6

(10)

27th Jul 2024

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

15:00 Ascot

Ropey Guest

9st 7lb

J: Tom Queally

T: George Margarson

Regular participant in major handicaps; best effort this season when fifth in the Victoria Cup over C&D; however, he's thoroughly exposed and has a poor record (form figures 000) in this contest.

25/1

9th

5

(3)

13th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

16:00 Newmarket (July)

Ropey Guest

9st 10lb

J: Tom Queally

T: George Margarson

Has form figures of 822 in this contest; however, faces a harder task off current mark (5lb higher than 12 months ago) and it's unlikely he's getting better now aged seven.

16/1

Form: 1-1646 CD

Last run: 31 days

W: 10st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Acts on soft; won this race last year and improved again to score at Sandown on reappearance; not so good on last two outings, racing too freely on AW last time, but has a good mark if back to his best.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

(15)

5th Oct 2024

Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

15:35 Ascot

Rebel Territory

9st 9lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Amanda Perrett

Bolted up in last season's Victoria Cup over this C&D (soft) but went missing for 470 days afterwards; out of the frame in both starts since returning (the latest back here) but this race was immediately nominated after his latest outing; likely to have his conditions and should go well.

16/1

8th

3

(6)

7th Sep 2024

Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

13:35 Ascot

Rebel Territory

9st 9lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Amanda Perrett

Well suited by drop to 7f in spring 2023, winning two races including soft-ground Victoria Cup here by 4l; subsequently absent until Goodwood two weeks ago when showing clear signs of retaining ability while seeming to need the run; interesting with that reappearance under his belt.

5/1

6th

1

(6)

25th Aug 2024

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

15:35 Goodwood

Rebel Territory

9st 12lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: Amanda Perrett

2-2 since dropped to 7f, both wins in spring 2023, latest by 4l in the Victoria Cup at Ascot (soft); now 8lb higher but could well have more to offer at this distance; interesting on return from 15-month absence, particularly if the market speaks favourably.

8/1

Form: 315232 D BF

Last run: 20 days

W: 8st 11lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Won at Pontefract (1m, soft) in April; largely consistent this year and places at Goodwood on last two starts point to another good show today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(2)

1st May 2024

Soft

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

15:50 Pontefract

Stately Home

9st 1lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Shaun Lycett

C&D winner who arrives in good nick, fourth of 12 in 1m Windsor handicap 16 days ago; he's one for the shortlist eased 1lb.

5/1

5

(2)

1st May 2024

Soft

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

15:50 Pontefract

Stately Home

9st 1lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Shaun Lycett

C&D winner who arrives in good nick, fourth of 12 in 1m Windsor handicap 16 days ago; he's one for the shortlist eased 1lb.

5/1

4th

5

(3)

15th Apr 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

16:50 Windsor

Stately Home

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Shaun Lycett

prominent, outpaced over 2f out, rallied 1f out, went fourth inside final 110yds

10/1

16/1

Form: 734983 D

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 3lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Not the best handicapped after his 6l win at Ascot in April and he's not been quite at the top of his game recently; 1m2f may not have helped on latest start; peak turf efforts on good or firmer; 7lb claimer is recruited.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(8)

23rd Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

13:27 Wolverhampton (AW)

Repertoire

9st 8lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: David Simcock

Ended long losing run with a last-gasp win at Lingfield (1m) three weeks ago and he was only narrowly denied on his return visit 11 days ago; on same mark here and has possibilities if this sets up for his closing style.

5/1

10

(12)

31st Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Newmarket

Repertoire

9st 6lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: David Simcock

9yo who is without a win since October 2023; ran four times last winter, best effort on first occasion and he's often gone well after other breaks, so he needs a second look off this career-low mark.

12/1

10

(12)

31st Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Newmarket

Repertoire

9st 6lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: David Simcock

9yo who is without a win since October 2023; ran four times last winter, best effort on first occasion and he's often gone well after other breaks, so he needs a second look off this career-low mark.

12/1

6/1

Form: 323983 D BF

Last run: 42 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Placed in one of his rare starts on soft but has not been at his best on it; no win this season but placed in some competitive handicaps (all around 1m) and went down by two necks at Ayr on latest start; has run well for a claimer; considered each-way.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(2)

4th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:53 Windsor

Revich

9st 5lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Adrian Wintle

All seven wins have been on good or slower ground on turf; last success was in 2023 but he's well treated on old form and made some late gains when sixth of 15 at Nottingham (8.3f, good) last month; wasn't beaten far in that race and he could go well again on this step back up in trip.

15/2

6th

5

(13)

8th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 75y

Class 6

16:07 Nottingham

Revich

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Adrian Wintle

All seven wins have been on good or slower ground on turf; last success was in 2023 but he didn't get much luck when fourth at Wolverhampton (7f) last month and he's in the mix on this step back up in trip.

8/1

Form: 136063 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 94

Form & Verdict
Peak efforts on good ground or AW, with his three wins all on AW this February-April; third here in April but had three lesser shows on turf before a partial revival when third on Kempton AW one month ago; well-in on AW form but others have more pressing claims in this sphere.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

2

(11)

20th Nov 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Notre Belle Bete

9st 13lb

J: William Carver

T: Andrew Balding

Beaten favourite in the corresponding race 12 months ago when rated 1lb higher; only seen twice this year, looking to retain all his ability in useful turf races; can go well fresh; not ruled out.

