September 23 / 14.40 Newbury

14.40

Heavy

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

  • Prize money: £38655
  • 1m 2f 0y
  • Class 2
  • 8 runners
ITV4
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Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

7/2 (Won)

  • Win: £4.00
  • Place: £1.50

Form: -23110 D BF

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Fourth on soft on debut; won on good to soft at Chester (1m2f; made all) and Glorious Goodwood (1m3f; from mid-division) before a no-show when favourite over 1m4f at York in hat-trick bid four weeks ago; plenty to like before that, as he was comfortably on top for both wins; may well bounce back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(3)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newbury

Balance Play

9st 1lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

in touch with leaders, cajoled along 4f out, pushed along 3f out, hung left but headway on near side of group 2f out, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, soon edged left, went clear final 110yds, comfortably

7/2

10th

11

(9)

25th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 2

13:50 York

Balance Play

9st 3lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

Creditable third at Epsom (1m2f, good to firm) on handicap debut, before making all at Chester (1m2f, good to soft) and asserting final 1f at Glorious Goodwood (1m3f, good to soft); 1m4f looks manageable and 7lb rise may be too, given he was comfortably on top for both wins; steadily progressive.

4/1

1st

2

(13)

4th Aug 2023

Heavy

1m 3f 44y

Class 3

17:20 Goodwood

Balance Play

9st 8lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

midfield

9/2

4/1

  • Place: £2.10

Form: 143311 D

Last run: 44 days

W: 8st 10lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
On the up over 1m2f in recent starts, notably with clearcut wins at Chelmsford (AW) and Chepstow (good to soft; unraced on soft); up another 8lb and in class but a rising force who has to be in serious calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(2)

7th Oct 2023

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:30 Newmarket

Totnes

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Andrew Balding

Won at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) in July and followed up at Chepstow (1m2f, good to soft) before a good second at Newbury (1m2f, heavy); this 3yo has won four of her ten starts and could still have more to offer, provided today's expected return to better ground isn't an issue.

5/1

2nd

7

(1)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newbury

Totnes

8st 10lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

in touch with leaders, bit short of room under 2f out, ridden and kept on from over 1f out, went second inside final 110yds, no match for winner

4/1

1st

2

(2)

10th Aug 2023

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

19:00 Chepstow

Totnes

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Andrew Balding

Took form to new level with clearcut success at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) last month, her third win this year; latest 7lb rise asks quite a lot of her but she'll be fine back on turf and may yet have more improvement to come.

4/1

9/1

  • Place: £3.20

Form: 348470

Last run: 29 days

W: 8st 11lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Never-nearer fourth of 11 over 1m2f at Epsom on Oaks day suggested he stays this trip, but the 1m4f of Haydock's Old Newton Cup appeared to stretch him on penultimate start and he was well beaten over 1m4f at York latest; competitive mark if back to best 2023 form; probably acts on soft.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(7)

15th May 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 4

17:20 York

Toshizou

9st 6lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

Acts on soft; beaten all 20 times since winning in 2020 on his second start; close third at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) last month but two lesser efforts have followed; not proven over this far but yard is in good form.

9/1

3rd

7

(7)

15th May 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 4

17:20 York

Toshizou

9st 6lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

Acts on soft; beaten all 20 times since winning in 2020 on his second start; close third at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) last month but two lesser efforts have followed; not proven over this far but yard is in good form.

9/1

8th

12

(12)

9th May 2024

Good

1m 2f 70y

Class 3

16:10 Chester

Toshizou

9st 1lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

Beaten 19 times since winning in 2020 on his second start; returned to form with a close third at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) last month but beaten 9l when fifth back on turf at Pontefract since.

14/1

9/2

Form: 92-117 CD

Last run: 77 days

W: 8st 13lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
Hit new heights in first two runs for new stable, winning from off the pace in large-field 1m2f handicaps at Newbury in April (soft) and May (good); the latter was by a short head but with the first two clear; never dangerous at Sandown in July on his only start since (a steady early pace was blamed) but highly competitive if straight back to his best.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(4)

17th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

14:30 Newbury

Mustazeed

9st 9lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Harry Eustace

Had the benefit of a run (winning here) when narrowly taking this race 12 months ago off a 5lb lower mark and ran two further good races in the autumn off this figure; fairly treated, he's able when fresh and all ground seems to come alike; respected.

