October 14 / 16.50 Newcastle (AW)

16.50

Standard

Northumbria Leisure Celebrating 52 Years Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £3888
  • 1m 2f 42y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
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Northumbria Leisure Celebrating 52 Years Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

Form: 88

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Yet to show any form of much note, beating just one in 1m4f Southwell maiden 17 days ago; it's easy to look elsewhere.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(8)

13th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 6f 21y

Class 6

20:20 Southwell (AW)

I Am Simba

9st 8lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Rebecca Menzies

0-7 under rules; showed a bit more when fifth of eight at Newcastle (1m4f, Tapeta; first-time cheekpieces) last month, but will need to race with a bit more restraint in order to see out the longer trip.

10/1

5th

1

(5)

15th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 6

14:42 Newcastle (AW)

I Am Simba

9st 9lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Rebecca Menzies

Struggled in three novice/maiden races in the autumn (1m2f-1m4f) but the minor promise he showed in bumpers beforehand offers some hope for him in this low-grade handicap; sports first-time cheekpieces.

20/1

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
200,000guineas yearling, 5,000guineas 3yo; Sea The Stars gelding; half-brother to 7f winner Miss Carol Ann (RPR 102); dam, Group-placed 6f 2yo/Canadian 6.5f winner (RPR 102), is a half-sister to 6f Group 3 winners Summerghand and Eastern Impact; the market can guide on his belated debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(1)

26th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 43y

Class 5

12:15 Doncaster

Superfortress

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Six-race maiden who has bits of encouraging form; good second, despite traffic issues, at Beverley (8.5f) on penultimate start and was possibly unsuited by Ripon latest; first win is not inconceivable.

6/1

11th

1

(6)

3rd Jun 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:10 Ripon

Superfortress

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Didn't live up to market expectations on handicap debut in April (1m, AW), when he reared at the start, but this very lightly raced 5yo showed what he is capable of when second at Beverley (8.4f, good to firm) three weeks ago, when denied a clear run; unproven on slow ground; on the shortlist.

4/1

2nd

3

(4)

12th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 100y

Class 5

16:35 Beverley

Superfortress

9st 7lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Four-race maiden; best efforts when second on AW on two occasions; didn't live up to market expectations last time (handicap debut) but progress is still a possibility.

8/1

OUR TIP

Form: 66

Last run: 73 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Has cut little ice in a pair of bumpers and 1m novices at Pontefract and Thirsk this summer; very hard to make a case for.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(2)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

16:50 Newcastle (AW)

Timely Approach

9st 8lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Tracy Waggott

Has cut little ice in a pair of bumpers and 1m novices at Pontefract and Thirsk this summer; very hard to make a case for.

66/1

4

(2)

9th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 3f 39y

Class 5

18:15 Carlisle

Timely Approach

10st 0lb

J: William Pyle

T: Tracy Waggott

Well held in bumpers and in 1m maiden/novice; impossible to recommend.

50/1

2

(4)

2nd Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 218y

Class 4

14:15 Thirsk

Timely Approach

9st 11lb

J: William Pyle

T: Tracy Waggott

Well held in bumpers and in 1m maiden at Pontefract (300-1); impossible to recommend.

100/1

Form: 1-8

Last run: 45 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 93

Form & Verdict
Created a good impression when making a winning debut in Yarmouth novice last October; off ten months before eighth of 13 in Sandown Group 3 event (again 1m on soft; 14-1) in August and this Ghaiyyath filly is very much the one to beat back in these much calmer waters.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(7)

25th Sep 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 1

13:15 Newmarket

Alobayyah

9st 4lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

She built on her Ascot reappearance in May when narrowly landing the Kensington Palace (1m, good to firm) at that course's royal meeting the following month; first crack at a Listed race when beaten 4l at Haydock (Blingy's Sister 1l ahead) seven weeks ago, but she's well worth another try at this level; considered.

3/1

7th

1

(4)

8th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 212y

Class 1

15:00 Haydock

Alobayyah

9st 4lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Very lightly raced for her age; posted a personal best when justifying strong support in 24-runner Kensington Palace Handicap at Royal Ascot (1m, good to firm), leading late on; still unexposed and well worth her place in this higher grade.

4/1

1st

10

(16)

17th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:35 Ascot

Alobayyah

8st 11lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Lightly raced filly who ran an eye-catching trial for this when third of nine to Radiant Beauty and Song N Dance over C&D (good) on reappearance, doing well to finish so close to that prominently ridden pair having been held up in rear in a steadily run race; further improvement seems likely for top yard after only four starts; leading claims.

