March 04 / 15.22 Newcastle (AW)

15.22

Standard

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

  • Prize money: £7955.68
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 3
  • 7 runners
SKY
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Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Cloudy

7/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.40
  • Place: £2.20

Form: 261-57 C

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Wins have all come over 1m and he's having a first crack at this shorter trip; is usually dropped in and will need things to fall his way in a small field off a mark this high (3lb higher than when winning here late last year).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(6)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

17:10 Newmarket (July)

Nikovo

9st 11lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Michael Herrington

Gained last three wins on Newcastle AW; ran respectably back there on latest start; has bits of encouraging turf form this term but it's over two years since his last success in this sphere.

8/1

3rd

4

(10)

27th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 2

13:40 Newcastle (AW)

Nikovo

9st 4lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Michael Herrington

Well suited by conditions and his last-gasp C&D win in March came off just 2lb lower; creditable efforts off his lower turf mark more recently; may find a few of his younger rivals better treated.

10/1

4th

6

(8)

19th Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 219y

Class 3

15:25 Redcar

Nikovo

9st 12lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Rated much lower on turf (2-20) than on the AW (5-22); hasn't run at all badly in his last two starts on grass including when eighth of 28 in the Victoria Cup; each-way claims down another 2lb.

12/1

14/1

  • Place: £4.70

Form: 253330 C

Last run: 10 days

W: 8st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Dual course winner who was at her best this time last year but who's managed just one win from 19 starts since; is closely matched with Brewing on C&D running in January but will need to improve on her latest Southwell effort.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(17)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:20 Ascot

Enola Grey

9st 12lb

J: Sam James

T: Gemma Tutty

Has a better strike-rate on AW than turf but she wasn't disgraced after a break at Carlisle (1m, good to firm; 40-1) 17 days ago; may come on for that outing and she's not ruled out.

11/1

6th

11

(9)

24th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 173y

Class 4

16:35 Carlisle

Enola Grey

9st 8lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Gemma Tutty

Hold-up performer whose record on turf reads 1-17 compared to 6-43 on the AW; shaped as if still in form when sixth of 11 at Lingfield (7f, AW) 117 days ago but may need her first outing since.

20/1

6th

6

(3)

27th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 2

14:42 Lingfield (AW)

Enola Grey

9st 3lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Gemma Tutty

Came from off the pace to win a 7f handicap at Wolverhampton in fine style in December; beaten twice since but she hasn't run badly; fully exposed but a strong pace would enhance her claims.

12/1

Form: -11161 CD

Last run: 5 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Took his record over C&D to five wins and a second from seven starts when going in last Thursday; made all that night but is adaptable as regards tactics and, while this is tougher under a 5lb penalty, he enters calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

2

(8)

18th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 195y

Class 5

17:10 Carlisle

William Dewhirst

9st 9lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ben Haslam

Not seen on turf since 2024 but is well treated on best Newcastle AW form and has won over this C&D; admittedly needs to stage a revival judged on 2026 efforts.

14/1

7th

5

(7)

1st May 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

19:33 Newcastle (AW)

William Dewhirst

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Ben Haslam

Prolific here during the 2024/25 AW season but he's beaten one rival in two starts after an absence; couldn't support with any confidence.

16/1

Form: 4128-2

Last run: 20 days

W: 8st 7lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Outsider of six for her comeback from almost six months off at Kempton three weeks ago, when shaping nicely; her best efforts have come over 1m, often under aggressive rides, and she'll likely have plenty of use made of her on her Tapeta debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

4

(10)

27th Mar 2025

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

20:00 Chelmsford (AW)

Lady Flora

9st 9lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Andrew Balding

in touch with leaders

7/1

4th

5

(1)

4th Mar 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 3

15:22 Newcastle (AW)

Lady Flora

8st 7lb

J: Nicola Currie

T: Andrew Balding

Outsider of six for her comeback from almost six months off at Kempton three weeks ago, when shaping nicely; her best efforts have come over 1m, often under aggressive rides, and she'll likely have plenty of use made of her on her Tapeta debut.

6/1

1

(1)

12th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

18:30 Kempton (AW)

Lady Flora

9st 9lb

J: Nicola Currie

T: Andrew Balding

Absent since disappointing effort in a series final at Chepstow (1m) in August; steadily progressive otherwise in turf handicaps and has shown promise on AW; not written off.

