April 18 / 14.35 Newbury

14.35

Good

Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £53874.5
  • 1m 4f 0y
  • Class 1
  • 6 runners
ITV
View Course
Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3)

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

OUR TIP

7/4 (Won)

  • Win: £5.00
  • Place: £2.50

Form: 32117- D BF

Last run: 161 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 116

Form & Verdict
Pipped in the Deutsches Derby (1m4f) last July before landing a 1m4f Group 3 at Leopardstown and 1m3f Group 2 at Longchamp; flopped on soft ground on final start but he should not face that here and, despite giving weight all round, could be on the premises if resuming on song.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(3)

8th Aug 2026

Good

1m 2f 42y

Class 1

14:25 Haydock

Convergent

9st 10lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Successful five times from ten attempts, including in Group 3 at Newbury (1m4f, good) in April, but soundly beaten twice since; now on a retrieval mission and has to concede weight all round.

11/2

4th

4

(4)

9th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

15:35 Newmarket (July)

Convergent

9st 8lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Tailed off in the mud in his Group 1 attempts last November and last month, latterly in the Coronation Cup at Epsom; progressive otherwise, including two Group wins last autumn and another at Newbury (1m4f, good; Tenability a close third) this April; that Newbury performance makes him a serious contender on form but he's not raced on ground firmer than good.

2/1

5th

3

(3)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 4f 6y

Class 1

14:40 Epsom

Convergent

9st 2lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Scored on soft ground on debut; flopped in the German race won by Bay City Roller but otherwise progressive and overcame trouble to defy a Group 2 penalty in Group 3 contest at Newbury (1m4f, good) on seasonal debut, taking record to 5-8; about 3l behind Lambourn at Chester last term but is now in the same ball park as that opponent on ratings, with a chance of further improvement to boot; adds great interest to this race.

13/2

5/2

  • Place: £1.90

Form: 47159- CD BF

Last run: 175 days

W: 9st 2lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 115

Form & Verdict
Held up; eight Group 3 wins are already in the bag, including this race in 2021 (his only appearance in it); has a slightly mixed reappearance record but he was almost as good as ever with his two wins last term, including first time out, and a return to that level would make this 9yo the one to beat.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(6)

3rd Oct 2026

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Al Aasy

9st 10lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: William Haggas

9yo who gained his 12th and 13th successes in a Listed event at Beverley (1m4f, good to firm) in July and Group 2 at Deauville (1m4f, heavy) five weeks ago; he's had eight Group 3 wins but was fifth and second in the 2023 and 2024 renewals of this race; this running looks pretty competitive but one of his late bids is well capable of getting in the shake-up.

5/2

3rd

1

(8)

1st Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

14:25 Goodwood

Al Aasy

9st 3lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

9yo who has won the last two runnings of this race (good to firm/good to soft) and has run well on both starts this season, most recently posting a cosy Listed win at Beverley (1m4f, good to firm); leading claims.

2/1

1st

2

(6)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 4f 23y

Class 1

16:02 Beverley

Al Aasy

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Dual Group 3 scorer at Sandown (1m2f) and Goodwood (1m4f) in 2025; resumed from six months off with a very good second of six in Newbury's John Porter Stakes in April so this veteran looks the one to beat dropped into Listed company here.

8/13

Form: 11112- D

Last run: 196 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 103

Form & Verdict
Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; creditable second of five in Ascot Group 3 on final outing; none of that form is near what should be required to win this race but he brings potential starting this second season.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(5)

3rd Oct 2026

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Tenability

9st 5lb

J: Harry Davies

T: William Haggas

Graduated from handicaps when 6l second in this race last year (soft); better form on all four starts this season, including his Listed successes at Goodwood (1m4f) in June and Windsor (11.4f) five weeks ago; both were on soft ground and he's not raced on firmer than good since last August, but the latest win was his best form and gives him a fine chance at today's weights.

7/4

1st

1

(5)

29th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 99y

Class 1

18:30 Windsor

Tenability

9st 10lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

A typically progressive late developer from this yard who never ran at two; won four in a row last season before finishing second in the Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes (1m4f, soft) in October; continuing on an upward curve this year and wasn't seen to best effect when the beaten favourite in a steadily-run French Group 3 three weeks ago (1m4f, good); big shout, even with the extra weight.

