June 15 / 14.20 Bath

14.20

Good To Firm

Sporting Family Change Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £5210.99
  • 0m 5f 10y
  • Class 4
  • 8 runners
SKY
View Course
Sporting Family Change Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Windy

OUR TIP

2/1 (Won)

  • Win: £1.80
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 221 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 6lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Beaten-favourite on her first two starts, including behind a stablemate of Kalahari Blue's at Brighton, before making all and winning easily at Chepstow last weekend; about sets the standard under a small penalty.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14

(6)

16th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 5f 34y

Class 1

15:45 Newbury

Violet Love

9st 2lb

J: David Egan

T: George Boughey

raced centre, prominent, weakened from over 1f out, 8th of 8 in group

8/1

8th

3

(21)

5th Aug 2024

Good

0m 5f 205y

16:50 Naas

Violet Love

9st 3lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Boughey

Yet to finish out of the first two in six starts; won twice in June, a maiden at Chepstow and a novice at Bath, both over 5f; good run when second over 6f at Pontefract; excellent winning effort over 6f at Ripon four weeks ago, giving 16lb to the runner-up.

10/1

1st

1

(7)

8th Jul 2024

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:20 Ripon

Violet Love

10st 2lb

J: David Egan

T: George Boughey

Yet to finish out of the first two, winning maiden at Chepstow (5f, good to firm) and novice at Bath (5f, good to soft); good run when second over 6f at Pontefract last time (good to firm); obvious contender but has to give upwards of 14lb away all round.

2/1

16/1

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 6

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Trainer has won two of the last four runnings of this; blew the start and pulled hard when last of six on her Ascot debut (another race her yard has done well in) and should be capable of better.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(12)

14th Sep 2024

Good To Soft

0m 5f 10y

Class 5

16:30 Bath

Miss Show Down

9st 6lb

J: John Fahy

T: Clive Cox

Down the field on two of her three starts, when pulling hard each time; however, in between she was a good second over this C&D (good to soft) and she's a player on nursery debut if tapping into that promise.

6/1

9th

5

(3)

19th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:35 Newbury

Miss Show Down

9st 2lb

J: John Fahy

T: Clive Cox

Blew the start and pulled hard at Ascot on debut but vastly better when second of eight in a novice at Bath (5f, good to soft) five weeks later, checked and green on her way through from off the pace but doing well to finish so close; that sets the standard.

13/8

2nd

11

(4)

15th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

0m 5f 10y

Class 4

14:20 Bath

Miss Show Down

9st 2lb

J: John Fahy

T: Clive Cox

Trainer has won two of the last four runnings of this; blew the start and pulled hard when last of six on her Ascot debut (another race her yard has done well in) and should be capable of better.

16/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.10

Form: 4

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Trainer not noted for 2yos, let alone newcomers, so it was encouraging to see her shape so well at a big price on her Goodwood debut three weeks ago; holds leading claims with that under her belt.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(9)

21st Oct 2024

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Havana Dance

9st 5lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Jonathan Portman

Began her career with two good efforts but her progress has stalled and she's found it tough going in nurseries; down in class this time and the addition of a visor could give her a lift.

10/1

8th

10

(10)

3rd Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:00 Chelmsford (AW)

Havana Dance

9st 6lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Jonathan Portman

Hasn't progressed, again finishing comfortably held on her first crack at this trip last time; doesn't make obvious appeal on her AW debut from a wide stall.

25/1

5th

2

(7)

16th Aug 2024

Good

0m 7f 3y

Class 5

13:40 Epsom

Havana Dance

9st 9lb

J: Olivia Tubb

T: Jonathan Portman

Promise in her first two starts but two lesser efforts have followed, most recently when switched to nursery company at Windsor; hopes pinned on the step up in distance sparking a revival.

20/1

Form: 15 D

Last run: 38 days

W: 9st 9lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Justified favouritism in an early-season Polytrack novice before running to a similar level at Chester last month (raced on the pace each time); will need to find more if she's to give weight all round.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

8

(5)

28th Mar 2025

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 5

16:32 Lingfield (AW)

Kodibeat

9st 1lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Martin Dunne

Came to hand early for the Coles as a 2yo, including a 5f Polytrack win on debut; poor form in three runs for Lawrence Mullaney last autumn but dropped 11lb as a result; starts out for new yard (same owners) with a visor fitted and she's one to note for market confidence.

