September 23 / 14.40 Newbury

13:30 14:05 14:40 15:15 15:50 16:25 17:00

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14.40

Heavy

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Prize money: £38655
1m 2f 0y
Class 2
8 runners

ITV4

View Course

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

1st

4 (3)

Balance Play

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

7/2 (Won)

Win: £4.00
Place: £1.50

Form: -23110 D BF

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict

Fourth on soft on debut; won on good to soft at Chester (1m2f; made all) and Glorious Goodwood (1m3f; from mid-division) before a no-show when favourite over 1m4f at York in hat-trick bid four weeks ago; plenty to like before that, as he was comfortably on top for both wins; may well bounce back.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
1st 4 (3)	23rd Sep 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 0y Class 2	14:40 Newbury Balance Play 9st 1lb J: Hector Crouch T: Ralph Beckett	in touch with leaders, cajoled along 4f out, pushed along 3f out, hung left but headway on near side of group 2f out, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, soon edged left, went clear final 110yds, comfortably	7/2
10th 11 (9)	25th Aug 2023 Good To Firm 1m 3f 188y Class 2	13:50 York Balance Play 9st 3lb J: Hector Crouch T: Ralph Beckett	Creditable third at Epsom (1m2f, good to firm) on handicap debut, before making all at Chester (1m2f, good to soft) and asserting final 1f at Glorious Goodwood (1m3f, good to soft); 1m4f looks manageable and 7lb rise may be too, given he was comfortably on top for both wins; steadily progressive.	4/1
1st 2 (13)	4th Aug 2023 Heavy 1m 3f 44y Class 3	17:20 Goodwood Balance Play 9st 8lb J: Hector Crouch T: Ralph Beckett	midfield	9/2

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

1st

(3)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

9st 1lb

in touch with leaders, cajoled along 4f out, pushed along 3f out, hung left but headway on near side of group 2f out, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, soon edged left, went clear final 110yds, comfortably

7/2

10th

(9)

25th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 2

9st 3lb

Creditable third at Epsom (1m2f, good to firm) on handicap debut, before making all at Chester (1m2f, good to soft) and asserting final 1f at Glorious Goodwood (1m3f, good to soft); 1m4f looks manageable and 7lb rise may be too, given he was comfortably on top for both wins; steadily progressive.

4/1

1st

(13)

4th Aug 2023

Heavy

1m 3f 44y

Class 3

9st 8lb

midfield

9/2

2nd

7 (1)

Totnes

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

4/1

Place: £2.10

Form: 143311 D

Last run: 44 days

W: 8st 10lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 90

Form & Verdict

On the up over 1m2f in recent starts, notably with clearcut wins at Chelmsford (AW) and Chepstow (good to soft; unraced on soft); up another 8lb and in class but a rising force who has to be in serious calculations.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
7th 5 (2)	7th Oct 2023 Good 1m 2f 0y Class 2	13:30 Newmarket Totnes 9st 7lb J: P J McDonald T: Andrew Balding	Won at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) in July and followed up at Chepstow (1m2f, good to soft) before a good second at Newbury (1m2f, heavy); this 3yo has won four of her ten starts and could still have more to offer, provided today's expected return to better ground isn't an issue.	5/1
2nd 7 (1)	23rd Sep 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 0y Class 2	14:40 Newbury Totnes 8st 10lb J: Oisin Murphy T: Andrew Balding	in touch with leaders, bit short of room under 2f out, ridden and kept on from over 1f out, went second inside final 110yds, no match for winner	4/1
1st 2 (2)	10th Aug 2023 Soft 1m 2f 0y Class 3	19:00 Chepstow Totnes 9st 4lb J: Paul Mulrennan T: Andrew Balding	Took form to new level with clearcut success at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) last month, her third win this year; latest 7lb rise asks quite a lot of her but she'll be fine back on turf and may yet have more improvement to come.	4/1

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

7th

(2)

7th Oct 2023

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

9st 7lb

Won at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) in July and followed up at Chepstow (1m2f, good to soft) before a good second at Newbury (1m2f, heavy); this 3yo has won four of her ten starts and could still have more to offer, provided today's expected return to better ground isn't an issue.

5/1

2nd

(1)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

8st 10lb

in touch with leaders, bit short of room under 2f out, ridden and kept on from over 1f out, went second inside final 110yds, no match for winner

4/1

1st

(2)

10th Aug 2023

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

9st 4lb

Took form to new level with clearcut success at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) last month, her third win this year; latest 7lb rise asks quite a lot of her but she'll be fine back on turf and may yet have more improvement to come.

