July 03 / 18.40 Newbury

18.40

Good To Firm

IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

  • Prize money: £6480
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 9 runners
SKY
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IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

Form: 4

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
By Wootton Bassett out of 10.5f-1m6f winner (RPR 106); that points to longer trips but she did show significant ability when fourth of six in Chepstow maiden (6f, good; weak 10-1) 17 days ago; others in this have shown more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(8)

18th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:35 Newbury

Affran

9st 2lb

J: Faleh Bughenaim

T: Ollie Sangster

Stepped up on last month's Chepstow debut (6f, good) by finishing fourth of nine over C&D two weeks ago (good to firm); may not come into her own until tackling 7f+ but she's likely to carry on progressing.

12/1

1

(7)

3rd Jul 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:40 Newbury

Affran

9st 2lb

J: Trevor Whelan

T: Ollie Sangster

By Wootton Bassett out of 10.5f-1m6f winner (RPR 106); that points to longer trips but she did show significant ability when fourth of six in Chepstow maiden (6f, good; weak 10-1) 17 days ago; others in this have shown more.

16/1

1

(1)

16th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

15:00 Chepstow

Affran

9st 2lb

J: Trevor Whelan

T: Ollie Sangster

First foal; dam 10.5f-1m6f winner (including Listed; RPR 106), sister to 1m4f Listed winner Baby Pink, half-sister to smart 1m-1m3f winner Christophermarlowe; probably won't be seen to best effect until tackling longer trips but riding arrangements suggests she's the pick of Ollie Sangster's three runners in this.

9/2

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
260,000gns yearling by Pinatubo; fourth foal; half-sister to Group-placed 5f 2yo winner Shadow Army (RPR 97); dam Listed-placed 6f winner (including 2yo; 99) out of 1m Listed winner; with her leading stable running Concert as well, the market should yield major clues.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(3)

26th Jan 2026

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 5

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Berlinetta

9st 6lb

J: Jason Hart

T: William Haggas

Cost 260,000gns as a yearling but she's been held at 9-2 or shorter in all four runs including when last of seven on recent handicap debut at Southwell (6f, Tapeta); with top yard and still early days but she needs a transformation with tongue-tie added.

10/1

3rd

1

(6)

19th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 16y

Class 5

17:30 Chepstow

Berlinetta

9st 2lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Launched career with two respectable 6f runs, more recently when fifth of eight in quite valuable York novice (good) last month; has a bit to find with the principals here but is open to improvement if the new trip suits.

2/1

2

(4)

26th Jul 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

13:25 York

Berlinetta

9st 2lb

J: Mirai Iwata

T: William Haggas

Hung right when merely sixth of nine on this month's debut at Newbury (6f, good to firm); however, this well-bred 260,000gns yearling was backed into 3-1 and could be capable of considerably better for her top yard.

7/2

OUR TIP

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
125,000gns by Showcasing; first foal; dam unraced half-sister to winners Secret Weapon (HK 1m2f Group 2), Code Red (6f/7f Listed) and End Of Line (useful 7f 2yo), out of maiden half-sister to French 1m4f Group 3 winner Airmail Special; tongue tied for debut; stablemate of Berlinetta and a first ride in Britain for Japanese jockey Mirai Iwata.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

(9)

19th May 2026

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:05 Newcastle (AW)

Concert

9st 9lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Jack Channon

Ex-Haggas filly who was said to have been unsuited by rain-softened ground when well below market expectations last time (taken out at Doncaster over the weekend after the going eased); should do better.

4/1

13th

11

(6)

17th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 160y

Class 4

17:52 Bath

Concert

9st 1lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Jack Channon

Didn't really progress for William Haggas after winning a 6f Yarmouth maiden on her second start; late headway into fourth on her stable debut at Wolverhampton last month; better can be expected back up in trip today.

10/1

Form: 4

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
By Frankel out of a 6f Listed winner (RPR 106); 2-1, in touch long way when fourth of nine in novice at Windsor (6f, good) 24 days ago; should improve and needs to.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
By No Nay Never; second foal; dam unplaced at 1m-1m2f (RPR 64), half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Midnight Mile, out of maiden close relative of Irish 1,000 Guineas winner Yesterday and Moyglare Stud winner Quarter Moon (both runner-up in Oaks); from a major yard, she needs a close look.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

12

(6)

3rd Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Hopeful Dream

9st 2lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Ralph Beckett

Both starts against her own sex, better effort when fifth of nine over C&D latest; now the odd one out, being the sole filly in the field, and looks below the likely required standard.

20/1

2

(6)

13th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:15 Kempton (AW)

Hopeful Dream

9st 2lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Ralph Beckett

Started third favourite but was too green to do herself justice on last month's debut at Newbury (finished last; 6f, good to firm); probably needs more time.

11/1

5

(3)

3rd Jul 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:40 Newbury

Hopeful Dream

9st 2lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

By No Nay Never; second foal; dam unplaced at 1m-1m2f (RPR 64), half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Midnight Mile, out of maiden close relative of Irish 1,000 Guineas winner Yesterday and Moyglare Stud winner Quarter Moon (both runner-up in Oaks); from a major yard, she needs a close look.

