November 09 / 16.30 Chelmsford (AW)

16.30

Standard

Betfair EBF ‘Confined’ Novice Stakes (Which Have Not Run More Than 3 Times) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £5400
  • 0m 7f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 12 runners
RTV
View Course
Betfair EBF ‘Confined’ Novice Stakes (Which Have Not Run More Than 3 Times) (GBB Race)

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Cloudy

7/2 (Won)

  • Win: £4.70
  • Place: £2.00

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
320,000gns yearling; second foal; half-brother to 7f winner Forgotten Treasure (including AW; RPR 62); dam 7f 2yo winner (97), closely related to useful winners Southern Hills (5f 2yo Listed) and Toshizou (7.4f 2yo), out of Group-placed 6f 2yo winner; yard 28% with 2yos here in recent years and he needs a close look on debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(1)

30th May 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 1y

Class 2

15:30 Chester

Elements Of Fire

9st 4lb

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin

T: Archie Watson

Front-runner; 4-4 on AW but unplaced in both turf runs; he will need a career best to come out on top but he is well drawn to attack and still has low mileage.

11/2

7th

1

(4)

8th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:25 Ascot

Elements Of Fire

9st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Has done really well front-running over 7f on the AW for new yard, winning all three starts; has more to prove up another 5lb and dropped to 6f on the return to turf but he's perfectly capable of giving it a good shot on grass, having run well under a penalty in a good novice at Doncaster last spring.

6/1

1st

2

(6)

6th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 3

15:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Elements Of Fire

9st 8lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Bought for 32,000gns from the Gosdens; 2-2 since gelded, just doing enough to fend off Epictetus at Chelmsford (7f, Class 4) over a month ago; now 2lb higher as he bids to remain unbeaten for current connections (2-2) and on AW (3-3); solid credentials.

15/8

16/1

  • Place: £4.70

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
$170,000 yearling, $120,000 breeze-up 2yo; half-brother to three winners in USA including What'sontheagenda (Graded stakes-placed 5.5f-6.5f turf/dirt; RPR 107); dam placed in USA, half-sister to 1m turf stakes winner Thundering Sky; one of two newcomers for the Crisfords and market should be informative.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(10)

22nd Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:10 Kempton (AW)

Estmrar

9st 3lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Only had to reproduce what he'd done twice before to readily get off the mark at Chelmsford last time (1m), following gelding operation and wind surgery; needs to pull out more now handicapping but that's entirely possible; yard took this in 2023.

15/2

4

(4)

28th Aug 2025

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:20 Chelmsford (AW)

Estmrar

9st 7lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Went very close here (7f) on debut in November and was placed on dirt in UAE (1m/9.5f) on next two outings; below form when 4-9 favourite on latter occasion but was given wind and gelding operations during subsequent seven-month break; will be hard to beat here if back on song.

10/11

2nd

7

(4)

9th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Estmrar

9st 4lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

prominent, ridden and pressed leaders on inner over 1f out

16/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.20

Form: 41 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 11lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
300,000gns yearling; ran green behind a smart rival on Newmarket debut in June but he left that form behind when justifying support at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta) last month; won in good style after travelling smoothly in that race and he's strongly respected under a penalty.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

16th

11

(16)

15th Mar 2026

Heavy

1m 0f 0y

17:30 Curragh

Royal Alliance

9st 9lb

J: Julian Pietropaolo

T: Maurice Andrew Ahern

Has shown very little since joining this yard including here on heavy ground; tongue tie now tried; hard to make a case for.

50/1

14th

4

(2)

16th Jan 2026

Standard

0m 7f 0y

18:15 Dundalk (AW)

Royal Alliance

10st 0lb

J: Jamie Orr

T: Maurice Andrew Ahern

AW winner for George Boughey in Britain but has suffered heavy defeats in four runs for current connections; hard to fancy.

40/1

OUR TIP

Form: 77 BF

Last run: 92 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
580,000euros yearling; short-priced favourite in two 6f runs during the summer but finished a well-held seventh on both occasions and he's been gelded since; still early days but he needs plenty of progress upped in trip after a break.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(4)

8th Jan 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Beccali

9st 8lb

J: James Doyle

T: Charlie Appleby

Improved with each of his three qualifying runs and he took another good step forward when justifying favouritism on handicap debut at Wolverhampton (7f) last month; up 6lb for that small-field win but he finished well to score with authority and is open to more progress at this new trip; big player.

11/10

2nd

2

(4)

8th Jan 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Beccali

9st 8lb

J: James Doyle

T: Charlie Appleby

Improved with each of his three qualifying runs and he took another good step forward when justifying favouritism on handicap debut at Wolverhampton (7f) last month; up 6lb for that small-field win but he finished well to score with authority and is open to more progress at this new trip; big player.