7/1

8th

3

(4)

17th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

14:30 Newbury

Mustazeed

9st 9lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Harry Eustace

never better than midfield

7/1

OUR TIP

8/1

Form: 730062 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 12lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 101

Form & Verdict
None too consistent nowadays and has not won for three years, but his third at Chester (soft) in May and second of 14 at Sandown three weeks ago would put him on the premises.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(6)

20th Apr 2024

Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

13:30 Newbury

Certain Lad

9st 2lb

J: George Bass

T: Jack Channon

midfield

25/1

11/1

Form: 75-790

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Third in 2021 French Derby (10.5f, soft); four runs for this stable, with initial encouragement in 1m2f handicaps leading only to backward steps on last two outings; last week's at Doncaster was over 1m on soft; 5lb lower than on reappearance but backers may now be wary.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(9)

13th Oct 2023

Good

0m 7f 192y

Class 2

15:50 York

Millebosc

9st 0lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

He's not the force of old (third in the French Derby in 2021) but, having dropped down the weights, he went close at Haydock (1m, heavy) a fortnight ago; testing ground may suit best but that's not guaranteed; a contender if backing up that latest performance.

7/1

2nd

11

(6)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

0m 7f 212y

Class 2

16:25 Haydock

Millebosc

9st 3lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Very smart as 3yo (third in French Derby); some initial promise for this yard but his recent efforts have been less encouraging, finishing sixth of eight over 1m2f at Newbury (heavy) last weekend.

16/1

6th

3

(4)

23rd Sep 2023

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newbury

Millebosc

9st 3lb

J: James Doyle

T: William Haggas

led, headed over 2f out, weakened gradually over 1f out

11/1

15/2

Form: -70446 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 98

Form & Verdict
Acts on soft; campaigned at 1m4f/1m6f in his first eight handicaps, including two respectable fourths over 1m4f this July, but never dangerous when dropped back to 1m2f for latest outing (about 8l behind Certain Lad); slowly away that day but nevertheless now has something to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(3)

19th May 2024

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

16:45 Newmarket

Gaassee

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

His 2023 campaign for William Haggas was underwhelming overall but he did twice reach the frame off significantly higher marks than this last July; set the pace (first time for ages) on stable/seasonal debut three weeks ago, before weakening right out of it, and others are more persuasive.

20/1

4th

2

(3)

19th May 2024

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

16:45 Newmarket

Gaassee

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

His 2023 campaign for William Haggas was underwhelming overall but he did twice reach the frame off significantly higher marks than this last July; set the pace (first time for ages) on stable/seasonal debut three weeks ago, before weakening right out of it, and others are more persuasive.

20/1

7th

2

(2)

27th Apr 2024

Soft

1m 4f 10y

Class 2

18:20 Ripon

Gaassee

9st 7lb

J: Joshua Bryan

T: Archie Watson

led, headed over 1f out, soon weakened

4/1

Form: 121 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 8st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Narrowly beaten on second start (AW) but won either side of that in a novice at Newmarket (1m, good) and eight-runner handicap at Salisbury (1m2f, good to firm); still looked inexperienced last time before getting to the front late on and, although 6lb higher today, she surely has more to give.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £20.50
Straight Forecast £20.09
Tricast £159.43
Trifecta £159.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Balance Play

TOPSPEED:

Certain Lad

The Times:

Totnes

NEWMARKET:

Gaassee

RP RATINGS:

Mustazeed

The Guardian:

Le Mans

D Express:

Toshizou

Daily Mirror:

Totnes

Daily Mail:

Balance Play

Daily Record:

Balance Play

The Star:

Gaassee

The Sun:

Mustazeed

POSTDATA:

Certain Lad

Telegraph:

Certain Lad