May 25 / 19.12 Sandown

19.12

Good

Racehorse Lotto Henry II Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £45368
  • 2m 0f 50y
  • Class 1
  • 5 runners
RTV
View Course
Racehorse Lotto Henry II Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

OUR TIP

4/1 (Won)

  • Win: £2.40
  • Place: £1.20

Form: 29/2-3 BF

Last run: 75 days

W: 9st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 103

Form & Verdict
Best form was in 2021 when a 1m6f Listed winner at York and sixth in the Ebor; restricted to just the one start last year when beaten by Sleeping Lion (receiving 3lb) at Kempton and that was in February, so entitled to have needed the run when coming up short at odds-on in a Wolverhampton conditions race in March; 0-3 in Group races but this would just about be the weakest he's contested.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(6)

18th May 2025

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 3

17:15 Newmarket

Roberto Escobarr

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Ian Williams

Dual Group 3 winner (2m/1m7f) for other yards in 2023; he didn't beat many last February-October and 1m4f for last month's reappearance (40-1) was too short; the latter was probably his most encouraging of five runs for current yard, however, and he's been dropped another 4lb since, which makes it 17lb below his peak mark; not ruled out.

16/1

6th

1

(6)

18th May 2025

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 3

17:15 Newmarket

Roberto Escobarr

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Ian Williams

Dual Group 3 winner (2m/1m7f) for other yards in 2023; he didn't beat many last February-October and 1m4f for last month's reappearance (40-1) was too short; the latter was probably his most encouraging of five runs for current yard, however, and he's been dropped another 4lb since, which makes it 17lb below his peak mark; not ruled out.

16/1

8th

3

(8)

22nd Apr 2025

Good

1m 4f 6y

Class 3

15:20 Epsom

Roberto Escobarr

9st 10lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Ian Williams

Dual Group 3 winner (2m/1m7f) for other yards in 2023; he didn't beat many last February-October, including in four races for current yard, and although he's not been sent to the Middle East to start this campaign and is now 13lb below his peak mark, this short a trip asks a big question.

25/1

5/2

  • Place: £2.00

Form: 961-55 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 4lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 107

Form & Verdict
Bordering on his best form when runner-up to Quickthorn in this 12 months ago and, following some tough tasks, he signed off the season with a Listed success; his fifth at Riyadh in February (behind Enemy) was respectable and good to soft ground would not have been ideal in the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes; tactical versatility bodes well and brings leading claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

6

(6)

25th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

2m 0f 56y

Class 1

14:25 York

Nate The Great

9st 5lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Andrew Balding

Best efforts on good or firmer; reproduced his best this season on the three occasions he's had his ground, including latest start when about 9l fifth to Courage Mon Ami and Coltrane in the Gold Cup; that also shows he has a bit to find on form, though, and he came last in this race last year.

33/1

5th

5

(4)

22nd Jun 2023

Good

2m 3f 210y

Class 1

16:20 Ascot

Nate The Great

9st 4lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Andrew Balding

Best efforts on good or firmer; ran at Royal Ascot as 2yo, 3yo, 4yo and 6yo, underperforming in the 2m5f Queen Alexandra on last two occasions and he has a major question to answer beyond 2m; hit career-best form elsewhere last term and reproduced it on the two occasions he's had his ground this season, but he's up against it at this level.

66/1

2nd

2

(1)

25th May 2023

Good

2m 0f 50y

Class 1

19:12 Sandown

Nate The Great

9st 4lb

J: William Buick

T: Andrew Balding

led, headed and raced in second after 2f

5/2

Form: /10-65 D

Last run: 54 days

W: 9st 4lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 97

Form & Verdict
Not seen much action since beating Roberto Escobarr on the AW in early 2022 and this year's exploits on the Polytrack have been a little underwhelming; likely to need career-best form to prevail on these terms and he's no spring chicken now an 8yo.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

3

(9)

20th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

2m 0f 110y

Class 2

14:25 Newbury

Sleeping Lion

9st 1lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Harry Charlton

Solid efforts at Kempton (2m, AW) in his two outings this season, off 105 days since; seen less often on turf in recent campaigns, but his two minor honours on turf at Sandown last summer also give him a chance if the ground (he's steered clear of softer than good) is suitable.

10/1

2nd

4

(3)

6th Apr 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 2

15:15 Kempton (AW)

Sleeping Lion

9st 12lb

J: David Probert

T: Harry Charlton

Won this race in 2021 and fifth of six (raced freely) in 2023; it's more than two years since he last won (also C&D) and he's now a 9yo but his C&D third two months ago showed again that he should not be far away.

12/1

Form: 71-127

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Mare

OR:

Form & Verdict
French-based mare whose two wins (from 13 starts) came during the winter in AW events at about 2m (in new blinkers); forgiven last time as that was not her first below-par run on heavy ground, but the balance of her form hints at limitations in this company; usually held up.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(2)

25th May 2023

Good

2m 0f 50y

Class 1

19:12 Sandown

Princess Anne

9st 1lb

J: Jules Mobian

T: Hiroo Shimizu

took keen hold, prominent

66/1

Evs

Form: 0-1285

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 111

Form & Verdict
Can start slowly and from an unpromising position he could never land a blow when only 7-2 for this 12 months ago; all the better for wind surgery this year with victory in Dubai (1m4f handicap) and a second in Saudi Arabia (1m7f Group 3; Nate The Great behind); form has dipped the last twice, though soft ground didn't seem to help him at Chester; strong form chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

2

(12)

30th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 2

13:30 Carlisle

Enemy

9st 11lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Ian Williams

Durable veteran who won twice on the AW early this year; however, he was soundly beaten at Newcastle on Good Friday and faces some unexposed rivals on his return to turf.

25/1

10th

3

(5)

3rd Apr 2026

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 2

16:42 Newcastle (AW)

Enemy

9st 10lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ian Williams

Snapped a losing sequence at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) in January before close third at Wolverhampton (2m), and returned to winning ways at Lingfield (2m, Polytrack) latest; this 9yo is in a more competitive race today but there remains mileage in his mark judged on his old form; might not be far away.

14/1

1st

4

(1)

27th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 7f 169y

Class 2

15:45 Lingfield (AW)

Enemy

9st 5lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ian Williams

Still very useful at the age of nine, getting his head back in front at Southwell (1m4f) on New Year's Day; split reopposing pair Roaring Legend and Brasil Power when creditable third of six over 2m at Wolverhampton three weeks ago but he has yet to win over this trip.

4/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £6.80
Straight Forecast £8.16
Trifecta £22.80

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Enemy

NEWMARKET:

Roberto Escobarr

Daily Mail:

Nate The Great

The Times:

Roberto Escobarr

Telegraph:

Roberto Escobarr

RP RATINGS:

Enemy

TOPSPEED:

Enemy

POSTDATA:

Enemy

The Guardian:

Enemy

D Express:

Enemy

Daily Mirror:

Enemy

The Sun:

Enemy

The Star:

Enemy

Daily Record:

Nate The Great