October 04 / 14.25 Ascot

14.25

Good

BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £48203.5
  • 1m 3f 211y
  • Class 1
  • 5 runners
ITV
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BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

Form: 121143 CD

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 114

Form & Verdict
Front-running 6yo who has pulled out more time and time again, with 11 wins now to his credit, including in this race in 2023 (good) and 2024 (soft); his three wins this season were all 1m6f but he stepped back to 1m4f on soft to excellent effect last autumn; outclassed in a top Group 2 and a Group 1 on last two outings, forgivable; has a 3lb penalty, which he did not carry in the last two runnings of this, but highly respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(5)

13th Jun 2026

Good

1m 5f 188y

Class 1

15:00 York

Al Qareem

9st 7lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Uncharacteristically below par when well beaten at Chester last month and the track wasn't an excuse; four Group 3/Listed wins last year, including when making all in this under a 5lb penalty (same today), and he reappeared with a Listed win at Musselburgh in April; leading claims if back on song.

2/1

5th

2

(8)

7th May 2026

Good

1m 5f 84y

Class 1

15:05 Chester

Al Qareem

9st 5lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Justified favouritism in Listed grade at Musselburgh (1m6f, soft) on seasonal debut, making it five wins from his last nine starts and taking overall record to 13-36; Chester record reads 112, most recently running creditably in this race 12 months ago; again likely to give his running.

9/1

1st

1

(5)

4th Apr 2026

Good

1m 5f 216y

Class 1

14:30 Musselburgh

Al Qareem

9st 7lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Front-runner who keeps pulling out more, with 12 wins; the four last season (April-October) included career-best form; unraced here; has never won first time out but he has run creditably and is the clear form pick.

4/5

OUR TIP

Form: 521-11 CD

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including this race in 2022; also won 1m4f Listed races on last three outings, including in a good scrap involving Military Academy at Goodwood in June and when that rival disappointed at Chester three weeks ago; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good; back up to Group 3 but with leading form claims again and a tremendous attitude.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

1

(3)

7th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

16:45 Goodwood

Hamish

9st 8lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

10yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including at Newbury in October when last seen; has been kept to ground softer than good for a long time; kicked off that 2025 campaign with a win in this race and this star has good chance to repeat the dose.

6/4

1st

3

(8)

25th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

15:45 Newbury

Hamish

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, one over C&D; beaten a head in this race on heavy going in 2022; produced a rather disappointing show in Ascot Group 3 three weeks ago but had Listed wins over Military Academy and Mount Atlas earlier this term and holds a major chance if returning to form.

7/2

2

(2)

4th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Hamish

9st 6lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including this race in 2022; also won 1m4f Listed races on last three outings, including in a good scrap involving Military Academy at Goodwood in June and when that rival disappointed at Chester three weeks ago; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good; back up to Group 3 but with leading form claims again and a tremendous attitude.

7/4

Form: -27274 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
3-4 last term, notably with 1m4f Listed win on AW; cheekpieces have gone on this season, with two solid seconds; excuses are available for the modest shows on his other three starts this term, having first run at idiosyncratic Chester when lacklustre behind Hamish last time; went down by a neck to same rival when level weights at Goodwood (1m4f, soft) in June, showing easily his best turf form, but overall record has to prompt some disquiet.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

12

(7)

19th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 2

15:40 Ascot

Military Academy

9st 7lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

1m4f AW Listed winner for the Gosdens but he left that yard under a cloud in the autumn; rediscovered some form at 1m2f on AW last winter but reverted to lesser efforts on his four outings this spring.

66/1

7th

3

(11)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 4f 6y

Class 2

17:20 Epsom

Military Academy

9st 8lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

1m4f AW Listed winner (also acts on good to soft and softer) for the Gosdens but he left that yard under a cloud in the autumn; rediscovered some form at 1m2f on AW this winter but he's been below par on his last three starts; soft ground would enhance his cause but others are more solid.

33/1

5th

3

(4)

2nd May 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 2

16:45 Newmarket

Military Academy

9st 10lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

AW Listed winner for the Gosdens in November 2024 but he hasn't been near that form since a Listed second last June; second and third places early this year came in small fields and other options look more solid.

20/1

Form: 1-4256

Last run: 65 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
40-1 fifth of ten in the Irish Derby (1m4f, good) in June, front rank long way; it's a concern that his rating that day is well in advance of his others, and also that he was beaten so far in the storm at Glorious Goodwood on latest outing, but he needs a second look with tongue tied first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

(1)

4th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Sir Dinadan

9st 0lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Ralph Beckett

40-1 fifth of ten in the Irish Derby (1m4f, good) in June, front rank long way; it's a concern that his rating that day is well in advance of his others, and also that he was beaten so far in the storm at Glorious Goodwood on latest outing, but he needs a second look with tongue tied first time.

8/1

4

(7)

31st Jul 2025

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

14:30 Goodwood

Sir Dinadan

9st 3lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

Belied his 40-1 odds with an apparently good fifth in the Irish Derby and new rating gives him a leading chance in this field; however, may be flattered by that result; no match for unbeaten stablemate Amiloc in Listed grade at Goodwood (1m3f) the time before; not entirely solid.

8/1

Form: 541111 CD

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Won a novice and three C&D handicaps on varied ground on his last four starts; latest was a big prize on soft, which he took when the first two drew clear; this race demands a hefty dose of further improvement and Hamish looks the stable first string, but this is a highly progressive 3yo.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(1)

7th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

16:45 Goodwood

Tenability

9st 3lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; pipped a below-form Hamish for second in Ascot Group 3 on final outing last year and resumed his progress when he reappeared with a close third in Newbury Group 3 (1m4f, good) in April; that puts him into very serious contention today.

15/8

3rd

7

(3)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:35 Newbury

Tenability

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; creditable second of five in Ascot Group 3 on final outing; none of that form is near what should be required to win this race but he brings potential starting this second season.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £13.60
Straight Forecast £15.87
Trifecta £23.20

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Hamish

D Express:

Tenability

TOPSPEED:

Sir Dinadan

The Star:

Tenability

Daily Record:

Tenability

The Times:

Sir Dinadan

RP RATINGS:

Hamish

POSTDATA:

Hamish

NEWMARKET:

Hamish

Telegraph:

Hamish

The Guardian:

Hamish

Daily Mail:

Hamish

Daily Mirror:

Hamish

The Sun:

Hamish