November 24 / 17.15 Southwell (AW)

17.15

Standard

BetMGM: It’s Showtime Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

  • Prize money: £3564
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 5
  • 9 runners
SKY
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BetMGM: It’s Showtime Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

15/8 (Won)

  • Win: £3.75
  • Place: £1.20

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Half-sister to four winners including Benbatl (7f-1m2f including Group 1; RPR 124), Fooraat (Listed-placed 7f 2yo/1m AW; 106) and Modaara (1m2f/1m4f AW; 105); dam 1m-1m2f winner (including French/US Grade 1; 118) out of 1m4f Group 2 winner/Oaks second; beautifully bred and in-form stable has been doing well with 2yo newcomers lately; high on list.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(4)

5th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 1

14:40 Newmarket

Elmalka

9st 2lb

J: William Buick

T: Roger Varian

Came from off a strong pace when winning the 1,000 Guineas over C&D (good ground; 28-1) in the spring; has run respectably, although with no obvious excuses, when fourth in the Coronation and Nassau Stakes since; should be thereabouts again but she'll need a personal best to land a second Group 1.

8/1

4th

7

(1)

1st Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 197y

Class 1

15:35 Goodwood

Elmalka

9st 1lb

J: James Doyle

T: Roger Varian

Cards dropped perfectly in the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket (1m, good; came off strong pace for last-gasp win) but the Coronation Stakes didn't pan out so well for her; shaped both times as if she'll be suited by this longer distance; possibilities with further improvement still conceivable.

8/1

4th

3

(7)

21st Jun 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 213y

Class 1

15:45 Ascot

Elmalka

9st 2lb

J: James Doyle

T: Roger Varian

Won at Southwell (AW) on sole 2yo start, then ran well in the Fred Darling; subsequently belied her 28-1 odds in the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket (1m, good) where the cards dropped perfectly as she was favourably drawn and came from well off the strong pace (got up in the final strides); tactical matters aside, she holds major claims provided that form is backed up.

4/1

100/30

  • Place: £1.70

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
30,000euros foal; 70,000gns yearling; first foal; dam placed 1m4f (RPR 64), sister to useful winners Beyond Conceit (10.4f 2yo/1m4f) and Min Alemarat (11.6f) out of 11.6f Listed winning sister to Japanese 1m2f/1m3f Grade 1 winner Fine Motion and half-sister to Pilsudski; well worth a market check on debut for top yard, though dam's side of pedigree suggests she will appreciate further.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(8)

21st Sep 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Newmarket

Miss Kubelik

9st 4lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: John & Thady Gosden

raced centre

14/1

9th

10

(10)

13th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

16:42 Ascot

Miss Kubelik

9st 1lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: John & Thady Gosden

midfield, no impression from 2f out

11/1

9th

2

(3)

5th Jun 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Kempton (AW)

Miss Kubelik

9st 6lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: John & Thady Gosden

Chased home 1,000 Guineas winner Elmalka in a Southwell novice on her 2yo debut; didn't handle the track when midfield at Newmarket on her return but she was back on the up with a front-running win at Bath (1m, good) three weeks ago; won that event with more authority than the neck winning margin would indicate and she's open to further progress; solid contender.

5/2

3/1

  • Place: £1.10

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Sister to winners Sea Empress (1m 2yo/1m2f AW; RPR 98), Sea Tsarina (7f/1m including AW; 92) and Red Line Alexander (9.4f; 75); dam 8.6f AW winner (75), sister to 6f 2yo Group 2 winner Buratino; enough to like on pedigree on debut for leading yard and the market should be informative.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

13

(12)

21st Sep 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Newmarket

Sea Regal

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

raced centre

5/1

2nd

5

(2)

30th Aug 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:30 Sandown

Sea Regal

9st 4lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

took keen hold, towards rear but in touch with leaders

4/1

5th

6

(4)

22nd Jul 2024

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

19:50 Windsor

Sea Regal

9st 3lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

took keen hold, prominent, went second over 6f out, lost three places from 2f out, weakened over 1f out

11/4

OUR TIP

66/1

Form:

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
100-1 when beaten a long way into last of ten on her Newmarket debut (7f, heavy) this month; out of an AW winner, but she needs to take a big step forward.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(5)

3rd Jun 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Wetherby

Carping Caitlin

9st 9lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ed Dunlop

midfield, outpaced 3f out, soon no impression

13/2

7th

1

(10)

16th Apr 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Carping Caitlin

9st 2lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ed Dunlop

Well held on heavy-ground debut last backend but fared better second time, when inclined to pull hard (always on a muddling pace); has since undergone wind surgery and will likely be one for handicaps after tonight.