4/1

Form: /615-6 D

Last run: 63 days

W: 9st 2lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 113

Form & Verdict
Not discredited in Qatar in February on latest outing and in the mix judged on peak efforts, including a Newmarket Listed win (1m4f) last September; however, there are also plenty of lesser shows to be considered.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(3)

23rd Sep 2026

Good

1m 1f 197y

Class 1

15:15 Goodwood

Lions Pride

9st 4lb

J: William Buick

T: John & Thady Gosden

Has shown peak form, namely Listed wins on AW/turf, over 1m4f; however, may benefit from this drop back to 1m2f, having failed to see out his races this year, latest in May; gained the latest success after a similar layoff, around this time last year; leading player if back to best.

7/2

6th

4

(3)

1st May 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

15:30 Newmarket

Lions Pride

9st 5lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: John & Thady Gosden

7l Listed win over C&D (good to firm) last September; there are also plenty of lesser shows to be considered and, after he was not discredited in Qatar in February, he managed only fourth of six when favourite for Group 3 at Newbury 13 days ago; in the mix on peak efforts.

7/2

Form: /5169- D

Last run: 301 days

W: 9st 2lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 108

Form & Verdict
Won Group 2 at Newmarket (1m4f, good) last May in first-time cheekpieces, which were kept for two modest efforts in June but not today; first run since a gelding operation in September; ring-rusty on his 2025 reappearance in this race and the market may reveal whether the same is expected this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(5)

2nd May 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 2

16:45 Newmarket

Bellum Justum

10st 0lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Andrew Balding

Seemingly ring-rusty on Group 3 return at Newbury two weeks ago, the same story as in 2025 when he followed that race with a win at this meeting in a four-runner 1m4f Group 2 with first-time cheekpieces; they were kept for two modest efforts last June but have not been called on this season; this is his first handicap and he has a big chance if springing back to his best.

7/1

5th

4

(7)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:35 Newbury

Bellum Justum

9st 2lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Won Group 2 at Newmarket (1m4f, good) last May in first-time cheekpieces, which were kept for two modest efforts in June but not today; first run since a gelding operation in September; ring-rusty on his 2025 reappearance in this race and the market may reveal whether the same is expected this time.

12/1

9th

3

(9)

21st Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

15:05 Ascot

Bellum Justum

9st 3lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Andrew Balding

Displayed improved form in first-time cheekpieces (retained since) when winning the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket (1m4f, good) last month; flopped in the Group 1 Coronation Cup at Epsom subsequently but was reportedly unsuited by the good to soft ground; he could be just the type of older horse his trainer excels with and he's not ruled out.

25/1

Form: 71-191 C

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 5lb

7 yo Colt

OR: 112

Form & Verdict
Four Listed wins before he added a 1m4f Group 3 success in Bahrain 15 days ago; stacks of smart form in his lengthy career and none of it better than that latest start, but a bit extra will be needed to win this.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

8

(5)

20th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

15:05 Ascot

Phantom Flight

9st 3lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Scott

Enhanced his good strike-rate in Bahrain with Group 3 success in April; weakened into last of six (well below par) at Newbury since and it's nearly two years since he last prevailed on home soil; doubts are cemented by this difficult assignment back up in grade.

66/1

6th

2

(6)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:35 Newbury

Phantom Flight

9st 5lb

J: William Buick

T: George Scott

Four Listed wins before he added a 1m4f Group 3 success in Bahrain 15 days ago; stacks of smart form in his lengthy career and none of it better than that latest start, but a bit extra will be needed to win this.

9/1

Non-runners

Pride Of Arras

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £17.90
Straight Forecast £17.40
Trifecta £96.00

Selections

The Times:

Pride Of Arras

SPOTLIGHT:

Al Aasy

POSTDATA:

Lion's Pride

NEWMARKET:

Tenability

Daily Mail:

Convergent

Telegraph:

Pride Of Arras

The Guardian:

Pride Of Arras

D Express:

Pride Of Arras

The Star:

Pride Of Arras

Daily Record:

Pride Of Arras

The Sun:

Lion's Pride

RP RATINGS:

Al Aasy

TOPSPEED:

Al Aasy

Daily Mirror:

Al Aasy