December 15 / 15.48 Ffos Las

15.48

Good

Mumbles Brewery “Newcomers” National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £2614.08
  • 1m 7f 182y
  • Class 5
  • 10 runners
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Mumbles Brewery “Newcomers” National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Runners: 10 runners

Type: NH Flat

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

Form:

Last run:

W: 11st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
34,000euros 3yo; fourth foal; half-brother to point winner Russellsway; dam unraced sister to point/useful 2m4f-2m5f hurdle winner Jetnova; others appeal more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

5th May 2026

Good

2m 5f 110y

Class 5

17:22 Ffos Las

Lelant

11st 6lb

J: Osian Radford

T: Mrs C Williams

Two good-ground wins during the winter but nothing positive to take from his last two races and the weather forecast doesn't bode well.

10/1

8th

4

25th Mar 2026

Good

2m 4f 194y

Class 5

14:30 Hereford

Lelant

11st 7lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Mrs C Williams

Returned from break with good-ground C&D win in October and followed up at Market Rasen (2m5f, good to soft) a few weeks later; struggled on heavy ground at Fontwell in December but has been freshened up again since and Sean Bowen keeps the ride; must be considered.

11/4

1st

6

13th Oct 2025

Good

2m 4f 194y

Class 5

15:12 Hereford

Lelant

10st 13lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Well treated on some of his form but it's been a while since he offered an effort of real note; best watched.

7/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 11st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
22,000euros yearling; first foal; dam unraced sister to 2m4f hurdle winner Sean Hogan out of point/bumper/2m hurdle winning sister to 2m-2m4f chase winner Za Beau; market useful with the stable mob handed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

25th Apr 2023

Good To Soft

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

13:40 Ffos Las

Modern Monarch

11st 3lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Modest over hurdles (0-2) so far, including when pulling up on return from a 71-day absence at Fontwell (2m3f, soft; bled from the nose) recently; drops back to 2m in a newly applied tongue-tie seeking a sharp upturn in fortunes.

25/1

3

4th Apr 2023

Soft

2m 3f 49y

Class 4

14:00 Fontwell

Modern Monarch

11st 6lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Arguably shaped with a bit more promise than bare form suggests when tenth of 15 on hurdling debut at Ffos Las (2m, soft) in January but will almost certainly need to build on that performance here.

16/1

10th

8

23rd Jan 2023

Soft

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

13:30 Ffos Las

Modern Monarch

11st 2lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Evan Williams

Distant seventh (behind stablemate Lelant) in bumper at this course on debut; needs to improve markedly on that bare form.

66/1

OUR TIP

Form:

Last run:

W: 11st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
34,000euros 3yo; 6th foal; brother to 2m4f hurdle winner Pale Blue Dot; dam unraced half-sister to useful winners Gala Ball (2m-2m3f hurdle/chase), Beast Of Burden (bumper/2m & 2m7f hurdle) & August Hill (2m-2m1f hurdle/chase); one of five newcomers for the stable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

12

27th Jan 2026

Soft

2m 3f 100y

Class 5

13:00 Chepstow

Out Of Focus

11st 2lb

J: Isabel Williams

T: Evan Williams

Has often run well in handicap hurdles, including over C&D on heavy, but below best this winter despite falling in the weights and he didn't put up much of a show last time out; first-time cheekpieces on.

16/1

3rd

9

20th May 2024

Soft

2m 4f 216y

Class 4

15:43 Newton Abbot

Out Of Focus

11st 4lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

midfield

7/1

3rd

9

20th May 2024

Soft

2m 4f 216y

Class 4

15:43 Newton Abbot

Out Of Focus

11st 4lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

midfield

7/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 11st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
58,000euros 3yo; 7th foal; half-brother to French 2m1f hurdle/chase winner Tidal River; dam German 1m2f/1m3f winner; looks down the yard's pecking order according to jockey bookings.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

15th May 2024

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

14:30 Ffos Las

Three Cliffs Bay

11st 9lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Surprise winner of C&D novice (heavy; 25-1) in November but he hasn't gone on from that in four runs since including three handicaps; had tough task from out the weights at Haydock last time but he needs to find more back at this track.