4/1

3rd

6 (7)

Toshizou

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

9/1

Place: £3.20

Form: 348470

Last run: 29 days

W: 8st 11lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict

Never-nearer fourth of 11 over 1m2f at Epsom on Oaks day suggested he stays this trip, but the 1m4f of Haydock's Old Newton Cup appeared to stretch him on penultimate start and he was well beaten over 1m4f at York latest; competitive mark if back to best 2023 form; probably acts on soft.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
8th 3 (15)	3rd Nov 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 0y Class 3	14:00 Newmarket Toshizou 9st 12lb J: Jonny Peate T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray	0-15 since winning in 2020 on second start but he's dropped down the weights and was placed over about 1m2f at Newbury (heavy) and York (soft) on last two outings; major each-way player.	6/1
2nd 1 (7)	14th Oct 2023 Good 1m 2f 56y Class 4	16:45 York Toshizou 10st 1lb J: Jonny Peate T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray	in touch with leaders	11/2

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

8th

(15)

3rd Nov 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

14:00 Newmarket

Toshizou

9st 12lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

0-15 since winning in 2020 on second start but he's dropped down the weights and was placed over about 1m2f at Newbury (heavy) and York (soft) on last two outings; major each-way player.

6/1

2nd

(7)

14th Oct 2023

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 4

16:45 York

Toshizou

10st 1lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

in touch with leaders

11/2

4th

5 (5)

Mustazeed

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Harry Eustace

9/2

Form: 92-117 CD

Last run: 77 days

W: 8st 13lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 88

Form & Verdict

Hit new heights in first two runs for new stable, winning from off the pace in large-field 1m2f handicaps at Newbury in April (soft) and May (good); the latter was by a short head but with the first two clear; never dangerous at Sandown in July on his only start since (a steady early pace was blamed) but highly competitive if straight back to his best.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
10th 13 (7)	11th Nov 2023 Standard 1m 4f 98y Class 2	15:45 Newcastle (AW) Mustazeed 9st 0lb J: Kaiya Fraser T: Harry Eustace	Useful 1m2f handicapper on turf; scored twice at Newbury in the spring and ran well at Doncaster most recently; has the ability to get involved, provided he stays this new trip and is effective back on AW.	11/1
2nd 5 (2)	28th Oct 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 43y Class 2	15:50 Doncaster Mustazeed 8st 11lb J: Hayley Turner T: Harry Eustace	Won in the spring on first two starts for this yard (1m2f, soft/good) and did very well to finish fourth of eight at Newbury (1m2f, heavy) last month having blown the start; looked reluctant in the early stages at Newbury, which sounds alarm bells, but he's run really well on both visits to Doncaster and is capable if in the right mood.	7/2

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

10th

(7)

11th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 2

9st 0lb

Useful 1m2f handicapper on turf; scored twice at Newbury in the spring and ran well at Doncaster most recently; has the ability to get involved, provided he stays this new trip and is effective back on AW.

11/1

2nd

(2)

28th Oct 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

8st 11lb

Won in the spring on first two starts for this yard (1m2f, soft/good) and did very well to finish fourth of eight at Newbury (1m2f, heavy) last month having blown the start; looked reluctant in the early stages at Newbury, which sounds alarm bells, but he's run really well on both visits to Doncaster and is capable if in the right mood.

7/2

OUR TIP

5th

1 (8)

Certain Lad

J: George Bass

T: Jack Channon

8/1

Form: 730062 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 12lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 101

Form & Verdict

None too consistent nowadays and has not won for three years, but his third at Chester (soft) in May and second of 14 at Sandown three weeks ago would put him on the premises.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
1st 1 (4)	28th Oct 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 43y Class 2	15:50 Doncaster Certain Lad 10st 0lb J: George Bass T: Jack Channon	Didn't quite see out 1m2f on heavy ground at Newbury last month and faces similar conditions here, but he won at York (10.2f, soft) a fortnight ago and this in-form 7yo has to be respected in his follow-up bid.	3/1
1st 1 (3)	14th Oct 2023 Good 1m 2f 56y Class 2	15:35 York Certain Lad 9st 10lb J: George Bass T: Jack Channon	in touch with leaders	9/1
5th 1 (8)	23rd Sep 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 0y Class 2	14:40 Newbury Certain Lad 9st 12lb J: George Bass T: Jack Channon	took keen hold, prominent, led narrowly over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, soon carried left, weakened quickly inside final 110yds	8/1

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

1st

(4)

28th Oct 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

10st 0lb

Didn't quite see out 1m2f on heavy ground at Newbury last month and faces similar conditions here, but he won at York (10.2f, soft) a fortnight ago and this in-form 7yo has to be respected in his follow-up bid.

