November 01 / 16.15 Warwick

16.15

Good

Happy Birthday Julian Watson Handicap Chase

  • Prize money: £4683.56
  • 3m 1f 100y
  • Class 4
  • 6 runners
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Happy Birthday Julian Watson Handicap Chase

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

5/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.75
  • Place: £2.00

Form: 5311F- BF

Last run: 222 days

W: 11st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Didn't jump particularly well when winning at Market Rasen (3m, good to soft; following up his Wetherby win) and he sometimes overjumps, which proved costly next time at Sedgefield; on a good mark should he avoid any mishaps but this venue will test his technique.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

7

16th Mar 2024

Heavy

4m 2f 8y

Class 1

15:00 Uttoxeter

Guetapan Collonges

10st 13lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Charlie Longsdon

Dour stayer who loves the mud; five chase wins include one here; reliable in these valuable staying chases without ever looking particularly well handicapped, and he was beaten 24l into fourth in this last year when 3lb lower; having another solid season but hard to believe he's any better now than 12 months ago; first-time tongue-tie.

13/2

3rd

7

13th Jan 2024

Soft

3m 5f 54y

Class 1

15:00 Warwick

Guetapan Collonges

11st 4lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Charlie Longsdon

Goes well on soft/heavy; his three chase wins have been at up to 3m2f and his well-held fourth in last season's Classic Chase (favourite) and Midlands National (4m2f, soft) both saw a dip in his form; there can't be much doubt that he'll stay, though, given the way he kept on strongly for third to Malina Girl over the extended 3m3f at Cheltenham on latest start; needs to improve but he's a strong each-way candidate.

7/1

7

19th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

3m 3f 71y

Class 1

14:20 Cheltenham

Guetapan Collonges

11st 8lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Charlie Longsdon

Goes well on soft/heavy; won twice last season and resumed with a win at Carlisle (up 7lb since) one month ago, all at 3m to nearly 3m2f; fourth in last season's Classic Chase (3m5f, heavy) and Midlands National (4m2f, soft) both saw a dip in his form but this progressive 7yo will surely prove his stamina in due course and needs plenty of respect.

4/1

4/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 22441-

Last run: 224 days

W: 11st 2lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 115

Form & Verdict
Didn't appear that progressive last season in novice/maiden hurdles but he then signed off with a clearcut win at Wetherby (2m3f, good to soft); soon sent chasing and makes his handicap debut over a new distance; respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

16th Jan 2025

Good To Soft

2m 4f 19y

Class 4

13:35 Newcastle

Reilly

11st 2lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

held up in rear

6/1

3rd

5

16th Jan 2025

Good To Soft

2m 4f 19y

Class 4

13:35 Newcastle

Reilly

11st 2lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

held up in rear

6/1

5th

5

15th Dec 2024

Good To Soft

2m 4f 42y

Class 4

15:05 Windsor

Reilly

11st 8lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Ran well in two of his three chases in 2022-23 season, most notably when second at Warwick (3m1f, good to soft); not easy to weigh up after 674-day absence but should cope with this drop back in trip and has been given a chance by the handicapper; cheekpieces removed after one use.

8/1

Form: 5662-5

Last run: 176 days

W: 11st 7lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Much better than his current mark in the past but his only real bright spot during the last 12 months was a second at Uttoxeter in March; well behind Boughtbeforelunch on final appearance in May.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

3

9th Dec 2022

Good

2m 7f 214y

Class 4

11:55 Doncaster

Rockys Treasure

11st 12lb

J: Kai Lenihan

T: Kim Bailey

Much better than his current mark in the past but his only real bright spot in the last 14 months was a second at Uttoxeter (3m, good to soft) in March; may have needed the run at Warwick on his return last month but he finished a well-held third of six and needs to leave that form behind.