6/1

5th

6

15th May 2024

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

14:30 Ffos Las

Three Cliffs Bay

11st 9lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Surprise winner of C&D novice (heavy; 25-1) in November but he hasn't gone on from that in four runs since including three handicaps; had tough task from out the weights at Haydock last time but he needs to find more back at this track.

6/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 13lb

4 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
£800 yearling; second foal; dam point winner/placed bumper/2m3f-2m7f hurdles; stable 0-20 in bumpers the last five seasons.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

27th Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 4f 25y

Class 5

15:35 Leicester

Autumn Blaze

10st 2lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Sarah-Jayne Davies

Has had few realistic chances but yet to show much, well held in two handicap hurdles and pulled up in both chase starts; 10lb wrong.

100/1

12

14th Feb 2024

Good To Soft

2m 4f 194y

Class 5

15:30 Hereford

Autumn Blaze

10st 2lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Sarah-Jayne Davies

towards rear

100/1

7

1st Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 3f 83y

Class 5

15:30 Ffos Las

Autumn Blaze

10st 2lb

J: James Best

T: Sarah-Jayne Davies

Showed no significant promise during five-race hurdling spell last April-July and is 8lb out of the weights for today's chasing debut; sports first-time blinkers; can't be recommended.

33/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 13lb

4 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Sixth foal; dam bumper/2m2f and 2m7f hurdle winner, half-sister to point/2m4f hurdle winner Nutmeg Tune; Adam Wedge riding bodes well with the stable running five.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

28th Jun 2024

Good

2m 3f 123y

Class 4

19:58 Bangor-on-Dee

Gilwen Rosie

11st 2lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Tailed off in sole bumper in December 2022 and she's struggled at massive prices in two hurdle runs this spring; remains best watched for now.

33/1

8th

9

26th Apr 2024

Good

2m 0f 11y

Class 4

19:10 Chepstow

Gilwen Rosie

10st 11lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Evan Williams

Tailed off in Wincanton bumper on debut in 2022 and pulled up (albeit on heavy ground) when reappearing in 2m3f novice hurdle here last month.

100/1

8th

9

26th Apr 2024

Good

2m 0f 11y

Class 4

19:10 Chepstow

Gilwen Rosie

10st 11lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Evan Williams

Tailed off in Wincanton bumper on debut in 2022 and pulled up (albeit on heavy ground) when reappearing in 2m3f novice hurdle here last month.

100/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 13lb

4 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
£2,500 4yo; ninth foal; half-sister to 6f-2m Flat (RPR 89)/2m hurdle winner Deepsand and 2m hurdle winner Our Thomas; dam once-raced daughter of US 1m Listed winner Chenille; stable 0-10 in bumpers during recent seasons.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

21st Dec 2022

Soft

2m 0f 53y

Class 5

15:45 Hereford

Izza Wizza

10st 9lb

J: Danny Burton

T: Bernard Llewellyn

Ninth foal; half-sister to Flat/hurdle winner Deepsand and hurdle winner Our Thomas; dam once-raced daughter of a US 1m Listed winner; bought for £2,500 in September; stable 0-10 in bumpers during last five seasons.

50/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 13lb

5 yo Mare

OR:

Form & Verdict
37,000euros yearling; 13th foal; half-sister to eight winners including very smart jumper Whisper; one of the more interesting contenders for sure.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

22nd May 2023

Good

2m 7f 16y

Class 4

17:45 Market Rasen

La Pagerie

10st 13lb

J: Danny McMenamin

T: Neil Mulholland

prominent, pushed along and outpaced after 3 out, ridden and lost position before 2 out, went modest third run-in

10/1

4th

7

28th Apr 2023

Good

2m 3f 100y

Class 4

16:45 Chepstow

La Pagerie

11st 6lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Neil Mulholland

Half-sister to eight winners including the high-class 2m4f-3m hurdle/chase winner Whisper; some promise when fifth of nine in a Hereford bumper (2m, soft) on debut, but beaten 25l when 7-1 for a maiden hurdle at Doncaster (2m, good) three months later.

