October 04 / 14.25 Ascot

14.25

Good

BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £48203.5
  • 1m 3f 211y
  • Class 1
  • 5 runners
ITV
View Course
BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

Form: 121143 CD

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 114

Form & Verdict
Front-running 6yo who has pulled out more time and time again, with 11 wins now to his credit, including in this race in 2023 (good) and 2024 (soft); his three wins this season were all 1m6f but he stepped back to 1m4f on soft to excellent effect last autumn; outclassed in a top Group 2 and a Group 1 on last two outings, forgivable; has a 3lb penalty, which he did not carry in the last two runnings of this, but highly respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(8)

7th May 2026

Good

1m 5f 84y

Class 1

15:05 Chester

Al Qareem

9st 5lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Justified favouritism in Listed grade at Musselburgh (1m6f, soft) on seasonal debut, making it five wins from his last nine starts and taking overall record to 13-36; Chester record reads 112, most recently running creditably in this race 12 months ago; again likely to give his running.

9/1

1st

1

(5)

4th Apr 2026

Good

1m 5f 216y

Class 1

14:30 Musselburgh

Al Qareem

9st 7lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Front-runner who keeps pulling out more, with 12 wins; the four last season (April-October) included career-best form; unraced here; has never won first time out but he has run creditably and is the clear form pick.

4/5

1

(5)

18th Oct 2025

Good

1m 7f 209y

Class 1

12:55 Ascot

Al Qareem

9st 9lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Front-running 6yo who keeps pulling out more, with 12 wins now to his credit, including three of his four starts at Ascot; latest was over 1m4f two weeks ago, with three 1m6f wins earlier this season; he's never been at his best over this far, admittedly with stiff tasks but it's hard to ignore that Trawlerman gave him 3lb and a comprehensive beating at York in August.

12/1

OUR TIP

Form: 521-11 CD

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including this race in 2022; also won 1m4f Listed races on last three outings, including in a good scrap involving Military Academy at Goodwood in June and when that rival disappointed at Chester three weeks ago; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good; back up to Group 3 but with leading form claims again and a tremendous attitude.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

3

(8)

25th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

15:45 Newbury

Hamish

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, one over C&D; beaten a head in this race on heavy going in 2022; produced a rather disappointing show in Ascot Group 3 three weeks ago but had Listed wins over Military Academy and Mount Atlas earlier this term and holds a major chance if returning to form.

7/2

2

(2)

4th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Hamish

9st 6lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including this race in 2022; also won 1m4f Listed races on last three outings, including in a good scrap involving Military Academy at Goodwood in June and when that rival disappointed at Chester three weeks ago; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good; back up to Group 3 but with leading form claims again and a tremendous attitude.

7/4

1

(2)

13th Sep 2025

Good

1m 4f 63y

Class 1

14:05 Chester

Hamish

9st 8lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s over 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including two Ormondes over the extended 1m5f here; also won 1m4f Listed races at the Curragh (yielding) last November and Goodwood (soft; by a neck from Military Academy at level weights) this June, which were his last two outings; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good, so rain may be needed.

10/11

Form: -27274 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
3-4 last term, notably with 1m4f Listed win on AW; cheekpieces have gone on this season, with two solid seconds; excuses are available for the modest shows on his other three starts this term, having first run at idiosyncratic Chester when lacklustre behind Hamish last time; went down by a neck to same rival when level weights at Goodwood (1m4f, soft) in June, showing easily his best turf form, but overall record has to prompt some disquiet.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

(4)

2nd May 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 2

16:45 Newmarket

Military Academy

9st 10lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

AW Listed winner for the Gosdens in November 2024 but he hasn't been near that form since a Listed second last June; second and third places early this year came in small fields and other options look more solid.

20/1

5th

3

(4)

6th Apr 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 1f 219y

Class 1

14:55 Kempton (AW)

Military Academy

9st 3lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Latest win came in a Listed race over 1m4f here for the Gosdens in November 2024 but he hasn't been at his best in five starts for this yard; needs a major revival.

12/1

12th

1

(5)

28th Mar 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 2

14:42 Kempton (AW)

Military Academy

9st 12lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Ex-Gosden 5yo; something of a revival with his second and third in small fields at Lingfield (1m2f) on last two outings for current yard, the latter a Group 3; bit more to prove back in the different scenario of this handicap but, with 7lb claimer recruited, he's not entirely dismissed.

12/1

Form: 1-4256

Last run: 65 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
40-1 fifth of ten in the Irish Derby (1m4f, good) in June, front rank long way; it's a concern that his rating that day is well in advance of his others, and also that he was beaten so far in the storm at Glorious Goodwood on latest outing, but he needs a second look with tongue tied first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

(1)

4th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Sir Dinadan

9st 0lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Ralph Beckett

40-1 fifth of ten in the Irish Derby (1m4f, good) in June, front rank long way; it's a concern that his rating that day is well in advance of his others, and also that he was beaten so far in the storm at Glorious Goodwood on latest outing, but he needs a second look with tongue tied first time.

8/1

4

(7)

31st Jul 2025

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

14:30 Goodwood

Sir Dinadan

9st 3lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

Belied his 40-1 odds with an apparently good fifth in the Irish Derby and new rating gives him a leading chance in this field; however, may be flattered by that result; no match for unbeaten stablemate Amiloc in Listed grade at Goodwood (1m3f) the time before; not entirely solid.

8/1

Form: 541111 CD

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Won a novice and three C&D handicaps on varied ground on his last four starts; latest was a big prize on soft, which he took when the first two drew clear; this race demands a hefty dose of further improvement and Hamish looks the stable first string, but this is a highly progressive 3yo.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(3)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:35 Newbury

Tenability

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; creditable second of five in Ascot Group 3 on final outing; none of that form is near what should be required to win this race but he brings potential starting this second season.

14/1

5

(3)

4th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Tenability

9st 0lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: William Haggas

Won a novice and three C&D handicaps on varied ground on his last four starts; latest was a big prize on soft, which he took when the first two drew clear; this race demands a hefty dose of further improvement and Hamish looks the stable first string, but this is a highly progressive 3yo.

9/2

1st

6

(7)

6th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 3f 211y

Class 2

15:15 Ascot

Tenability

8st 12lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Trainer has won three of the last four runnings of this handicap and is represented by a progressive gelding whose two handicap wins have come over C&D (good; good to firm); only scraped home at the Shergar Cup but did well to win at all having pulled hard under an unfamiliar rider; probably still well handicapped off 4lb higher and Cieren Fallon knows him well; unraced on slow ground.

7/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £13.60
Straight Forecast £15.87
Trifecta £23.20

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Hamish

D Express:

Tenability

TOPSPEED:

Sir Dinadan

The Star:

Tenability

Daily Record:

Tenability

The Times:

Sir Dinadan

RP RATINGS:

Hamish

POSTDATA:

Hamish

NEWMARKET:

Hamish

Telegraph:

Hamish

The Guardian:

Hamish

Daily Mail:

Hamish

Daily Mirror:

Hamish

The Sun:

Hamish