4/1

Form: 573

Last run: 130 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Advanced his form in first-time cheekpieces when third of six in 1m2f Doncaster novice in June; has since been gelded and this son of Dubawi could do better still after his break for top yard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

8

(6)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 4f 6y

Class 2

17:20 Epsom

Antrim

8st 12lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

Often a front-runner; 3-7 on AW but he's 0-4 on turf and latest third to Elsass at Hamilton (1m3f, good) was no more than respectable; untested on good to soft or worse but his pedigree may given some encouragement, as his dam is closely related to outstanding performer Enable whose 15 wins included the 2017 Oaks over C&D and four of her Group 1 wins were on softer than good.

16/1

3rd

2

(1)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 3

19:15 Hamilton

Antrim

9st 7lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

Often a front-runner; won at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) in October and December and at Meydan (1m3f, dirt) in January; merely mid-division back in Britain at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) six weeks ago, but that was a hot race; turf form (first three starts) is nowhere near his handicap mark.

5/1

Form: —

Last run: —

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
3,000guineas yearling by Sergei Prokofiev; dam, sprint maiden (RPR 50), is a half-sister to winners Sound Of Guns (Group-placed 6f 2yo), Masai Spirit (1m) and Storm Catlilly (US 5.5f); on this debut, others seem more likely, but his trainer has had a 3yo newcomer win at Newcastle before.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(1)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

16:50 Newcastle (AW)

Hangover Bay

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Craig Lidster

3,000guineas yearling by Sergei Prokofiev; dam, sprint maiden (RPR 50), is a half-sister to winners Sound Of Guns (Group-placed 6f 2yo), Masai Spirit (1m) and Storm Catlilly (US 5.5f); on this debut, others seem more likely, but his trainer has had a 3yo newcomer win at Newcastle before.

50/1

Form: 53

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Wootton Bassett gelding who built on his debut promise when third of four in maiden over C&D 19 days ago; can do better still but needs to here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

8th Sep 2026

Good

2m 0f 145y

Class 4

17:42 Bangor-on-Dee

Provision

11st 5lb

J: Isabelle Ryder

T: Barry Brennan

Fair Flat maiden; has improved with experience in this sphere and gained a first success in nine-runner novice at Worcester (2m) in July, overcoming a bad error three out; he looks to have more to offer so needs considering.

4/1

1st

9

22nd Jul 2026

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:00 Worcester

Provision

11st 0lb

J: Isabelle Ryder

T: Barry Brennan

Record of 0-5 on Flat and 0-3 over hurdles but he has proved broadly consistent and penultimate effort has worked out well; creditable third over C&D latest; solid claims.

5/2

3rd

6

17th Jun 2026

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:15 Worcester

Provision

10st 13lb

J: James Best

T: Barry Brennan

Placed on the Flat in April (1m6f, AW; RPR 71) and kept on for respectable third behind two subsequent winners when back over hurdles at Southwell (2m, good) last month; has a bit to find here but considered each-way.

12/1

Form: 3

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
11-2 and green, shaped well when a debut third of nine in 1m4f AW Lingfield novice three weeks ago; this son of Sea The Stars has more to offer so must enter calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

12

(8)

16th Oct 2026

Standard

1m 2f 150y

20:00 Dundalk (AW)

Tyraxes

9st 6lb

J: Mel Sheridan

T: Denis Gerard Hogan

Maiden whose best efforts have come on the AW when placed in two maidens; recent efforts leave a bit more to be desired.

50/1

7th

8

(3)

30th Sep 2026

Yielding To Soft

0m 7f 205y

14:05 Bellewstown

Tyraxes

9st 0lb

J: Jared Huggan

T: Denis Gerard Hogan

Posted some good runs earlier this year, mostly on AW but has been below form the last thrice and needs a return to his best.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £132.80
Straight Forecast £117.61
Trifecta £2231.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Alobayyah

Daily Record:

Tyraxes

NEWMARKET:

Antrim

RP RATINGS:

Alobayyah

POSTDATA:

Alobayyah

The Times:

Alobayyah

Telegraph:

Alobayyah

The Guardian:

Alobayyah

Daily Mail:

Alobayyah

D Express:

Alobayyah

Daily Mirror:

Alobayyah

The Sun:

Alobayyah

The Star:

Alobayyah