20/1

6th

3

17th Mar 2023

Good

2m 0f 128y

Class 4

14:40 Doncaster

La Pagerie

11st 2lb

J: Danny McMenamin

T: Neil Mulholland

Half-sister to eight winners including the high-class 2m4f-3m hurdle/chase winner Whisper; quite promising when fifth in a Hereford bumper on debut (2m, soft, 12-1) and could go well.

10/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 5lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
£21,000 3yo; fifth foal; half-brother to bumper/2m & 2m2f hurdle winner Super Six and 2m6f/3m chase winner Cardboard Gangster; dam point winner; armed with his 3yo allowance he needs respecting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

4

20th May 2026

Good

2m 5f 5y

Class 4

16:00 Warwick

Norman Fletcher

11st 8lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Has had three wins over hurdles but yet to convince on his suitability for this distance, latest when seventh of eight finishers at Haydock (2m5f, good) last month in first-time cheekpieces (retained).

10/1

7th

12

15th Apr 2026

Good

2m 5f 50y

Class 2

15:15 Haydock

Norman Fletcher

10st 5lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

All five wins have been at about 2m or 2m1f; wasn't that strong through the line over Bangor's extended 2m3f last time (good) and has further to go here; tries cheekpieces.

10/1

3rd

6

21st Mar 2026

Good To Soft

2m 3f 123y

Class 2

15:20 Bangor-on-Dee

Norman Fletcher

10st 8lb

J: James Turner

T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Hasn't fired as he can this season but he's well handicapped on form that wasn't that long ago; back from a break and hasn't had many chances over this sort of trip.

6/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 2lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
First foal; dam 1m/8.6f AW 2yo winner/poor maiden hurdler, sister to Italian 1m winner Lady Honoria; as a 3yo filly she has no weight to carry; market should be informative.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

2

(6)

23rd Aug 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 4

19:22 Kempton (AW)

Quality

9st 7lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Tony Carroll

Lightly raced 4yo whose best form for the Hobbs and White yard was probably her remote second of four over hurdles at Hereford (2m, good) in February; backward steps afterwards; makes debut under Flat rules and is Flat bred.

50/1

13

20th May 2023

Good

2m 3f 207y

Class 5

20:35 Uttoxeter

Quality

10st 2lb

J: Sean Houlihan

T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

Very lightly raced 4yo but her best effort was a remote second of four at Hereford (2m, good) in February; now goes handicapping at this new trip but she's 8lb out of the weights and has plenty of work to do.

14/1

6th

13

21st Apr 2023

Good

2m 0f 161y

Class 4

17:00 Exeter

Quality

10st 10lb

J: Ben Jones

T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

Didn't achieve a lot when a remote second at Hereford (four ran) and she was on the retreat when falling at Huntingdon; needs to improve, even in this modest contest.

10/1

Betting Forcast

25/1 Lelant, 16/1 Modern Monarch, 16/1 Out Of Focus, 20/1 Three Cliffs Bay, 25/1 Autumn Blaze, 5/1 Gilwen Rosie, 40/1 Izza Wizza, 3/1 La Pagerie, 11/4 Norman Fletcher, 5/2 Quality

Verdict

Evan Williams saddles half the field and yet his record in bumpers would be a concern for all five of his, with Gilwen Rosie perhaps the pick of them. LA PAGERIE jumps off the page as a half-sister to former high-class jumper Whisper. Quality is a 3yo filly getting all the allowances and she could be the danger.[Alistair Jones]

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

La Pagerie

WEST COUNTRY:

Norman Fletcher

Telegraph:

Quality

D Express:

Quality

Daily Record:

Quality

The Times:

Norman Fletcher

The Guardian:

Norman Fletcher

The Sun:

Norman Fletcher

POSTDATA:

La Pagerie

Daily Mail:

La Pagerie

Daily Mirror:

La Pagerie

The Star:

La Pagerie