9/2

Form: 5

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
92,000gns breeze-up 2yo; 10-1 for novice at Bath (5f, good to firm) 19 days ago, always in touch and rallying in fifth of ten; while better is surely needed, she brings the best form.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(9)

25th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:50 Leicester

Lope El Fuego

9st 1lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Warren Greatrex

Broke duck on second start, at Newbury (6f, good to firm) last July; lost out only narrowly in a Salisbury novice next time but had more to do when down the field in a 5f Listed race when last seen nine months ago; race readiness the query today.

10/1

8

(5)

15th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 34y

Class 1

16:45 Newbury

Lope El Fuego

9st 2lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Warren Greatrex

Won here (6f, good to firm) last month on second start and very close third in Salisbury novice (6f, good to firm) since, when behind Indy B who is declared in the opener; it's possible she'll be suited by the drop back to 5f but she has quite a bit to find against today's opponents.

25/1

1

(6)

23rd Jul 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:20 Salisbury

Lope El Fuego

9st 9lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Warren Greatrex

Seemed to find 5f a touch inadequate on debut and duly proved suited by the step up to 6f at Newbury (good to firm) where she was driven out to win; the form pick.

5/4

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
16,000euros foal, 25,000gns yearling, £30,000 breeze-up 2yo; fifth foal; Ardad close relation to 7f AW winner Acai (RPR 78), half-sister to US 4.5f-6.5f winner Newpark; dam 1m-1m4f winner (including 2yo; 80) out of 7f-winning half-sister to 1m2f Listed winner Bustan; trainer has had few 2yo runners, the sole winner last New Year's Eve.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

1

(9)

11th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

17:20 Wolverhampton (AW)

Molly Mac

9st 9lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Michael Keady

Six-race maiden; placed in 7f nurseries at Chelmsford (finished third to Miss Ayala) at Brighton (close second) since wearing cheekpieces; solid chance in the retained headgear.

13/2

3

(6)

29th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

15:20 Brighton

Molly Mac

9st 8lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: Michael Keady

Moving up to 7f in new cheekpieces triggered an improved display at Chelmsford, going down by only 1.5l; chance if building on that.

5/1

3rd

3

(2)

18th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Chelmsford (AW)

Molly Mac

9st 9lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: Michael Keady

Soundly beaten after making the running on nursery debut here (6f; jockey said filly ran green) three weeks ago; moves up in trip and sports first-time cheekpieces tonight.

20/1

Form: 64

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fractious at the stalls when well beaten at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) on debut; 20-1 fourth of eight at Chelmsford (6f, AW) was better, trying to match the odds-on favourite long way, but she needs to build on that.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

4

(1)

30th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Moo Deng

9st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

0-5 and beaten a shade under 5l in her two nurseries over 7f (in first-time cheekpieces latterly); down 4lb for those but others might be better in.

8/1

6

(3)

3rd Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

16:05 Lingfield (AW)

Moo Deng

9st 4lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Best effort from four starts came when fourth of eight in a maiden at Chelmsford (6f, AW; the first three have all won since) in June but she was held on handicap debut at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 26 days ago; returns to AW with cheekpieces applied.

12/1

6th

4

(4)

8th Aug 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

15:10 Thirsk

Moo Deng

9st 7lb

J: William Cox

T: Archie Watson

Best of three qualifying runs when 20-1 fourth of eight at Chelmsford (6f, AW), having tried to match the odds-on favourite for a long way in June; below that at Newbury next time but blew the start; not the first time there's been an issue in that department but does bring some potential to nurseries.

7/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
280,000gns yearling by St Mark's Basilica; second foal; half-sister to 1m AW 2yo winner Exactly Right (RPR 80); dam 7f 2yo winner (including Group 3; 104), sister to 7f/1m winner Good Humor, out of French 1m4f Group 2 winner; from a major yard, needs a market check.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

14

(8)

22nd May 2026

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 1

14:55 Haydock

Princess Petrol

8st 12lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Ed Walker

Went close in Group 3 Sweet Solera at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) last August and again ran well when fourth of five in Group 2 at Longchamp (1m, soft) in September; however, well beaten in Group 3/Listed races (7f/6f, good) on her two starts this spring and has to get back on track.

40/1

8th

6

(9)

2nd May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 1

13:30 Goodwood

Princess Petrol

9st 2lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ed Walker

Stylish winner of 6f Ascot novice in July and bettered that form when runner-up in the Sweet Solera at Newmarket (7f) and fourth in a Longchamp Group 2 (1m) in the autumn; hooded for her reappearance but she beat only one home in Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury; headgear quickly dispensed with.

12/1

13th

7

(5)

18th Apr 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

13:25 Newbury

Princess Petrol

9st 2lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Ed Walker

Gained her novice win at Ascot (6f) then showed Group form that comprised a close second at Newmarket (7f) and fourth of five at Longchamp (1m); holds a respectable chance on bare ratings in first-time hood.

11/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £211.50
Straight Forecast £240.66
Trifecta £826.90

Selections

NEWMARKET:

Berlinetta

RP RATINGS:

Lope El Fuego

The Times:

Dictal

SPOTLIGHT:

Hopeful Dream

Telegraph:

Concert

D Express:

Princess Petrol

LAMBOURN:

Moo Deng

Daily Mail:

Berlinetta

Daily Record:

Berlinetta

POSTDATA:

Lope El Fuego

Daily Mirror:

Lope El Fuego

The Star:

Hopeful Dream

The Guardian:

Dictal

The Sun:

Dictal