20/1

6th

2

(3)

6th Nov 2024

Soft

0m 5f 8y

Class 5

13:13 Nottingham

Kodibeat

9st 8lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Lawrence Mullaney

led, headed over 2f out, lost position over 1f out, weakened quickly inside final furlong

25/1

6th

2

(3)

6th Nov 2024

Soft

0m 5f 8y

Class 5

13:13 Nottingham

Kodibeat

9st 8lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Lawrence Mullaney

led, headed over 2f out, lost position over 1f out, weakened quickly inside final furlong

25/1

7/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
April-foaled 300,000euros yearling who's a half-sister to six winners (one on 2yo debut), notably Court House; trainer's strike-rate with juveniles is down this season so far and the outside stall is never ideal for a newcomer; watch the market.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

11

(5)

13th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 5

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Loudan

8st 12lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Andrew Balding

Notably strong in the betting given she was drawn widest on her return to action three weeks ago and she never featured having been poorly positioned throughout (finished behind three of these); stable has been quiet and others look safer.

14/1

11

(5)

13th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 5

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Loudan

8st 12lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Andrew Balding

Notably strong in the betting given she was drawn widest on her return to action three weeks ago and she never featured having been poorly positioned throughout (finished behind three of these); stable has been quiet and others look safer.

14/1

8th

5

(9)

21st Nov 2024

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 5

12:30 Lingfield (AW)

Loudan

9st 2lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Andrew Balding

Not devoid of promise in her first three starts; well beaten on nursery debut at Sandown (5f, good to firm) latest; this is weaker back from a break but she has the widest stall to negotiate.

6/1

Form: 9

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Yard has enjoyed a good week but still to get rolling with 2yos, this filly clearly needing the experience when well beaten on her debut ten days ago; improvement can be expected but she'll need a big step forward.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(2)

9th Apr 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Bermuda Princess

9st 0lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Walker

Unplaced in three fillies' novice/maiden events for William Haggas last summer; absent until returning over 7f here two weeks ago (stable debut), a race where she could only manage sixth but shaped with a fair bit more promise having made an eyecatching move early in the straight; the return to 6f can help and she could take a step forward with that run behind her; one to take seriously.

7/1

6th

7

(2)

9th Apr 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Bermuda Princess

9st 0lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Walker

Unplaced in three fillies' novice/maiden events for William Haggas last summer; absent until returning over 7f here two weeks ago (stable debut), a race where she could only manage sixth but shaped with a fair bit more promise having made an eyecatching move early in the straight; the return to 6f can help and she could take a step forward with that run behind her; one to take seriously.

7/1

6th

9

(2)

26th Mar 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:00 Kempton (AW)

Bermuda Princess

8st 13lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Ed Walker

Improver, from low base, for William Haggas last summer and has obvious scope to improve now handicapping and upped to 7f for Ed Walker; Oisin Murphy has 27% strike-rate for the yard in the last five years.

9/1

25/1

Form: 87

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Needed her debut experience but only fared slightly better on the AW last time; may find life easier once nurseries get underway.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(2)

5th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 160y

Class 6

15:25 Bath

Fregola

9st 3lb

J: Tyrese Cameron

T: Richard Hannon

in touch with leaders, weakened gradually inside final furlong

9/1

4th

5

(2)

5th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 160y

Class 6

15:25 Bath

Fregola

9st 3lb

J: Tyrese Cameron

T: Richard Hannon

in touch with leaders, weakened gradually inside final furlong

9/1

10th

13

(6)

21st Apr 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

17:30 Redcar

Fregola

9st 1lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Richard Hannon

Didn't progress as a 2yo and it was just modest form when third of six at Bath on her return 17 days ago; interesting that top yard is persevering with her and Tom Marquand takes over in the saddle today.

10/1

Form:

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Started 250-1 when a remote last on her Tapeta debut 11 days ago; expect similar.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

10

(3)

19th Apr 2025

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Miss Campanella

8st 10lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Derek Shaw

took keen hold, prominent early, in touch with leaders after 1f

50/1

7th

10

(3)

19th Apr 2025

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Miss Campanella

8st 10lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Derek Shaw

Poor form in her six starts, including three AW handicaps this year; hard to recommend.

50/1

Non-runners

Blue Point Express, Kalahari Blue, Lift Lady, Skellig Isle

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £10.10
Straight Forecast £11.00
Trifecta £28.90

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Havana Dance

RP RATINGS:

Violet Love

The Times:

Bermuda Princess

The Guardian:

Kalahari Blue

The Star:

Bermuda Princess

Daily Mail:

Havana Dance

D Express:

Havana Dance

Daily Mirror:

Havana Dance

The Sun:

Havana Dance

POSTDATA:

Violet Love

NEWMARKET:

Violet Love

Telegraph:

Violet Love

Daily Record:

Violet Love