11/10

1st

4

(2)

16th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 4

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Beccali

9st 0lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Charlie Appleby

slowly into stride, towards rear, cajoled along over 3f out, switched right and headway from over 1f out, hung left and hampered rival but led 1f out, edged left but ran on inside final furlong

5/2

Form:

Last run:

W: 8st 13lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Half-sister to six winners including Dancing Star (6f-7f including 2yo/Group 3; RPR 113), Foxtrot Lady (6f-7f including Group 3; 106) and Quickstep Lady (6f/7f; 91); dam 6f winner (93), out of Nunthorpe winner Lochangel; looks the part on paper and she's an interesting debutante.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(11)

6th May 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 1y

Class 3

16:45 Chester

Dance In The Storm

9st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Sometimes races too freely, including when last seen, but otherwise a progressive 7f filly and her form includes good efforts in difficult circumstances at two major festivals last August; remains of interest.

7/2

10th

10

(5)

27th Sep 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

17:55 Newmarket

Dance In The Storm

9st 1lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Performed well, despite things not going totally smoothly, in warm 7f handicaps at Glorious Goodwood (went very close) and the York Ebor festival last month; still open to further progress; major player.

9/2

6/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
68,000gns foal, 370,000gns yearling; fourth foal; closely related to 7f winner Elsals (RPR 87); dam Listed-placed 5f 2yo winner (90), out of 7f 2yo Group 3 winning close relative of French Oaks winner Star Of Seville; plenty to like on paper and yard has been in scintillating form this month.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(1)

12th Jul 2025

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

15:25 Newmarket (July)

Raafedd

9st 1lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Tongue tied first time and left his first two efforts behind when seeing off two next-time-out winners in a 7f Newbury novice (good) in May; on the back of that he went off favourite for the 30-runner Britannia at Royal Ascot but met repeated trouble in running; evidently well regarded (has also been Group entered) and can be given another chance.

3/1

21th

25

(14)

19th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:00 Ascot

Raafedd

9st 1lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

370,000gns yearling; first-time tongue-tie when not overly troubled at Newbury (7f novice, good) to beat a subsequent winner and he's in the right hands to keep progressing now into handicaps, especially raised to 1m; could very easily take a huge step forward, and runs here in preference to Saturday's Group 3 Jersey Stakes; dangerous; trainer won this in 2012.

9/1

1st

7

(7)

16th May 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:05 Newbury

Raafedd

9st 4lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Shaped well on his AW debut in November (7f) but he was left trailing when Indian Springs moved through the gears at Newmarket last month; open to improvement and a tongue-tie may help but minor money perhaps his best hope.

10/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
185,000gns foal, 450,000gns yearling; first foal; dam 5.7f/6f 2yo winner (including Listed; RPR 106), half-sister to winners Nessun Dorma (1m4f/1m5f Flat and 2m hurdle) and Pretty And Sweet (US 1m); interesting newcomer and he needs watching in market.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(8)

25th Aug 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

15:25 Southwell (AW)

Breakdancer

9st 9lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Well backed and left earlier efforts well behind when winning a 7f handicap at Kempton 19 days ago; a 7lb rise asks more of him but the extra furlong shouldn't be an issue and he's capable of better; strong claims.

6/4

3

(8)

6th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Breakdancer

9st 7lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Regressive RPRs at novice level but this son of Wootton Bassett is in good hands and may start to progress now handicapping; there was promise on his debut (sole Polytrack attempt); interesting.

3/1

4

(5)

10th Jul 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

15:45 Doncaster

Breakdancer

9st 4lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Not beaten far in a race that threw up several winners on debut in November (7f, AW) but again failed to settle and a long way below that level over further on reappearance; hood fitted for drop in trip/switch to turf but may be more a handicap type.

10/1

8th
8 (1)
Hymnbook

33/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
90,000gns yearling; third foal; brother to 6f winner Commandment (including 2yo; RPR 83), half-brother to 2m AW winner First Blood (67); dam unraced, out of Listed-placed 1m winning sister to US 1m1f-1m2f Grade 1 winner Megahertz; has speed and stamina in pedigree and market should guide on debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(13)

26th Sep 2025

Good

1m 1f 0y

Class 3

16:45 Newmarket

Hymnbook

9st 7lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: S Woods

Rallied for eyecatching second on handicap debut at Ascot (1m, good to firm) in July; mid-division in Glorious Goodwood handicap (1m2f, good) next time and well beaten at Ascot (1m2f) most recently, but that was on soft ground; not ruled out now back on better ground in view of the Ascot promise.

11/1

2

(1)

6th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 1f 212y

Class 3

14:10 Ascot

Hymnbook

9st 7lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: S Woods

Made all in a maiden on his fourth start and very nearly followed up on handicap debut here, again over 1m on good to firm; strong in the finish that day and didn't get the chance to show what he could do upped to 1m2f at Glorious Goodwood; soft ground is a complete unknown but remains of interest.

12/1

10th

13

(9)

31st Jul 2025

Good

1m 1f 197y

Class 2

13:20 Goodwood

Hymnbook

8st 12lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: S Woods

Off the mark at the fourth attempt when making all in Nottingham maiden (1m, good to firm) in May and went very close on handicap debut in small field at Ascot (1m, good to firm) three weeks ago; this race is hotter but he kept on strongly last time and could have more to offer now upped to 1m2f.