9/2

10/1

Form: 76-574 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 8st 4lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Tumbled down the weights for Stuart Williams before being picked up for 7,000gns a month ago; a solid Southwell effort ten days ago suggests the change of scenery has helped and he's well handicapped if backing that up.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

10

(12)

10th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

14:10 York

Lir Speciale

9st 1lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Brian Ellison

Ended 2025 with a pair of heavy-ground wins at Doncaster (7f); better form in defeat this year, placed in good C&D handicaps (good ground) in consecutive days last month; has won on fast ground and his connections took this race in 2024; needs serious consideration.

6/1

4th

13

(9)

13th Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

14:25 York

Lir Speciale

9st 6lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Brian Ellison

There's a suspicion he might ideally need slow ground to produce his best form at 7f, especially here, but he began this season in good form (1m/7.5f, good to soft/good) and there was some mitigation when down the field at Newbury on penultimate start (1m, good; denied clear run); went close over C&D (good) on Friday; not ruled out.

10/1

2nd

2

(14)

12th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

13:50 York

Lir Speciale

10st 0lb

J: Shay Farmer

T: Brian Ellison

Ended his 2025 campaign with a heavy-ground 7f double at Doncaster; started this season with good thirds at Doncaster (22-runner Spring Mile; good to soft) and Chester (7.6f, good) but needs to bounce back from a lesser effort at Newbury last time; any easing of the ground would be in his favour; connections have tasted recent success in this.

11/1

Form: 14-733 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Lost his way for Kevin Ryan but has bounced back round Dundalk this winter, often making the running; ran well on his only previous start on Tapeta (here) and will be dangerous if allowed to dictate back down from 1m.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(11)

4th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

19:10 Laytown

Catch The Paddy

11st 12lb

J: Mr J L Gleeson

T: Patrick J McKenna

Won over 1m at Dundalk in December but seems to have lost his way in his last few starts; needs first-time tongue-tie to work the oracle.

16/1

9th

5

(9)

15th Aug 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

14:20 Dundalk (AW)

Catch The Paddy

8st 8lb

J: Patrick McGettigan

T: Patrick J McKenna

Mainly campaigned on AW since joining yard, winning on debut here over 1m in December; mixed form since, well held on return from a short break on latest turf run.

8/1

10th

7

(11)

5th Jun 2025

Good

0m 7f 60y

16:50 Leopardstown

Catch The Paddy

9st 7lb

J: Rory Mulligan

T: Patrick J McKenna

Mainly campaigned on AW since joining yard, winning on debut in December but not since, tame effort on turf at Musselburgh latest; opposable.

14/1

OUR TIP

7/4

Form: 643-51 CD

Last run: 38 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Took Harry Burns's record for William Haggas to 6-13 (now 6-14) when winning here off a 2lb lower mark in January (first-time tongue-tie); that made it 3-3 over C&D, all in small fields, and he holds decent claims again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(9)

19th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

19:12 Cork

Brewing

9st 1lb

J: Julian Pietropaolo

T: Kevin Thomas Coleman

All six wins have been gained on AW; in good form at Dundalk last winter, soft ground probably wasn't ideal on turf comeback (slowly away) over C&D early this month and fair bit to find with Gleneagle Bay on that run.

12/1

9th

14

(14)

3rd May 2026

Yielding

0m 7f 0y

14:30 Cork

Brewing

8st 10lb

J: Julian Pietropaolo

T: Kevin Thomas Coleman

All six wins have been gained on AW; in good form at Dundalk this winter before a below-par Newcastle run on latest; others have much stronger claims on turf form.

10/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £37.70
Straight Forecast £36.91
Trifecta £131.80

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Brewing

The Sun:

William Dewhirst

The Guardian:

Lady Flora

Telegraph:

Nikovo

TOPSPEED:

Lir Speciale

RP RATINGS:

Brewing

POSTDATA:

Brewing

NEWMARKET:

Brewing

The Times:

Brewing

Daily Mail:

Brewing

D Express:

Brewing

Daily Mirror:

Brewing

The Star:

Brewing

Daily Record:

William Dewhirst