3/1

1st

(3)

14th Oct 2023

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

9st 10lb

in touch with leaders

9/1

5th

(8)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

9st 12lb

took keen hold, prominent, led narrowly over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, soon carried left, weakened quickly inside final 110yds

8/1

6th

3 (4)

Millebosc

J: James Doyle

T: William Haggas

11/1

Form: 75-790

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 92

Form & Verdict

Third in 2021 French Derby (10.5f, soft); four runs for this stable, with initial encouragement in 1m2f handicaps leading only to backward steps on last two outings; last week's at Doncaster was over 1m on soft; 5lb lower than on reappearance but backers may now be wary.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
6th 4 (9)	13th Oct 2023 Good 0m 7f 192y Class 2	15:50 York Millebosc 9st 0lb J: Cieren Fallon T: William Haggas	He's not the force of old (third in the French Derby in 2021) but, having dropped down the weights, he went close at Haydock (1m, heavy) a fortnight ago; testing ground may suit best but that's not guaranteed; a contender if backing up that latest performance.	7/1
2nd 11 (6)	30th Sep 2023 Soft 0m 7f 212y Class 2	16:25 Haydock Millebosc 9st 3lb J: Cieren Fallon T: William Haggas	Very smart as 3yo (third in French Derby); some initial promise for this yard but his recent efforts have been less encouraging, finishing sixth of eight over 1m2f at Newbury (heavy) last weekend.	16/1
6th 3 (4)	23rd Sep 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 0y Class 2	14:40 Newbury Millebosc 9st 3lb J: James Doyle T: William Haggas	led, headed over 2f out, weakened gradually over 1f out	11/1

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

6th

(9)

13th Oct 2023

Good

0m 7f 192y

Class 2

9st 0lb

He's not the force of old (third in the French Derby in 2021) but, having dropped down the weights, he went close at Haydock (1m, heavy) a fortnight ago; testing ground may suit best but that's not guaranteed; a contender if backing up that latest performance.

7/1

2nd

(6)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

0m 7f 212y

Class 2

9st 3lb

Very smart as 3yo (third in French Derby); some initial promise for this yard but his recent efforts have been less encouraging, finishing sixth of eight over 1m2f at Newbury (heavy) last weekend.

16/1

6th

(4)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

9st 3lb

led, headed over 2f out, weakened gradually over 1f out

11/1

8th

2 (2)

Gaassee

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

15/2

Form: -70446 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 98

Form & Verdict

Acts on soft; campaigned at 1m4f/1m6f in his first eight handicaps, including two respectable fourths over 1m4f this July, but never dangerous when dropped back to 1m2f for latest outing (about 8l behind Certain Lad); slowly away that day but nevertheless now has something to prove.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer	Verdict	Starting price
8th 2 (2)	23rd Sep 2023 Heavy 1m 2f 0y Class 2	14:40 Newbury Gaassee 9st 9lb J: Tom Marquand T: William Haggas	towards rear, brief headway against far rail over 2f out, weakened over 1f out, eased inside final furlong	15/2
6th 3 (8)	2nd Sep 2023 Good To Firm 1m 1f 209y Class 2	15:00 Sandown Gaassee 9st 10lb J: Tom Marquand T: William Haggas	Close fourth in Old Newton Cup at Haydock on penultimate start and creditable fourth of seven at Ascot on latest, albeit as 11-8 favourite; campaigned at 1m4f/1m6f in all of his eight handicaps but recent efforts suggest this drop back in trip (he won two novice events at about 1m2f) is well worth a shot.	6/1

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

8th

(2)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

9st 9lb

towards rear, brief headway against far rail over 2f out, weakened over 1f out, eased inside final furlong

15/2

6th

(8)

2nd Sep 2023

Good To Firm

1m 1f 209y

Class 2

9st 10lb

Close fourth in Old Newton Cup at Haydock on penultimate start and creditable fourth of seven at Ascot on latest, albeit as 11-8 favourite; campaigned at 1m4f/1m6f in all of his eight handicaps but recent efforts suggest this drop back in trip (he won two novice events at about 1m2f) is well worth a shot.

6/1

8 (6)

Le Mans

J: Sam Hitchcott

T: Richard Hannon

6/1

Form: 121 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 8st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict

Narrowly beaten on second start (AW) but won either side of that in a novice at Newmarket (1m, good) and eight-runner handicap at Salisbury (1m2f, good to firm); still looked inexperienced last time before getting to the front late on and, although 6lb higher today, she surely has more to give.

Place / No / Draw	Date / Going / Distance / Class	Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer
(8)	11th Feb 2023 0m 5f 0y	14:15 Kenilworth Le Mans 8st 11lb J: C Orffer T: C Bass-Robinson
(9)	3rd Jan 2023 0m 6f 0y	14:40 Kenilworth Le Mans 8st 11lb J: G Wright T: C Bass-Robinson
(15)	19th Nov 2022 0m 6f 0y	14:50 Kenilworth Le Mans 8st 11lb J: G Wright T: C Bass-Robinson

Place /
No / Draw

Date / Going /
Distance / Class

Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer

Verdict

Starting price

(8)

11th Feb 2023

0m 5f 0y

14:15 Kenilworth

Le Mans

8st 11lb

J: C Orffer