4/1

3rd

3

1st Nov 2022

Good

3m 1f 100y

Class 4

16:15 Warwick

Rockys Treasure

11st 7lb

J: David Bass

T: Kim Bailey

Much better than his current mark in the past but his only real bright spot during the last 12 months was a second at Uttoxeter in March; well behind Boughtbeforelunch on final appearance in May.

14/1

Form: 11453- D

Last run: 222 days

W: 11st 4lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
Hit the ground running last season with back-to-back handicap wins at about 3m (good/good to soft), the latest off only 2lb lower; lost his way a little afterwards but his record when fresh heightens interest.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

22nd Aug 2024

Good

3m 1f 170y

Class 5

14:45 Newton Abbot

Favori De Sivola

12st 0lb

J: David Noonan

T: Jane Williams

took keen hold, midfield, dropped to rear after 5 out, no impression from 4 out

16/1

10th

13

8th Jul 2024

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:35 Worcester

Favori De Sivola

11st 6lb

J: David Noonan

T: Jane Williams

held up in rear, not fluent 10th, no impression before 4 out

10/1

Form: 3153-2 D

Last run: 176 days

W: 11st 4lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
Only 3-35 but he was running well when last seen and stuck to his guns behind the favourite at Southwell (3m, good) in May; has shown his form after a break in the past and he was placed in the 2019 running of this.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

2nd Apr 2024

Soft

2m 4f 11y

Class 4

16:30 Ludlow

Boughtbeforelunch

11st 12lb

J: Mr Joseph Stevenson

T: Phillippa Taylor

Capable on his day for Paul Webber but an infrequent winner at the best of times and he was pulled up in a hunter chase last month after a long absence.

40/1

5th

3

2nd Apr 2024

Soft

2m 4f 11y

Class 4

16:30 Ludlow

Boughtbeforelunch

11st 12lb

J: Mr Joseph Stevenson

T: Phillippa Taylor

Capable on his day for Paul Webber but an infrequent winner at the best of times and he was pulled up in a hunter chase last month after a long absence.

40/1

5

8th Mar 2024

Heavy

1m 7f 201y

Class 5

16:50 Leicester

Boughtbeforelunch

12st 2lb

J: Mr Joseph Stevenson

T: Phillippa Taylor

towards rear, lost touch 8th, pulled up before 4 out

33/1

OUR TIP

Form: 84111-

Last run: 264 days

W: 11st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Has won four of his last six starts and gone unbeaten over fences in the last three at Ffos Las; never more impressive than when coming 10l clear at Ffos Las the final time but he's gone up 11lb for that win alone; has won on good to soft but he's particularly effective in the mud.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

25th May 2026

Good

3m 5f 80y

Class 3

15:58 Cartmel

Fairlawn Flyer

11st 3lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

10-28 over fences, including three 3m1f course wins; below form at Ffos Las this month, after a break, but is back on a good mark and this marathon trip will suit; must be considered.

11/4

4th

2

5th May 2026

Good

2m 7f 177y

Class 4

16:18 Ffos Las

Fairlawn Flyer

11st 12lb

J: Mr James Murray

T: Mickey Bowen

Won five in a row last year (good-soft), including the 3m6f Highland National at Perth; has been rather quiet in last two races, as he was beaten 21l when third over 3m5f and then was pulled up at Kelso (4m); capable but a bit risky today.

12/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £10.70
Straight Forecast £9.95
Trifecta £53.90

Selections

RP Ratings:

Favori De Sivola

D Express:

Fairlawn Flyer

The Times:

Guetapan Collonges

SPOTLIGHT:

Boughtbeforelunch

Daily Mail:

Reilly

POSTDATA:

Rocky's Treasure

Daily Record:

Fairlawn Flyer

TOPSPEED:

Favori De Sivola

WEST COUNTRY:

Favori De Sivola

Telegraph:

Favori De Sivola

The Guardian:

Favori De Sivola

The Star:

Favori De Sivola

Daily Mirror:

Boughtbeforelunch