16.55 Ayr
GoodGood Luck Ayr In Scottish Cup Handicap Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)
- Prize money: £4752.9
- 2m 0f 110y
- Class 4
- 7 runners
Runners: 7 runners
Type: Chase Turf
Surface: Turf
Weather: Rain and snow
10/1 (Won)
- Win: £8.00
Form: 2-451P D
Last run: 72 days
W: 12st 0lb
8 yo Gelding
OR: 115
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5th 1 |
26th Mar 2023 Heavy 1m 7f 207y Class 2 |
12st 0lb |
Up and down this season and benefited from the final-fence fall of the 10l leader when winning at Ayr recently; however, that was still a good run and he also won at Catterick (2m3f, soft) last November; not ruled out. |
13/2 |
|
1st 1 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
12st 0lb |
Built up fairly encouraging stable debut when winning from off the pace at Catterick (2m3f, soft) in November but was pulled up over same C&D in December and it's hard to tell whether he'll be in the right mood here. |
10/1 |
|
1 |
28th Dec 2022 Soft 2m 3f 66y Class 4 |
12st 1lb |
Proved his stamina for this sort of trip when winning over fences on soft here last month; is 6lb higher today but 6lb lower than when last running over hurdles for Olly Murphy, so a follow-up wouldn't shock despite his general lack of consistency. |
8/1 |
11/4
Form: 1332-2 D
Last run: 40 days
W: 11st 12lb
9 yo Gelding
OR: 113
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2nd 3 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 12lb |
No match for progressive rival when second on seasonal debut at Southwell (2m, good) in January but that still goes down as a good effort, and he's now back on the same mark as when winning at Catterick (1m7f, good to soft) last term; major player. |
11/4 |
|
2nd 6 |
29th Jan 2023 Good 1m 7f 182y Class 3 |
11st 0lb |
Catterick the scene for both his chase wins, the latest off 2lb higher in late 2021; signed off last season by chasing home a progressive winner over C&D (good) and has undergone wind surgery in the meantime; market may guide as to fitness levels after ten months off. |
10/1 |
8/1
Form: -55415 CD
Last run: 22 days
W: 11st 9lb
12 yo Gelding
OR: 110
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3rd 5 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 9lb |
12yo who capitalised on a reduced mark over C&D (soft) last month; still very well treated on older form and will be suited by today's forecast quicker ground but his run at Newcastle three weeks ago was disappointing. |
8/1 |
|
5th 2 |
16th Feb 2023 Good 2m 0f 75y Class 4 |
12st 1lb |
12yo who capitalised on a reduced mark to win at Ayr (2m, soft) a fortnight ago; he's back up 5lb here but did it nicely last time and could take some stopping if repeating that form; also effective on good ground. |
5/1 |
|
1st 4 |
1st Feb 2023 Good To Soft 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 10lb |
12yo who has run reasonably well on two of his three starts this season, following a long absence, and he continues to drop down the weights; however, he hasn't been shaping as though a win is imminent. |
16/1 |
2/1
Form: 257U22 BF
Last run: 24 days
W: 11st 13lb
6 yo Gelding
OR: 114
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 13lb |
Unseated rider on chasing debut on Boxing Day but runner-up over C&D twice since, firstly behind Netywell on heavy ground and more recently behind a next-time-out winner on good to soft; likely contender again. |
2/1 |
|
2nd 3 |
14th Feb 2023 Good To Soft 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 10lb |
Runner-up over hurdles on good ground last year; unseated rider on chasing debut in December but gave pretty good account when second over C&D (heavy) last month and remains lightly raced; respected. |
5/2 |
|
2nd 2 |
9th Jan 2023 Soft 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 12lb |
Early unseat on chase debut at Down Royal a fortnight ago and was below best on final two hurdle starts, but may have been stretched by 2m5f; showed promise at up to an extended 2m previously and his Northern Irish stable had a double here last Monday; interesting, especially if well backed. |
3/1 |
9/2
Form: -46014 CD BF
Last run: 37 days
W: 11st 9lb
6 yo Gelding
OR: 110
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2nd 2 |
26th Mar 2023 Heavy 1m 7f 207y Class 2 |
11st 9lb |
Things appeared to have clicked when he won at Ayr (2m, heavy) in January; only fourth there (2m, soft) since but can improve upon that latest form if jumping better; a contender if tapping back into his January promise. |
7/2 |
|
4 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
11st 9lb |
Got his act together over fences with clearcut C&D (heavy) win in January and is not yet fully exposed but was a shade disappointing when fourth behind Lake Takapuna here (soft) last month; untested on ground quicker than good to soft. |
9/2 |
|
4th 1 |
1st Feb 2023 Good To Soft 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
12st 2lb |
Well beaten on first three starts this season (the first two over fences) but he returned to form with a convincing win in a novice handicap chase over C&D (heavy) three weeks ago; this lightly raced 6yo could have more to offer now things have clicked again and he's a key player. |
7/2 |
12/1
Form: P18-27 C
Last run: 54 days
W: 10st 8lb
10 yo Mare
OR: 95
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1st 3 |
18th Mar 2023 Soft 1m 7f 168y Class 5 |
11st 9lb |
Should be right there on the form of an Ayr win last March (2m, soft) and a second there in December but a subsequent Kelso seventh was disappointing; probably not one to give up on in this company. |
9/1 |
|
6 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
10st 8lb |
1-10 over hurdles; ought to have coped with the heavy ground when beaten 37l at Kelso in January and may find today's conditions quicker than ideal but ran big race in defeat here (2m, good to soft) on seasonal debut in December and could have a say if she takes well to fences. |
12/1 |
|
3 |
14th Feb 2023 Good To Soft 2m 4f 100y Class 5 |
11st 9lb |
Lightly raced for her age; sole win over 2m here last March (soft) and although she stays further she has ups and downs and was a long way adrift at Kelso last month; thereabouts on best form. |
10/1 |
7/1
Form: -83334 D BF
Last run: 19 days
W: 10st 4lb
10 yo Gelding
OR: 91
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1st 5 |
25th Mar 2023 Good To Soft 2m 1f 14y Class 4 |
10st 2lb |
held up in last |
5/1 |
|
7 |
10th Mar 2023 Good 2m 0f 110y Class 4 |
10st 4lb |
0-9 over fences; third three consecutive times on slow ground this winter, the last twice in C&D events won by Netywell and Lake Takapuna, but was a disappointing favourite when last in action and today's forecast good ground may not be in his favour. |
7/1 |
|
4th 4 |
19th Feb 2023 Good To Soft 2m 4f 68y Class 5 |
11st 8lb |
10yo who is just 1-17 under rules and 0-8 over fences but he's been a fair third on his last three starts (2m/2m5f; in chases the last twice) and that form reads well in the context of this weak race; key player. |
15/8 |
Non-runners
Netywell, Atlantic Dancer, Duty Calls
+o+e Accumulators
| Payout | |
|---|---|
| Exacta | £18.50 |
| Straight Forecast | £19.44 |
| Trifecta | £47.20 |
Selections
TOPSPEED:
Out On The TearThe Guardian:
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Out On The Tear