25/1

7th

1

(10)

16th Apr 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Carping Caitlin

9st 2lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ed Dunlop

Well held on heavy-ground debut last backend but fared better second time, when inclined to pull hard (always on a muddling pace); has since undergone wind surgery and will likely be one for handicaps after tonight.

25/1

Form: 96

Last run: 39 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Stepped up from her Haydock debut when sixth of 14 in a valuable novice at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) last month (runner-up has won since); can be handicapped after this, but another step up from that latest effort would put her in the mix.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(2)

31st Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

16:10 Southwell (AW)

Carpathian

9st 11lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: James Ferguson

towards rear

8/1

4th

4

(2)

31st Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

16:10 Southwell (AW)

Carpathian

9st 11lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: James Ferguson

towards rear

8/1

7th

14

(8)

11th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 4

19:15 Kempton (AW)

Carpathian

9st 4lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: James Ferguson

took keen hold, towards rear

12/1

66/1

Form: 99

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Huge prices and well held in two starts at Newcastle (6f/7f); likely to have more options once handicapped.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(11)

24th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Polyphema

9st 2lb

J: Duran Fentiman

T: Tim Easterby

midfield, headway and raced in second after 2f, led over 2f out, headed under 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

66/1

Form: 080080

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 46

Form & Verdict
Out of the frame in all six starts on turf/Tapeta (best RPR 46); impossible to recommend.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(2)

2nd May 2024

Soft

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

14:42 Redcar

Yeulan

9st 2lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

in touch with leaders, lost position over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

100/1

6th

7

(2)

2nd May 2024

Soft

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

14:42 Redcar

Yeulan

9st 2lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

in touch with leaders, lost position over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

100/1

8

(2)

25th Apr 2024

Heavy

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

17:40 Beverley

Yeulan

8st 9lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

Little solid form and hopes appear to rest on this step up in trip having a positive effect; that isn't assured on pedigree.

33/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Closely related to Greek 6f-1m winner Milwr, half-sister to winners Petite Jack (1m2f-1m4f AW Flat including Listed, RPR 106; 2m hurdle/AW bumper), Cold Harbour (1m2f-1m6f AW; 73) and Princess Dayna (5f/6f AW; 71); dam unraced; wouldn't be an obvious winner on debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

12

(3)

14th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

19:45 Kempton (AW)

Stacey Racey

9st 5lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Keiran Burke

ducked right start, led early, headed and prominent after 1f, went second under 2f out, challenging 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

9/2

2nd

14

(3)

11th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

19:45 Kempton (AW)

Stacey Racey

9st 0lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Keiran Burke

prominent, challenging over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong

8/1

1st

14

(5)

16th Sep 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:00 Kempton (AW)

Stacey Racey

8st 11lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Keiran Burke

Won at Southwell (6f; handicap debut) in March; has lacked consistency since but latest effort, over 6f here, suggests this return to 7f is worth exploring; the uncertainty is whether she'll back it up.

14/1

Form: 99

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Well beaten in her first two starts on turf/Tapeta six months apart; needs to improve and nurseries an option after this.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

4

(2)

24th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Invincible Amy

9st 2lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Gemma Tutty

in touch with leaders

66/1

9th

12

(10)

14th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

13:05 Newcastle (AW)

Invincible Amy

8st 9lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Gemma Tutty

Filly by Invincible Army; sent off at 6-1 on her debut at Redcar last month but was too green to do herself justice and finished nearly 20l ninth of ten; improvement likely but has a tougher task here.

25/1

9th

8

(2)

22nd May 2023

Good

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

13:50 Redcar

Invincible Amy

9st 2lb

J: Sam James

T: Gemma Tutty

March foal; 20,000euros yearling; half-sister to 7f winner Hear Me Roar (RPR 73) out of a 7f 2yo winner (88); first 2yo runner of the season for her upwardly mobile yard; likely best watched.

8/1

Non-runners

Leveret, Queen Jean

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £17.60
Straight Forecast £15.68
Trifecta £33.50

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Elmalka

RP RATINGS:

Leveret

NEWMARKET:

Sea Regal

Daily Record:

Miss Kubelik

D Express:

Queen Jean

The Star:

Carpathian

The Guardian:

Sea Regal

The Times:

Elmalka

Daily Mail:

Elmalka

Daily Mirror:

Elmalka

The Sun:

Elmalka

POSTDATA:

Leveret

Telegraph:

Leveret