14/1

16/1

Form: 76

Last run: 64 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Ran green in both runs so far but he found improvement when a rallying sixth at Kempton (7f, AW) in September and was only beaten 5l in that race; looks open to more progress after a short break and he could get involved.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(9)

4th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:18 Windsor

Boubyan

9st 9lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Michael Appleby

Has a patchy profile but he won at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) in March and was a strong-finishing second at Pontefract (1m, good) last Wednesday; on same mark here and he's a key player on this step back up in trip.

11/4

2nd

1

(9)

29th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 6

17:08 Pontefract

Boubyan

9st 9lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Michael Appleby

Made all on good to firm at Newbury (1m; first-time cheekpieces, kept since) in July and doubled his tally when picking up AW handicap (1m2f) in March; raced freely when underwhelming on last two starts but drops in grade and has already dipped below his last winning mark.

12/1

11th

10

(4)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 2f 50y

Class 5

18:45 Nottingham

Boubyan

9st 5lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Michael Appleby

Got his head back in front off this mark on AW at Newcastle (1m2f) last month; not beaten far back there next time and this is a bit easier than the Class 4 he contested at Wolverhampton latest.

12/1

66/1

Form: 646

Last run: 50 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Showed some ability in two runs for Peter Chapple-Hyam but he struggled on stable debut at Kempton (7f, AW) last month and was a massive price in that race.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

9

(4)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 216y

Class 6

15:52 Brighton

Unknown Journey

9st 0lb

J: William Carson

T: Tony Carroll

0-23 and after going close in a Lingfield classified in February he's been way off that in three subsequent starts, including when tailed off last time.

16/1

11th

8

(8)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Unknown Journey

9st 2lb

J: William Carson

T: Tony Carroll

Frustrating type (0-22 overall; 0-15 for Tony Carroll) and the fitting of a hood (retained here) saw no upturn at Kempton five weeks ago.

20/1

8th

7

(5)

25th Mar 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Unknown Journey

9st 3lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Tony Carroll

21-race maiden; returned to form with a close second in classified event at Lingfield (1m) last month but he failed to back that up at Wolverhampton two weeks ago; hood is now added and he needs to bounce back again after that last run.

8/1

7/2

Form: 6

Last run: 101 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Too Darn Hot colt out of a half-sister to a US Grade 1 winner (7f/1m); couldn't pose a threat when sixth of 13 on Sandown debut (7f, good to firm) in July but he wasn't beaten far and that was behind a subsequent Group 2 winner; should know more this time and he looks a likely improver on his return.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(2)

16th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 23y

Class 4

16:30 Yarmouth

Akrramm

9st 2lb

J: Zacharia Clarke

T: Roger Varian

Out of a half-sister to a US Grade 1 winner; showed some promise in his qualifying runs, including when third of 12 on Chelmsford reappearance (1m, AW) last month; made some good late headway in that race and he looks interesting now upped to 1m2f on handicap debut.

3/1

3

(5)

28th Aug 2025

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:20 Chelmsford (AW)

Akrramm

9st 7lb

J: Zacharia Clarke

T: Roger Varian

Out of a half-sister to a US Grade 1 winner; failed to build upon quite promising 2yo debut when down the field here (7f) in November and has not raced again since; probably still has potential but is tricky to weigh up on this reappearance outing; gelded in April.

8/1

11th

2

(2)

9th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Akrramm

9st 4lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Roger Varian

midfield

7/2

66/1

Form: 70

Last run: 5 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Well held in two runs at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) this autumn and has lots to find on this drop in trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(6)

9th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

West Wickham

9st 7lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

Yet to be placed after 11 starts and he's been beaten around 9l in two runs at Southwell (1m3f/1m6f) this winter; down the list.

11/1

5th

8

(4)

20th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 6f 21y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

West Wickham

8st 13lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

Unplaced in all ten starts, most recently a well-beaten ninth of ten in a 1m3f classified event here; hard to recommend.

10/1

7

(8)

18th Jul 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 50y

Class 6

16:31 Nottingham

West Wickham

8st 13lb

J: Aidan Keeley

T: Jessica Macey

Unable to land a telling blow on either start for new stable (1m6f/1m2f) and now 0-8 overall; dropped another 3lb since last time but still needs to raise his game.

12/1

Non-runners

Keble Spirit, Wilhelmina

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £76.80
Straight Forecast £58.48
Trifecta £296.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Royal Alliance

The Times:

Akrramm

NEWMARKET:

Breakdancer

The Star:

Elements Of Fire

The Guardian:

Akrramm

Daily Mail:

Akrramm

D Express:

Akrramm

RP RATINGS:

Royal Alliance

POSTDATA:

Royal Alliance

Telegraph:

Royal Alliance

Daily Mirror:

Royal Alliance

The Sun:

Royal Alliance

Daily Record:

Royal Alliance