October 14 / 16.50 Newcastle (AW)

16.50

Standard

Northumbria Leisure Celebrating 52 Years Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £3888
  • 1m 2f 42y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
View Course
Northumbria Leisure Celebrating 52 Years Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

Form: 88

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Yet to show any form of much note, beating just one in 1m4f Southwell maiden 17 days ago; it's easy to look elsewhere.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(8)

13th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 6f 21y

Class 6

20:20 Southwell (AW)

I Am Simba

9st 8lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Rebecca Menzies

0-7 under rules; showed a bit more when fifth of eight at Newcastle (1m4f, Tapeta; first-time cheekpieces) last month, but will need to race with a bit more restraint in order to see out the longer trip.

10/1

5th

1

(5)

15th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 6

14:42 Newcastle (AW)

I Am Simba

9st 9lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Rebecca Menzies

Struggled in three novice/maiden races in the autumn (1m2f-1m4f) but the minor promise he showed in bumpers beforehand offers some hope for him in this low-grade handicap; sports first-time cheekpieces.

20/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
200,000guineas yearling, 5,000guineas 3yo; Sea The Stars gelding; half-brother to 7f winner Miss Carol Ann (RPR 102); dam, Group-placed 6f 2yo/Canadian 6.5f winner (RPR 102), is a half-sister to 6f Group 3 winners Summerghand and Eastern Impact; the market can guide on his belated debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

1

(6)

3rd Jun 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:10 Ripon

Superfortress

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Didn't live up to market expectations on handicap debut in April (1m, AW), when he reared at the start, but this very lightly raced 5yo showed what he is capable of when second at Beverley (8.4f, good to firm) three weeks ago, when denied a clear run; unproven on slow ground; on the shortlist.

4/1

2nd

3

(4)

12th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 100y

Class 5

16:35 Beverley

Superfortress

9st 7lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Four-race maiden; best efforts when second on AW on two occasions; didn't live up to market expectations last time (handicap debut) but progress is still a possibility.

8/1

7th

1

(1)

25th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Superfortress

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

200,000gns yearling who was bought unraced for 5,000gns in October 2024; back to last autumn's debut levels when best of the rest behind an easy, long odds-on winner over C&D on comeback a month ago and may have more to offer now handicapping.

5/1

OUR TIP

Form: 66

Last run: 73 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Has cut little ice in a pair of bumpers and 1m novices at Pontefract and Thirsk this summer; very hard to make a case for.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(2)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

16:50 Newcastle (AW)

Timely Approach

9st 8lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Tracy Waggott

Has cut little ice in a pair of bumpers and 1m novices at Pontefract and Thirsk this summer; very hard to make a case for.

66/1

4

(2)

9th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 3f 39y

Class 5

18:15 Carlisle

Timely Approach

10st 0lb

J: William Pyle

T: Tracy Waggott

Well held in bumpers and in 1m maiden/novice; impossible to recommend.

50/1

2

(4)

2nd Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 218y

Class 4

14:15 Thirsk

Timely Approach

9st 11lb

J: William Pyle

T: Tracy Waggott

Well held in bumpers and in 1m maiden at Pontefract (300-1); impossible to recommend.

100/1

Form: 1-8

Last run: 45 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 93

Form & Verdict
Created a good impression when making a winning debut in Yarmouth novice last October; off ten months before eighth of 13 in Sandown Group 3 event (again 1m on soft; 14-1) in August and this Ghaiyyath filly is very much the one to beat back in these much calmer waters.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(2)

9th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

13:45 Ascot

Alobayyah

9st 12lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: William Haggas

Outclassed rivals on sole 2yo start, over 1m at Yarmouth (soft); had a much stiffer task when returning in a Group 3 last August, where she was struck into, but she was nowhere near justifying short odds on Newcastle AW (1m2f) in October; goes handicapping with potential but queries.

13/2

4

(8)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

16:50 Newcastle (AW)

Alobayyah

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Created a good impression when making a winning debut in Yarmouth novice last October; off ten months before eighth of 13 in Sandown Group 3 event (again 1m on soft; 14-1) in August and this Ghaiyyath filly is very much the one to beat back in these much calmer waters.

4/6

7

(5)

30th Aug 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 1

14:25 Sandown

Alobayyah

9st 0lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Looked a good prospect when making a successful debut in 1m Yarmouth novice (soft) last October; those in behind haven't managed a win in a combined 17 starts since but she could do no more than score easily and it's potentially significant that her in-form top stable is prepared to pitch her straight in at Group level on her return.