10/1

14th

2

(11)

20th Nov 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Notre Belle Bete

9st 13lb

J: William Carver

T: Andrew Balding

Beaten favourite in the corresponding race 12 months ago when rated 1lb higher; only seen twice this year, looking to retain all his ability in useful turf races; can go well fresh; not ruled out.

10/1

5th

12

(6)

18th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 212y

Class 1

18:40 Ascot

Notre Belle Bete

9st 5lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Four-time AW winner; has comparable form on turf but he took his record in this sphere to 0-17 when a creditable fourth of 15 in Epsom handicap (8.5f; good to soft) on reappearance 18 days ago; cheekpieces back on; it's unlikely that a first success on the grass will arrive now.

33/1

25/1

Form: 4-5708

Last run: 20 days

W: 8st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Limitations exposed since debut win and she left Andrew Balding before latest start; well held on handicap debut at Goodwood three weeks ago for her new yard, which is among the winners; hood is given a go.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(7)

24th Jun 2023

Good

1m 3f 133y

Class 5

18:20 Lingfield

Star From Afarhh

9st 3lb

J: Liam Keniry

T: Ed Walker

Upped to this trip for the first time when landing a C&D handicap 23 days ago; had a bit to spare on that occasion but this looks a much stronger race.

4/1

1st

4

(3)

1st Jun 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 133y

Class 5

16:12 Lingfield

Star From Afarhh

9st 8lb

J: Ross Coakley

T: Ed Walker

dwelt start, in rear, shaken up and headway from 3f out

4/1

4th

4

(5)

11th May 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

20:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Star From Afarhh

9st 7lb

J: Ross Coakley

T: Ed Walker

Had cheekpieces on last two starts, on first occasion winning over C&D in February (3lb higher today); seventh of eight two months later but not beaten far; could have her say again.

8/1

40/1

Form: 7-3508

Last run: 17 days

W: 8st 10lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Looked potentially useful initially at two, with debut win on good to soft (he's been unraced on ground that testing since); came up short for Ralph Beckett on first two starts this term and well beaten at 7f and 1m6f in his two outings (100-1 and 200-1) for new yard; the ground is the hope.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

7

26th Dec 2023

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 2

15:05 Kempton

Seattle King

11st 4lb

J: Charlie Todd

T: Phil McEntee

Three times a winner on the Flat (7f-1m2f) but hasn't been in much form in recent months; difficult to recommend on hurdling debut.

100/1

9th

9

(1)

13th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 4f 0y

Class 6

13:00 Lingfield (AW)

Seattle King

8st 13lb

J: Grace McEntee

T: Phil McEntee

took keen hold, prominent, outpaced and lost position over 3f out

50/1

6th

11

10th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

15:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Seattle King

9st 6lb

J: Grace McEntee

T: Phil McEntee

Triple turf winner at up to 1m2f; 0-17 on AW; has been placed on Tapeta; 3lb lower than when a close second at Lingfield in March but hard to make a strong case judged on his last six starts.

33/1

Form: 19-434 C

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Won back-to-back novices as a 3yo; hasn't made the anticipated progress in her four handicaps, yet has dropped a measly 2lb; had three months off before latest start; work to do and unraced on softer than good.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

10

(7)

29th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

15:23 Newmarket

Sunrise Valley

9st 2lb

J: Ryan Moore

T: Sir Michael Stoute

took keen hold, never better than mid-division, ridden and no response 2f out, dropped to rear and behind from over 1f out

9/1

Form: 7-0700 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
Two wins in the summer of 2021, both on softer than good; now 11lb lower than last winning mark, having been well beaten this season; slowly away when tailed off in cheekpieces on latest start.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(4)

5th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:45 Ascot

Dashing Roger

9st 13lb

J: Miss Olive Nicholls

T: William Stone

C&D winner (good to soft) just over four years ago; on a losing run since going back-to-back at Nottingham and Newmarket (both heavy at around 1m) in the autumn of 2023 and recent efforts are not enough to tempt despite this falling mark.

16/1

6th

8

(8)

19th Jul 2025

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:38 Newmarket (July)

Dashing Roger

9st 5lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: William Stone

Continues to drop down the weights but this 8yo struggled in the main last season and it was the same story on last month's reappearance; needs to turn things around.

33/1

Non-runners

Dashing Roger

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £13.10
Straight Forecast £17.14
Tricast £93.61
Trifecta £86.70

Selections

RP Ratings:

Ghaly

SPOTLIGHT:

Lawful Command

Telegraph:

Sunrise Valley

POSTDATA:

Revich

The Sun:

King Of Conquest

TOPSPEED:

Rebel Territory

The Times:

Lawful Command

D Express:

Sunrise Valley

Daily Mail:

Ghaly

Daily Mirror:

Ghaly

The Star:

Ghaly

Daily Record:

Ghaly

The Guardian:

Revich