5/1

Form: 573

Last run: 130 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Advanced his form in first-time cheekpieces when third of six in 1m2f Doncaster novice in June; has since been gelded and this son of Dubawi could do better still after his break for top yard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(1)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 3

19:15 Hamilton

Antrim

9st 7lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

Often a front-runner; won at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) in October and December and at Meydan (1m3f, dirt) in January; merely mid-division back in Britain at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) six weeks ago, but that was a hot race; turf form (first three starts) is nowhere near his handicap mark.

5/1

8th

7

(10)

3rd Apr 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 2

16:10 Newcastle (AW)

Antrim

9st 1lb

J: Sam James

T: K R Burke

Won C&D novice in October for the Gosdens and followed up on stable debut in C&D handicap; added a dirt handicap win at Meydan in January; well beaten in Meydan Group 2 last time but this front-runner could make a bold bid now back in a handicap.

20/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
3,000guineas yearling by Sergei Prokofiev; dam, sprint maiden (RPR 50), is a half-sister to winners Sound Of Guns (Group-placed 6f 2yo), Masai Spirit (1m) and Storm Catlilly (US 5.5f); on this debut, others seem more likely, but his trainer has had a 3yo newcomer win at Newcastle before.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(1)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

16:50 Newcastle (AW)

Hangover Bay

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Craig Lidster

3,000guineas yearling by Sergei Prokofiev; dam, sprint maiden (RPR 50), is a half-sister to winners Sound Of Guns (Group-placed 6f 2yo), Masai Spirit (1m) and Storm Catlilly (US 5.5f); on this debut, others seem more likely, but his trainer has had a 3yo newcomer win at Newcastle before.

50/1

Form: 53

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Wootton Bassett gelding who built on his debut promise when third of four in maiden over C&D 19 days ago; can do better still but needs to here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

11th May 2026

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

17:17 Southwell

Provision

10st 12lb

J: James Best

T: Barry Brennan

Outclassed in a useful juvenile hurdle at Christmas; third of eight on the AW last month but that was a 1m6f Class 5 handicap.

20/1

3rd

4

(7)

15th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 6f 21y

Class 5

18:30 Southwell (AW)

Provision

9st 7lb

J: Charles Bishop

T: Barry Brennan

Showed promise in novice/maiden company when trained by Paul Midgley; struggled on his yard/hurdling debut in December and it was the same story in a handicap at Lingfield (1m4f, AW) three weeks ago; down 3lb.

20/1

8th

7

(6)

25th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 4f 0y

Class 5

14:52 Lingfield (AW)

Provision

9st 6lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Barry Brennan

Lightly raced 4yo who struggled on his hurdling debut in December but he showed some promise on AW last autumn including when third in a Newcastle novice (1m2f); returns to the Flat after another break but he needs checking in market on handicap debut.

20/1

Form: 3

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
11-2 and green, shaped well when a debut third of nine in 1m4f AW Lingfield novice three weeks ago; this son of Sea The Stars has more to offer so must enter calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

9

(7)

12th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 31y

18:10 Killarney

Tyraxes

9st 9lb

J: J M Sheridan

T: Denis Gerard Hogan

First seven runs were on AW; placed in three of five Dundalk outings for this stable, including a 3l third over this trip at Dundalk in March; made little impression at Limerick on turf debut; better ground may help.

8/1

10th

8

(7)

25th Apr 2026

Yielding To Soft

1m 0f 50y

14:40 Limerick

Tyraxes

9st 9lb

J: Keithen Kennedy

T: Denis Gerard Hogan

Rated 71 after seven starts on the AW; placed in three of five runs for this stable including a 3l third over this trip at Dundalk on latest; place chance if acts on turf but more needed to win.

8/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £132.80
Straight Forecast £117.61
Trifecta £2231.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Alobayyah

Daily Record:

Tyraxes

NEWMARKET:

Antrim

RP RATINGS:

Alobayyah

POSTDATA:

Alobayyah

The Times:

Alobayyah

Telegraph:

Alobayyah

The Guardian:

Alobayyah

Daily Mail:

Alobayyah

D Express:

Alobayyah

Daily Mirror:

Alobayyah

The Sun:

Alobayyah

The Star:

Alobayyah